MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

Report Date :

06.02.2008

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS SINGAPORE PTE LTD

 

 

Registered Office :

77 Robinson Road  #28-00 Sia Building

 

 

Country :

Singapore

 

 

Financials (as on) :

31.12.2006

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

11.12.1997

 

 

Com. Reg. No.:

199708376W

 

 

Legal Form :

Pte Ltd

 

 

Line of Business :

Providing Agricultural Commodity Marketing Services for Group Companies, Trading In Commodities and Investment Holding 

 

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

A

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

Fairly Large

 

Status :

Good

 

 

Payment Behaviour :

Regular

 

 

Litigation :

Clear

 

 

 

Subject Company

 

BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS SINGAPORE PTE LTD

 

 

Line Of Business 

 

PROVIDING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY MARKETING SERVICES FOR GROUP

COMPANIES, TRADING IN COMMODITIES AND INVESTMENT HOLDING 

 

 

Parent Company

 

BUNGE LIMITED       

(PERCENTAGE OF SHAREHOLDINGS: 100.00%)

 

 

Financial Elements

 

                                     FY 2006

                                    COMPANY

Sales                            : US$ 3,659,086,947

Networth                                   : US$ 7,125,685

Paid-Up Capital                                        : US$ 576,999

Net result                       : US$ 7,164,326

 

Net Margin(%)               :   0.20

Return on Equity(%)       : 100.54

Leverage Ratio               :  40.32

 

 

COMPANY IDENTIFICATION

 

Subject Company                                           : BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS SINGAPORE PTE LTD

Former Name                                                                         :       -

Business Address                                          : 77 ROBINSON ROAD

 #28-00

 SIA BUILDING

Town                                                                                       : SINGAPORE

Postcode                                                         : 068896

Country                                                                                   : Singapore

Telephone                                                       : 6227 0090

Fax                                                                                          :  6225 0132/6227 7335

ROC Number                                                                         : 199708376W

Reg. Town                                                      :  -

 

 

 

SUMMARY

 

All amounts in this report are in :  USD

 

Legal Form                                                     : Pte Ltd

Date Inc.                                                         : 11/12/1997

Previous Legal Form                                     : -

Summary year                                                                         : 31/12/2006

Sales                                                                                       : 3,659,086,947

Networth                                                         : 7,125,685

Capital                                                                                    : -

Paid-Up Capital                                                                     : 576,999

Employees                                                      : 50

Net result                                                        : 7,164,326

Share value                                                     : 1

Auditor                                                                                    : DELOITTE & TOUCHE

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

NO OF SHARE                     CURRENCY       AMOUNT

ISSUED ORDINARY        1,000,000                                     SGD               1,000,000.00

PAID-UP ORDINARY           -                                              SGD                1,000,000.00

 

 

REFERENCES

 

Litigation:                                                        No

Company status :                    TRADING             

Started :                                                           11/12/1997

 

 

PRINCIPAL(S)

 

CHRISTOPHER SILVA WHITE                      G5704709M      Director

 

 

DIRECTOR(S)

 

ARCHIBALD LLEWLLYN GWATHMEY        024620294      Managing Director

Appointed on                           : 15/11/1999

Street :                                                            11 HEMLOCK ROAD BRONXVILLE

Town:                                      NEW YORK

Postcode:                                10708

Country:                                   United States

 

ARCHIBALD LLEWLLYN GWATHMEY        024620294      Director

Appointed on :                                                 15/07/1999

Street :                                                            11 HEMLOCK ROAD BRONXVILLE

Town:                                      NEW YORK

Postcode:                                10708

Country:                                  United States

 

CHRISTOPHER SILVA WHITE            G5704709M      Director

Appointed on :                                                 06/06/2003

Street :                                                            79 ANSON ROAD

#05-02

PHEONIX TOWER

Town:                                      SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                079906

Country:                                  Singapore

 

CHEW CHEN YEAN                     S1295815C      Company Secretary

Appointed on :                                                 01/07/2003

Street :                                                            133 SERANGOON AVENUE 3

#08-11

CHILTERN PARK CONDOMINIUM

Town:                                                              SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                556113

Country:                                  Singapore

 

CHOONG MOH HUAT                    S2599756E      Director

Appointed on :                                                 13/06/2007

Street :                                                            119 SUNSET WAY

#05-03

CLEMENTI PARK

Town:                                      SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                597151

Country:                                  Singapore

 

 

FORMER DIRECTOR(S)

 

LEENDERT TAMEERIS                                                      S2700847Z

 

TAN CHENG SIEW @ NUR FARAH TAN                        S6920790A

 

PETER CLARK MC CALLUM                                                                      025337285

 

DAVID ANTHONY DUER                                                    073941404

 

 

ACTIVITY(IES)

 

AGRICULTURAL MARKETING                                          Code:370

 

HOLDING COMPANIES                                                      Code:11320

 

COMMODITY TRADERS                                                    Code:5010

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

1) COMMODITY BROKERS AND DEALERS; PROVIDING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY

MARKETING SERVICES AND TRADING IN COMMODITIES

 

 

CHARGES

 

No Charges On Premises/Property In Our Database

 

 

PREMISES/PROPERTY INFORMATIONS

 

No Premises/Property Information In Our Databases

 

 

BANKERS

 

DEUTSCHE BANK AG

 

 

SHAREHOLDERS(S)

 

BUNGE LIMITED                                    1,000,000   Company

Street :              CLARENDON HSE CHURCH ST HAMILTON

BERMUDA

Town:                 -

Postcode:             -

Country:              Bermuda

 

 

HOLDING COMPANY

 

BUNGE LIMITED                           UF27987Z        % :  100

 

 

SUBSIDIARY(IES)

 

BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS (M) SDN BHD

 

BUNGE INTERNATIONAL TRADING (SHANGHAI) CO., LTD

 

P.T. BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS INDONESIA

 

BUNGE GLOBAL MARKETS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

 

BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS PHILIPPINES, INC

 

BUNGE (THAILAND) LTD

 

 

PAYMENT HISTORY AND EXPERIENCES

 

Trade Morality                                                : AVERAGE

Liquidity                                  : SUFFICIENT

Payments                                : REGULAR

Trend                                                              : UPWARD

Financial Situation                 : AVERAGE

 

 

FINANCIAL ELEMENTS

 

  Audit Qualification:        UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)         UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)       

  Date Account Lodged:                 28/12/2007

  Balance Sheet Date:                  31/12/2006                  31/12/2005                 

  Number of weeks:                             52                          52                        

  Consolidation Code:                     COMPANY                    COMPANY                   

 

                         --- ASSETS ---     

 

 

  Preliminary Exp                       2,613,134                  12,977,528                             

  Tangible Fixed Assets:                  365,697                     524,273                   

  Investments                             523,388                     523,388                   

  Total Fixed Assets:                   3,502,219                  14,025,189  

              

  Inventories:                         59,789,459                  33,842,947                

  Receivables:                        172,254,828                 196,940,103               

  Cash,Banks, Securitis:                1,007,751                     131,254                 

  Other current assets:                57,910,951                   3,532,667                   

  Total Current Assets:               290,962,989                 234,446,971               

 

  TOTAL ASSETS:                       294,465,208                 248,472,160               

 

 

                         --- LIABILITIES ---     

 

  Equity capital:                         576,999                     576,999                    

  Profit & lost  Account:               6,548,686                    -615,640                  

  Total Equity:                         7,125,685                     -38,641                  

 

  Trade Creditors:                    233,650,673                 238,530,566                

  Due to Bank:                            224,952                           -                               

  Provisions:                             880,808                           -                               

  Other Short term Liab.:              48,591,980                   8,628,617                   

  Prepay. & Def. charges:               3,991,110                   1,351,618                  

  Total short term Liab.:             287,339,523                 248,510,801                

 

  TOTAL LIABILITIES:                  287,339,523                 248,510,801                  

 

 

                         --- PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT ---     

 

  Net Sales                         3,659,086,947               2,405,819,255 

  Purchases,Sces & Other Goods:     3,626,905,114               2,390,433,880             

  Gross Profit:                        32,181,833                  15,385,375                 

  NET RESULT BEFORE TAX:                8,348,034                  -3,880,365                 

  Tax :                                 1,183,708                     -25,540                     

  Net income/loss year:                 7,164,326                  -3,854,825                 

  Interest Paid:                        6,503,667                   4,182,921                   

  Depreciation:                           229,826                     204,380                    

  Directors Emoluments:                   700,482                     588,400                    

  Wages and Salaries:                  10,827,331                   6,837,322                  

  Financial Income:                     3,586,231                   1,127,727                    

 

 

RATIOS

 

                                31/12/2006                 31/12/2005                 

  Turnover per employee:     73181738.94                 48116385.10                    

  Net result / Turnover(%):         0.00                       -0.00                     

  Stock / Turnover(%):              0.02                        0.01                       

  Net Margin(%):                    0.20                       -0.16                     

  Return on Equity(%):            100.54                     9976.00                   

  Return on Assets(%):              2.43                       -1.55                      

  Net Working capital:        3623466.00                -14063830.00              

  Cash Ratio:                       0.00                        0.00                      

  Quick Ratio:                      0.60                        0.79                      

  Current ratio:                    1.01                        0.94                      

  Receivables Turnover:            16.95                       29.47                     

  Leverage Ratio:                  40.32                    -6431.27                  

 

  

  Net Margin                                                 : (100*Net income loss year)/Net sales 

  Return on Equity                : (100*Net income loss year)/Total equity

  Return on Assets               : (100*Net income loss year)/Total fixed assets

  Net Working capital           : (Total current assets/Total short term liabilities)/1000

  Cash Ratio                                                 : Cash Bank securities/Total short term liabilities

  Quick Ratio                                                 : (Cash Bank securities+Receivables)/Total Short term

                liabilities

  Current ratio                                               : Total current assets/Total short term liabilities

  Inventory Turnover              : (360*Inventories)/Net sales 

  Receivables Turnover        : (Receivable*360)/Net sales 

  Leverage Ratio                   : Total liabilities/(Total equity-Intangible assets)

 

 

FINANCIAL COMMENTS

 

THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE COMPANY WAS DEEMED TO BE FAIR IN VIEW OF THE FOLLOWING:

 

NET WORTH:

THE BALANCE SHEET WAS CONSIDERED PASSABLE WITH NET WORTH OF US$7,125,685 (2005: US$-38,641). THIS WAS ATTRIBUTED TO ACCUMULATED PROFITS BROUGHT FORWARD OF US$6,548,686 (2005: US$615,640).

 

LEVERAGE:

IN THE SHORT-TERM, SUBJECT WAS LARGELY FINANCED BY TRADE CREDITORS WHICH MADE UP 81.32% (2005: 95.98%) OF THE TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES AND AMOUNTED TO US$233,650,673 (2005: US$238,530,566). THE BREAKDOWN WAS AS FOLLOWS:

*TRADE CREDITORS - 2006: US$34,882,665 (2005: US$23,145,370)

*RELATED COMPANIES - 2006: US$198,567,103 (2005: US$215,211,918)

*SUBSIDIARY - 2006: US$200,905 (2005: US$173,278)

 

IN ALL, LEVERAGE RATIO INCREASED FROM -6431.27 TIMES TO 40.32 TIMES AS A RESULT OF A RISE IN TOTAL LIABILITIES.

 

LIQUIDITY:

THE OVERALL LIQUIDITY OF THE COMPANY WAS CONSIDERED PASSABLE WITH NET WORKING CAPITAL IMPROVED BY 1.26 TIMES TO US$3,623,466 (2005: US$- 14,063,830). BOTH THE QUICK AND CURRENT RATIOS WERE REGISTERED AT 0.60 TIMES (2005: 0.79 TIMES) AND 1.01 TIMES (2005: 0.94 TIMES) RESPECTIVELY.

 

PROFITABILITY:

REVENUE FOR FY 2006 INCREASED BY 52.09% AMOUNTING TO US$3,659,086,947 (2005: US$2,405,819,255). THERE WAS NET PROFIT OF US$7,164,326 (2005: US$-3,854,825), AN IMPROVEMENT OF 2.86 TIMES FROM THE PRIOR FINANCIAL YEAR. HENCE, NET MARGIN IMPROVED TO 0.20% (2005: -0.16%).

 

REVENUE COMPRISED OF:

*SALES - 2006: US$3,658,577,074 (2005: US$2,402,777,070)

*COMMISSION INCOME - 2006: US$509,873 (2005: US$3,042,185)

 

DEBT SERVICING:

DEBT SERVICING PROBLEMS MIGHT NOT BE EXPECTED IF REVENUE AND EARNINGS CAN BE MAINTAINED AND PAYMENTS BY TRADE DEBTORS ARE FORTHCOMING.

 

THE AVERAGE COLLECTION PERIOD HAS SHORTENED TO 17 DAYS (2005: 29 DAYS).

 

NON-CURRENT ASSETS:

 

THIS ITEM IS CLASSIFIED AS PRELIMINARY:

*TRADE RECEIVABLES - 2006: US$2,613,134 (2005: US$12,977,528)

 

NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:

 

BANK OVERDRAFT

*BANK OVERDRAFT - 2006: US$224,952 (2005: NIL)

THE BANK OVERDRAFT IS UNSECURED AND REPAYABLE ON DEMAND.

THE AVERAGE EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE ON BANK OVERDRAFTS APPROXIMATED 6%

(2005: NIL) PER ANNUM.

 

CONTINGENT LIABILITIES (UNSECURED)

*GUARANTEES - 2006: US$300,000 (2005: US$400,000)

*LETTER OF CREDITS - 2006: US$24,180,150 (2005: US$7,314,499)

 

 

BACKGROUND/OPERATION

 

THE SUBJECT WAS INCORPORATED IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON 11/12/1997 AS A LIMITED PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER ITS PRESENT NAMESTYLE AS "BUNGE AGRIBUSINESS SINGAPORE PTE LTD".

 

SUBJECT HAS AN ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 1,000,000 SHARES OF A VALUE OF S$1,000,000.

 

PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:

SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH THE ACCOUNTING & CORPORATE REGULATORY

AUTHORITY (ACRA) TO BE PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:

1) COMMODITY BROKERS AND DEALERS; PROVIDING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY

MARKETING SERVICES AND TRADING IN COMMODITIES

2) OTHER INVESTMENT HOLDING COMPANIES; INVESTMENT HOLDING COMPANY

 

THE COMPANY IS LISTED IN THE SINGAPORE LOCAL DIRECTORY UNDER THE CLASSIFICATION OF: AGRICULTURAL MARKETING.

 

DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR(S), UNDER REVIEW, THE PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES OF THE COMPANY ARE PROVIDING AGRICULTURAL COMMODITY MARKETING SERVICES FOR GROUP COMPANIES, TRADING IN COMMODITIES AND INVESTMENT HOLDING.

 

FROM THE RESEARCH DONE, THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:

 

SUBJECT ENGAGES IN THE FOLLOWING ACTIVITIES:

* IMPORT AND WHOLESALE OF PALMOLEIN CRUDE PALM OIL AND OTHER PALM OIL

DERIVATIVES AS ALSO SOYABEAN OIL, SUNFLOWER OIL, RAPESEED OIL AND

EDIBLE OILS

* GRAIN MERCHANDISING, OILSEED PROCESSING AND VEGETABLE OILS TRADING

AND REFINING

* IMPORT AND WHOLESALE OF PALMOLEIN CRUDE PALM OIL AND OTHER PALM OIL

DERIVATIVES AS ALSO SOYABEAN OIL, SUNFLOWER OIL, RAPESEED OIL AND

EDIBLE OILS

 

BUSINESS RELATIONSHIP WITH:

* GOOD HEALTH GROUP LTD (INDIA)

 

IMPORT COUNTRY:

* INDONESIA

 

EXPORT COUNTRIES:

* INDIA

* MALAYSIA

* VIETNAM

 

FROM THE TELE-INTERVIEW CONDUCTED THE FOLLOWING WAS

GATHERED:

 

SUBJECT ENGAGES IN THE FOLLOWING ACTIVITIES:

* COMMODITIES TRADING

 

EXPORT COUNTRIES:

* ASIAN COUNTRIES (MAINLY)

 

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES:

* ABOUT 50

 

TERMS OF PAYMENT:

* CUSTOMERS AND SUPPLIERS: T/T, LETTERS OF CREDIT ETC

 

NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION WAS AVAILABLE ON 06/02/2008.

 

THE COMPANY IS A WHOLLY-OWNED SUBSIDIARY OF BUNGE LIMITED, INCORPORATED IN BERMUDA, WHICH IS ALSO THE COMPANY'S ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY.

 

REGISTERED AND BUSINESS ADDRESS:

77 ROBINSON ROAD

#28-00

SIA BUILDING

SINGAPORE 068896

DATE OF CHANGE OF ADDRESS: 19/07/2004

 

WEBSITE:

www.bunge.com (HOLDING COMPANY'S)

 

EMAIL:

bunge@singnet.com.sg

 

 

MANAGEMENT

 

THE DIRECTORS AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT ARE:

 

1) ARCHIBALD LLEWELLYN GWATHMEY, AN AMERICAN

- BASED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

 

2) CHRISTOPHER SILVA WHITE, AN AMERICAN

- BASED IN SINGAPORE.

 

3) CHOONG MOH HUAT, A SINGAPORE PERMANENT RESIDENT

- HOLDS OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE:

SEAGRAM ASIA PACIFIC (SINGAPORE) PTE LTD

 

 

SINGAPORE'S COUNTRY RATING 2007

 

Investment Grade

 

IN SINGAPORE, THE POLITICAL SITUATION REMAINS STABLE.

 

SINGAPORE BOASTS THE BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA, WITH AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM FACILITATING DEBT COLLECTION AND TO A HIGH DEGREE OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.

 

EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS HAVE REMAINED SUBSTANTIALLY IN SURPLUS, CONTRIBUTED TO THE DYNAMISM OF THE ELECTRONICS AND PHARMACEUTICALS SECTORS AND TO REPATRIATION OF PROFITS FROM SINGAPORE INVESTMENTS. THE FINANCIAL AND TOURISM SECTORS HAVE ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS.


SINGAPORE CONTINUES TO KEENLY WELCOME FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND OFFERS A VERY OPEN AND WELL-PLANNED ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT. IT HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING AMBITIOUS DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY, FOCUSED PARTICULARLY ON THE CHEMICALS AND PHARMACEUTICAL SECTORS.

 

THE GOVERNMENT USES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO DEVELOP PRIORITY SECTORS (ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY). THE AIM IS TO ENCOURAGE THE GROWTH OF HIGH ADDED-VALUE ACTIVITIES AND TURN SINGAPORE INTO A REGIONAL HUB FOR FOREIGN INVESTORS INTERESTED IN ASIA.

 

CERTAIN SECTORS (MEDIA, LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERVICES) ARE HOWEVER ONLY PARTIALLY OPEN TO FOREIGN INVESTMENT. THESE SECTORS ARE SLOWLY OPENING UP, BUT THE PROGRESS IS SLOW.

 

AFTER HIGH GROWTH IN 2006, BUOYED BY THE DYNAMISM OF BOTH EXPORTS AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, A SLOWDOWN IS EXPECTED IN 2007.

 


ASSETS

 

WEAKNESSES

 

OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE

 

PAST PERFORMANCE

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY GREW BY 8.9% IN 3Q 2007, FOLLOWING 8.7% GROWTH IN 2Q 2007. GROW MOMENTUM (ON AN ANNUALISED QUARTER-ON-QUARTER BASIS) WAS 4.3%, COMPARED WITH 14.5% IN THE SECOND QUARTER.

 

THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR ROSE SIGNIFICANTLY BY 20% IN 3Q 2007, FOLLOWING A 17% GROWTH IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. HOWEVER, ON A SEASONALLY-ADJUSTED QUARTER-ON-QUARTER BASIS, THE SECTOR FELL BY 8.6%, IN CONTRAST TO THE 39% GROWTH IN THE SECOND QUARTER. THE DECLINE STEMS FROM THE IMPACT FROM THE TURMOIL IN GLOBAL FINANCIAL MARKETS.

 

THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR REGISTERED A STRONG GROWTH. THE SECTOR GREW BY 18%, FOLLOWING 19% GAIN IN 2Q 2007. GROWTH MOMENTUM MODERATED FROM 15% IN 2Q 2007 TO 6% IN 3Q 2007.

 

MANUFACTURING SECTOR ROSE BY 10% IN 3Q 2007, UP FROM 8.3% IN 2Q 2007. THE HIGHEST GROWTH WAS REGISTERED IN THE BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING CLUSTER, FOLLOWED BY TRANSPORT ENGINEERING, ELECTRONICS AND CHEMICALS

CLUSTERS. PRECISION ENGINEERING SECTOR CONTINUED TO SEE LOWER PRODUCTION.

 

THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR GREW BY 6.6% IN 3Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 8.4% GROWTH IN 2Q 2007. ALTHOUGH NON-OIL RE-EXPORTS STRENGTHENED IN THE QUARTER, RETAIL SALES SAW WEAKER GROWTH.

 

THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR MOEDERATED TO 4.8% IN 3Q 2007, FROM 5.3% IN 2Q 2007. HIGHER GROWTH IN THE AIR TRANSPORT SEGMENT WAS OFFSET BY SLOWER GROWTH IN THE WATER TRANSPORT SEGEMENT AFTER LAST QUARTER’S STRONG GROWTH.

 

THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR GREW BY 4.5% FROM 5.3% IN 2Q 2007.

THE AVERAGE OCCUPANCY RATE OF HOTELS CLIMBED TO 89%, A 2.1% RISE OVER 3Q 2006. THE AVERAGE ROOM RATE ALSO GREW BY 22% TO S$204. CONSEQUENTLY, TOTAL HOTEL ROOM REVENUE OF GAZETTED HOTELS ROSE BY 20% IN 3Q 2007 TO AN ESTIMATED S$478 MILLION.

 

THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR ROSE 6.9% IN 3Q 2007, HIGHER THAN THE 6.5% IN 2Q 2007. THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SEGMENT CONTINUED TO ACCOUNT FOR MUCH OF THE GROWTH IN THE SECTOR. IT SERVICES MAINTAINED ITS MODERATE GROWTH LEVEL FROM 2Q 2007.

IN THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SEGMENT, THE GROWTH OF MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS CONTINUED TO RISE, RISING BY 20%, UP FROM 18% IN 2Q 2007. INTERNATIONAL TELEPHONE CALL DURATION GREW TO 27%, UP FROM 24% IN 2Q 2007.

 

THE BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR EXPANDED BY 7.1%, SIMILAR TO THE 7.2% GAIN IN 2Q 2007. GROWTH WAS HEALTHY ACROSS ALL SEGMENTS, WITH GOOD PERFORMANCES IN THE BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVE OFFICES, REAL ESTATE AND PROFESSIONAL SERVICES SEGMENTS.

 

NEWS

 

SINGAPORE GROWTH SLOWS TO 6% IN 4Q 2007

 

THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY GREW AT A SLOWER-THAN-EXPECTED 6% GROWTH IN 4Q 2007, WEIGHED DOWN BY DECLINING MANUFACTURING OUTPUT.

 

ECONOMISTS HAD ANTICIPATED GROWTH OF 7.0-8.5% FOR 4Q 2007.

 

THE ESTIMATE FOR REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) GROWTH, COMPARED WITH 4Q 2006, MEANT THE GROWTH HAD MODERATED FROM THE REVISED GROWTH FIGURE OF 9% SEEN IN 3Q 2006, THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY SAID.

 

ON A QUARTER-ON-QUARTER SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUALISED BASIS, REAL GDP FELL BY 3.2% IN 4Q 2007 COMPARED WITH A 4.4% GAIN IN 3Q 2007, CAUSED BY A SLOWDOWN IN MANFACTURING OUTPUT.

 

THE FIGURE MARKS THE FIRST QUARTER-ON-QUARTER DECLINE SINCE 1Q 2005, ACCORDING TO DATA.

 

GROWTH IN THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR IS FORECASTED TO HAVE SLOWED FROM 10.3% IN 3Q 2007 TO 0.5% IN 4Q 2007. IT WAS LARGELY ATTRIBUTED TO A DECLINE IN THE BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING CLUSTER AS SOME ACTIVE PHARMACEUTICAL INGREDIENTS WERE NOT PRODUCED.

 

TRANSPORT ENGINEERING, WHICH INCLUDES OIL RIG MANUFACTURING AND SHIP REPAIR, CONTINUED TO SHOW DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH, WHILE THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR IS PREDICTED TO HAVE GROW STRONGLY BY 24.4% IN 4Q 2007, UP FROM 19.2% IN 3Q 2007.

 

GROWTH IN THE SERVICE SECTOR WAS STEADY AT 8.3%.

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY GREW BY 7.5% IN 2007, MARKING THE FOURTH STRAIGHT YEARS OF STRONG GROWTH, PRIME MINISTER LEE HSIEN LOONG SAID IN HIS NEW YEAR MESSAGE.

 

THE FIGURE FOR 2007 ECONOMIC EXPANSION WAS AT THE LOWER END OF THE GOVERNMENT’S UPGRADED FULL-YEAR GROWTH TARGET OF 7.5-8.0%, AND WAS BELOW THE 7.9% GROWTH REGISTERED FOR 2006.

 

MR LEE FORECAST GROWTH OF 4.5-6.5% FOR SINGAPORE IN 2008.

 

 

OUTLOOK

FOR 2008, EXTERNAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN SLIGHTLY COMPARED TO 2007. THE LINGERING EFFECTS OF THE SUB-PRIME PROBLEMS AND AN OVERALL WEAKENING OF THE HOUSING MARKET WILL DAMPEN US CONSUMPTION. EU GROWTH IS ALSO EXPECTED TO BE LOWER AS A STRONG CURRENCY ERODES EXPORT COMPETITIVENESS. HOWEVER, THE FORECAST FOR ASIAN ECONOMIES REMAIN POSITIVE, WITH CHINA EXPECTED TO SUBSTAIN DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH.

 

WITH THESE FACTORS IN MIND, THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY PREDICTS THS SINGAPORE ECONOMY TO GROW BY 4.5-6.5% IN 2008. THIS REPRESENTS A MODERATION IN GROWTH TOWARDS THE ECONOMY’S POTENTIAL RATE OF GROWTH, AFTER FOUR YEARS OF ABOVE-TREND GROWTH.

 

THERE ARE SOME DOWNSIDE RISKS. IF THE SUB-PRIME PROBLEMS WORSEN THAN EXPECTED, OR OIL PRICES RISE FURTHER IN 2008, THIS COULD BRING A GREATER-THAN-EXPECTED SLOWDOWN IN US, WHICH WOULD AFFECT THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY.

 

IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 17% OF FIRMS, ESPECIALLY INSURANCE COMPANIES, REMAINS POSITIVE ABOUT THE BUSINESS OUTLOOK IN THE MONTHS AHEAD.

 

FIRMS IN THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE

COMING MONTHS, IN PARTICULAR THE REAL ESTATE DEVELOPERS.

 

MANUFACTURING FIRMS REMAIN OPTIMISTIC FOR THE PERIOD ENDING MARCH 2008. A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 25% OF MANUFACTURERS FORECAST BETTER BUSINESS, SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN THE 22% REGISTERED BOTH IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER AND THE SAME PERIOD IN THE PREVIOUS YEAR.

 

WHOLESALERS  GENERALLY REMAIN POSITIVE ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS CONDITIONS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 24% OF FIRMS BEING OPTIMISTIC FOR THE COMING MONTHS. SEGMENTS THAT ARE EXPECTED TO PERFORM BETTER INCLUDE WHOLESALING OF FOOD AND BEVERAGES, WEARING APPAREL AND FOOTWEAR, COSMETICS AND TOILETRIES, AND HOUSEHOLD ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES.

 

RETAILERS ANTICIPATES BETTER BUSINESS IN THE COMING MONTHS DUE TO YEAR-END FESTIVE SHOPPING, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 31% BEING POSITIVE. THE SEGMENTS THAT ARE FORECASTING BRISK BUSINESS IN THE COMING MONTHS INCLUDE DEPARTMENT STORE AND SUPERMARKET OWNERS, WEARING APPAREL AND FOOTWEAR, FURNITURE AND FURNISHINGS, AND JEWELLERY AND WATCHES.

 

IN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 18% OF FIRMS FORECASTS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS.

 

HOTELIERS FORESEES A FAVOURABLE BUSINESS OUTLOOK, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 79% OF FIRMS EXPECTING THEIR BUSINESSES TO RISE IN ANTICIPATION OF HIGHER BANQUET SALES AND INCREASE IN ROOM REVENUE IN VIEW OF THE POSITIVE DEVELOPMENT IN THE TOURISM INDUSTRY. FIRMS IN THE CATERING TRADE INDUSTRY ALSO FORESEES BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS.

 

FIRMS IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY PREDICTS A HIGHER DEMAND FOR THEIR SERVICES, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 5%.

 

IN THE BUSINESS SERVICES INDUSTRY, AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 33% OF FIRMS EXPECTS POSITIVE SENTIMENTS. THESE INCLUDE ACCOUNTING, BOOK-KEEPING AND AUDITING, ENGINEERING AND SPECIALISED DESIGN SERVICES AS WELL AS TRAVEL AGENCIES.

 

EXTRACTED FROM: MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE

SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

CHANNEL NEWS ASIA


 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

NR

In view of the lack of information, we have no basis upon which to recommend credit dealings

No Rating

 

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)            Ownership background (20%)                 Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                    Market trend (10%)                                Operational size (10%)

 

 

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