MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

Report Date :

15.01.2008

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

ZF SOUTH EAST ASIA PTE LTD

 

 

Registered Office :

1 Marina Boulevard, #28-00 One Marina Boulevard

 

 

Country :

Singapore

 

 

Financials (as on) :

31.12.2006

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

17/08/1987

 

 

Com. Reg. No.:

198702489N

 

 

Legal Form :

Pte Ltd

 

 

Line of Business :

Automobile Supplier in Driving System and Chassis Technology

 

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

A

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

Fairly Large

 

Maximum Credit Limit :

EUR200,000

 

 

Status :

Good

 

 

Payment Behaviour :

Regular

 

 

Litigation :

Exists

 


Subject Company    

 

ZF SOUTH EAST ASIA PTE LTD

 

 

Line Of Business

 

AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIER IN DRIVING SYSTEM AND CHASSIS TECHNOLOGY

 

 

Parent Company

 

ZF FRIEDRICHSHAFEN

(PERCENTAGE OF SHAREHOLDING: 100%)

 

 

Financial Elements

 

                                     FY 2006

                                     COMPANY                  

Sales                                                               : S$68,093,000      

Networth                                                         : S$37,848,000  

Paid-Up Capital                                                                                                         : S$15,440,000  

Net result                                                        : S$3,222,000  

Net Margin(%)                      : 4.73

Return on Equity(%)              : 8.51

Leverage Ratio                       : 0.33   

 

 

Rating

 

Credit Requested           : EUR200,000

 

Credit Rating                : LOW RISK

 

Credit Opinion                : RECOMMEND ON EUR200,000

 

 

COMPANY IDENTIFICATION

 

Subject Company :                 ZF SOUTH EAST ASIA PTE LTD

Business Address:                 1 MARINA BOULEVARD

                                                #28-00 ONE MARINA BOULEVARD

Town:                                                              SINGAPORE                     

Postcode:                                                        018989

County:

Country:                                                          Singapore

Telephone:                              6424 8787/8775               

Fax:                                         6424 8788/8776

ROC Number:                        198702489N                   

Reg. Town:

 

 

SUMMARY

 

All amounts in this report are in: SGD

 

Legal Form:                            Pte Ltd                      

Date Inc.:                                17/08/1987

Summary year :                       31/12/2006    

Sales:                                      68,093,000      

Networth :                               37,848,000  

Capital:                          2,600,000     

Paid-Up Capital:                    15,440,000  

Employees:                                       

Net result :                              3,222,000  

Share value:

AUDITOR:                             ERNST & YOUNG

 

 

REFERENCES

 

Credit Requested                  : EUR200,000                                                

 

Credit Opinion                                                : RECOMMEND ON EUR200,000

 

Credit Rating                         : LOW RISK                                                                           

 

Litigation                                 : Yes

 

Company status                      : TRADING                                                   

 

Started                                                            : 17/08/1987

 

 

PRINCIPAL(S)

 

FRANCISCUS XAVIERUS LAUBSCHER                F2314728U      Managing Director

 

 

DIRECTOR(S)

 

ALOIS JOSEF LUDWIG                 5362044040     Director

Appointed on   : 01/01/2005

Street :              NESSHOVEN 2 D-53804

                          MUCH

Town:

Postcode:

 

Country:              Germany

 

MATHIAS BENZ                                      Director

Appointed on   : 01/01/2008

Street :              BLEICHWEG 20/3

Town:                LANGENARGEN

Postcode:          88085

Country:            Germany

 

FRANCISCUS XAVIERUS LAUBSCHER      F2314728U      Director

Appointed on   :01/04/1995

Street :               7B BALMORAL ROAD

                           #04-01

                           PINE SPRINGS

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:           259788

Country:             Singapore

 

FRANCISCUS XAVIERUS LAUBSCHER      F2314728U      Managing Director

Appointed on   :01/04/1995

Street :              7B BALMORAL ROAD

                          #04-01

                          PINE SPRINGS

Town:                SINGAPORE

Postcode:          259788

Country:            Singapore

 

CHAN MENG YOOK CHRISTINE           S1238658C      Company Secretary

Appointed on : 19/08/1987

Street :             11C SWISS CLUB ROAD

                         SWISS CLUB PARK

Town:               SINGAPORE

Postcode:         288103

Country:           Singapore

 

JEAN WAN YEN-PING                  S7722537D      Company Secretary

Appointed on :                         01/12/2003

Street :              10C BRADDELL HILL

                         #12-12

                         BRADDELL VIEW

Town:                SINGAPORE

Postcode:          579722

Country:            Singapore

 

 

FORMER DIRECTOR(S)

 

JOCKERS GERHARD WILLI                        SH4911729

 

 

 

ACTIVITY (IES)

 

TRANSMISSIONS - TRUCK, TRACTORS, ETC                    Code:22291

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD AS AT 09/01/2008

1) OTHER SUPPORT ACTIVITIES; TRADING AND AFTER SALES SERVICE OF ZF DRIVE SYSTEMS, TRANSMISSION

 

 

CHARGES

 

 No Charges On Premises/Property In Our Database

 

 

PREMISES/PROPERTY INFORMATIONS

 

 No Premises/Property Information In Our Databases

 

 

SHAREHOLDERS(S)

 

ZF FRIEDRICHSHAFEN                              15,440,000   Company

Street :              ALLMANNSWEILERSTRASSE 25

Town:                FRIEDRICHSHAFEN

Postcode:          D88046

Country:            Germany

 

 

FORMER SHAREHOLDER(S)

 

ZAHNRADFABRIK FRIEDRICHSHAFEN AKTIE              2,600,000  

 

 

HOLDING COMPANY

 

ZF FRIEDRICHSHAFEN                                      % :  100  

 

 

SUBSIDIARY(IES)

 

ZF (THAILAND) LTD

 

ZF SALES AND SERVICE (MALAYSIA) SDN BHD

 

ZF PHILIPPINES INC.

 

PAYMENT HISTORY AND EXPERIENCES

 

Trade Morality:                       AVERAGE

 

Liquidity :                                                        SUFFICIENT

 

Payments :                              REGULAR

 

Trend :                                                            LEVEL

 

Financial Situation:                AVERAGE

 

 

LITIGATION(S)

 

Type Of Case:      Filling Of Court Winding Up                 

 

Case Number:      HCW00037/94

 

Plaintiff                 ZF SOUTH EAST ASIA PTE LTD                     ROC # :  198702489N

 

Defendant            HARVEST TECHNOLOGY PTE LTD                 ROC # :  198905133W

 

 

FINANCIAL ELEMENTS

 

  Audit Qualification:         UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)         UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)

  Date Account Lodged:                 23/05/2007

  Balance Sheet Date:                  31/12/2006                  31/12/2005

  Number of weeks:                             52                          52

  Consolidation Code:                CONSOLIDATED                CONSOLIDATED

 

                         --- ASSETS ---   

 

 

  Preliminary Exp                         307,000                   1,047,000                             

  Tangible Fixed Assets:                5,847,000                   5,803,000                             

  Investments                             183,000                     183,000                             

  Total Fixed Assets:                   6,337,000                   7,033,000  

                          

  Inventories:                         19,888,000                  20,869,000                             

  Receivables:                         11,147,000                  10,468,000                             

  Cash,Banks, Securitis:               12,559,000                   5,506,000                             

  Other current assets:                   545,000                     614,000                             

  Total Current Assets:                44,139,000                  37,457,000                             

 

  TOTAL ASSETS:                        50,476,000                  44,490,000                             

 

 

                         --- LIABILITIES ---   

 

  Equity capital:                      15,440,000                  15,440,000                              

  Reserves:                                 9,000                    -119,000                              

  Profit & lost Account:               21,609,000                  18,848,000                              

  Other:                                  790,000                     700,000                              

  Total Equity:                        37,848,000                  34,869,000

                              

  L/T deffered taxes:                     176,000                      24,000                              

  Total L/T Liabilities:                  176,000                      24,000                              

 

  Trade Creditors:                      9,437,000                   7,320,000

  Prepay. & Def. charges:               1,372,000                     716,000                                                             

  Provisions:                             806,000                     569,000                              

  Other Short term Liab.:                 837,000                     992,000                              

  Total short term Liab.:              12,452,000                   9,597,000                              

 

  TOTAL LIABILITIES:                   12,628,000                   9,621,000                                

 

 

 PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT

 

  Net Sales                            68,093,000                  70,612,000

  Purchases,Sces & Other Goods:        52,520,000                  54,425,000                                                            

  Gross Profit:                        15,573,000                  16,187,000                              

  NET RESULT BEFORE TAX:                3,878,000                   2,131,000                              

  Tax :                                   656,000                     389,000                              

  Net income/loss year:                 3,222,000                   1,742,000                               

  Depreciation:                           697,000                     319,000                              

  Dividends:                              400,000                                                          

  Wages and Salaries:                   6,479,000                   5,223,000                              

  Financial Income:                       143,000                      40,000 

   

                        

RATIOS

                                                  31/12/2006             31/12/2005

Net result / Turnover(%):                              0.05                       0.02                      

Stock / Turnover(%):                                      0.29                       0.30                      

Net Margin(%):                                                          4.73                       2.47                      

Return on Equity(%):                                     8.51                       5.00                      

Return on Assets(%):                                    6.38                       3.92                      

Dividends Coverage:                                     8.05                       8.05                      

Net Working capital:              31687000.00         27860000.00               

Cash Ratio:                                                                  1.01                       0.57                      

Quick Ratio:                                                                  1.90                       1.66                      

Current ratio:                                                                 3.54                      3.90                      

Receivables Turnover:                                   58.93                     53.37                     

Leverage Ratio:                                                            0.33                       0.28                      

 

Net Margin                             : (100*Net income loss year)/Net sales 

Return on Equity                    : (100*Net income loss year)/Total equity

Return on Assets                   : (100*Net income loss year)/Total fixed assets

Dividends Coverage              : Net income loss year/Dividends 

Net Working capital               : (Total current assets/Total short term liabilities)/1000

Cash Ratio                             : Cash Bank securities/Total short term liabilities

Quick Ratio                             : (Cash Bank securities+Receivables)/Total Short term liabilities

Current ratio                           : Total current assets/Total short term liabilities

Inventory Turnover                  : (360*Inventories)/Net sales 

Receivables Turnover            : (Receivable*360)/Net sales 

Leverage Ratio                                               : Total liabilities/(Total equity-Intangible assets)

FINANCIAL COMMENTS

 

THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE GROUP WAS SEEN TO BE STABLE TO FAIR IN VIEW OF THE FOLLOWING:

 

NET WORTH:

THE BALANCE SHEET WAS CONSIDERED SOUND WITH NET WORTH IMPROVED BY 8.54% FROM S$34,869,000 IN FY 2005 TO S$37,848,000 IN FY 2006. THIS WAS DUE TO HIGHER ACCUMULATED PROFIT OF S$21,609,000 (2005: S $18,848,000); A RISE OF 14.65% FROM THE PRIOR FINANCIAL YEAR.

 

LEVERAGE:

IN THE SHORT-TERM, SUBJECT WAS LARGELY FINANCED BY TRADE CREDITORS WHICH MADE UP 75.78% (2005: 76.27%) OF THE TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES AND AMOUNTED TO S$9,437,000 (2005: S$7,320,000). THE BREAKDOWN IS AS FOLLOWS:

 

-TRADE CREDITOR- 2006: S$1,247,000 (2005: S$743,000)

-DUE TO ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY- 2006: S$1,914,000 (2005: S $1,497,000)

-DUE FROM RELATED COMPANY- 2006: S$6,276,000 (2005: S$5,080,000)

 

IN ALL, LEVERAGE RATIO ROSE FROM 0.28 TIMES TO 0.33 TIMES AS A RESULT OF A GREATER RISE IN TOTAL LIABILITIES THAN TOTAL EQUITY.

 

LIQUIDITY:

IN GENERAL, SUBJECT'S LIQUIDITY SITUATION WAS PASSABLE AS SEEN FROM THE RISE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS. CURRENT RATIO ROSE TO 2.08 TIMES, FROM 2.00 TIMES AND QUICK RATIO IMPROVED TO 1.29 TIMES FROM 0.95 TIMES IN FY 2005.

 

SIMILARLY, NET WORKING CAPITAL IMPROVED BY 10.99% FROM S$3,337,000 IN FY 2005 TO S$3,704,000.

 

PROFITABILITY:

REVENUE POSTED A DECLINE OF 3.56% FROM S$70,612,000 IN FY 2005 TO S $68,093,000 BUT NET PROFIT ROSE BY 84.96% TO S$3,222,000 (2005: S $1,742,000). THIS COULD BE DUE TO LOWER GENERAL AND ADMINSTRATIVE EXPENSES OF S$12,661,000 (2005: S$14,881,000). HENCE, NET MARGIN FELL TO 2.19% (2005: 2.66%).

 

DEBT SERVICING:

DEBT SERVICING PROBLEMS MIGHT NOT BE EXPECTED IF REVENUE AND EARNINGS CAN BE MAINTAINED AND PAYMENT BY TRADE DEBTORS ARE FORTHCOMING. IN ADDITION, SUBJECT DID NOT INCUR ANY INTEREST EXPENSE FOR THE FINANCIAL YEARS UNDER REVIEW.

 

NON-CURRENT ASSETS:

THE FOLLOWING ITEMS ARE CLASSIFIED UNDER PRELIMINARY:

-LOAN TO A RELATED COMPANY- 2006: NIL (2005: S$984,000)

-LOAN TO A RELATED COMPANY- 2006: S$107,000 (2005: NIL)

-LOAN TO A RELATED COMPANY- 2006: S$3,000 (2005: NIL)

-LOAN TO A RELATED COMPANY- 2006: S$197,000 (2005: S$63,000)

 

 

BACKGROUND/OPERATION

 

THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON 17/08/1987 AS A LIMITED PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER ITS PRESENT NAMESTYLE AS "ZF SOUTH EAST ASIA PTE LTD".

 

THE COMPANY HAS AN ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 15,440,000 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$15,440,000.

 

PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:

SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH THE ACCOUNTING AND CORPORATE REGULATORY AUTHORITY (ACRA) BE PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:

 

1) OTHER SUPPORT ACTIVITIES; TRADING AND AFTER SALES SERVICE OF ZF DRIVE SYSTEMS, TRANSMISSION  AND STEERING

 

DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR(S), UNDER REVIEW, SUBJECT'S PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES ARE:

 

A) SALES PROMOTION, MARKETING, ARRANGING OF SLAES FOR ZF GROUP MEMBER COMPANIES, SALES ON OWN ACCOUNT;

 

B) DEVELOPEING OF BUSINESS OPPORTUNITIES FOR ZF GROUP COMPANIES INCLUDING INTIATING OF TECHINICAL CO-OPERATION AGREEMENTS ON LICENSE OR JOINT VENTURE BASIS BETWEEN ZF GROUP MEMBERS AND REGIONAL PARTNERS;

 

C) COORDINATING AND SUPERVISING JOINT AND MARKETING ACTIVITIES FOR ZF GROUP MEMBERS

 

D) PREPARATION OF AND PARTICIPATING IN FEASIBILITY STUDIES FOR REGIONAL MANUFACTURING OF ZF COMPONENTS;

 

E) MARKETING OF ENGINEERING KNOW-HOW, PROPERTY AND PARENT RIGHTS FOR

ZF PRODUCTS;

 

F) PERFORMING AFTER SALES SERVICE AND WORKSHOP OVERHAUL FOR ZF PRODUCTS;

 

G) RESEARCHING FOR, INDENTIFYING AND DEVELOPING LOW COST PROCUREMENT SOURCES OF GOOD QUALITY FOR MATERIAL AND COMPNENETS, NEEDED BY ZF GROUP; AND

 

H) PERFORMING MARKET ANALYSIS FOR SPECIFIC ZF PRODUCT APPLICATION SECTORS.

 

FROM THE RESEARCH DONE, THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:

 

BACKGROUND:

ZF, A CORPORATE GROUP WITH AROUND 55,000 EMPLOYEES AT 120 LOCATIONS IN 25 COUNTRIES, IS A WORLD WIDE LEADING AUTOMOBILE SUPPLIER IN DRIVING SYSTEM AND CHASSIS TECHNOLOGY. ZF REACHED A TOTAL REVENUE OF 11.7 BILLION EURO IN 2006. WITH THAT, ZF RANKS THIRD AMONG GERMANY'S LARGEST AUTOMOBILE CORPORATE GROUPS AND 15TH WORLDWIDE. . IN ORDER TO

CONTINUE TO BE SUCCESSFUL WITH INNOVATIVE PRODUCTS, ZF ANNUALLY INVESTS FIVE PERCENT OF ITS SALES (2006: EUR 600 MILLION OF EUR 11.7 BILLION) IN RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT.

 

PRODUCTS:

* ZF MARINE GEARS (THIS APPLIES TO SOUTH EAST ASIA ONLY)

* AUTOMATIC TRANSMISSIONS FOR BUSES AND SPECIAL VEHICLES

* POWERSHIFT TRANSMISSIONS

* AXLES FOR OFF-HIGHWAY VEHICLES/CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY

* TRANSITMIXER-GEARBOXES

* POWERSTEERING GEARS

* MACHINE-TOOL GEARBOXES

* ELECTROMAGNETIC CLUTCHES

* OTHER ZF TRANSMISSION PRODUCTS.

* SACHS (SHOCK ABSORBERS AND CLUTCHES)

* LEMFÖRDER (STEERING AND SUSPENSION COMPONENTS)

* BOGE (SHOCK ABSORBERS AND RUBBER METAL COMPONENTS)

* ZF PARTS (STEERING GEARS AND STEERING PUMPS)

 

 BRANDS:

* LEMFOERDER

* BOGE

* SACHS

* ZF

 

NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE AS TELE-INTERVIEW WAS NOT GRANTED BY SUBJECT'S PERSONNEL .

 

REGISTERED ADDRESS:

1 MARINA BOULEVARD

#28-00 ONE MARINA BOULEVARD

SINGAPORE 018989

DATE OF CHANGE OF ADDRESS: 19/04/2004

 

BUSINESS ADDRESS:

11 TUAS DRIVE 1

SINGAPORE 638678

 

WEBSITE:

http://www.zf-seasia.com

 

EMAIL:

singapore@zf-seasia.com

 

 

MANAGEMENT

 

THE DIRECTORS AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT ARE:

 

1) ALOIS JOSEF LUDWIG, A GERMAN

    - BASED IN GERMANY

 

2) MATHIAS BENZ, A GERMAN

   - BASED IN GERMANY

 

3) FRANCISCUS XAVIERUS, A SOUTH AFRICAN

    - BASED IN SINGAPORE

 

 

Singapore’s Country Rating 2007

 

Investment Grade

 

IN SINGAPORE, THE POLITICAL SITUATION REMAINS STABLE.

 

SINGAPORE BOASTS THE BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA, WITH AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM FACILITATING DEBT COLLECTION AND TO A HIGH DEGREE OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.

 

EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS HAVE REMAINED SUBSTANTIALLY IN SURPLUS, CONTRIBUTED TO THE DYNAMISM OF THE ELECTRONICS AND PHARMACEUTICALS SECTORS AND TO REPATRIATION OF PROFITS FROM SINGAPORE INVESTMENTS. THE FINANCIAL AND TOURISM SECTORS HAVE ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS.

 

SINGAPORE CONTINUES TO KEENLY WELCOME FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND OFFERS A VERY OPEN AND WELL-PLANNED ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT. IT HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING AMBITIOUS DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY, FOCUSED PARTICULARLY ON THE CHEMICALS AND PHARMACEUTICAL SECTORS.

 

THE GOVERNMENT USES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO DEVELOP PRIORITY SECTORS (ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY). THE AIM IS TO ENCOURAGE THE GROWTH OF HIGH ADDED-VALUE ACTIVITIES AND TURN SINGAPORE INTO A REGIONAL HUB FOR FOREIGN INVESTORS INTERESTED IN ASIA.

 

CERTAIN SECTORS (MEDIA, LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERVICES) ARE HOWEVER ONLY PARTIALLY OPENTO FOREIGN INVESTMENT. THESE SECTORS ARE SLOWLY OPENING UP, BUT THE PROGRESS IS SLOW.

 

AFTER HIGH GROWTH IN 2006, BUOYED BY THE DYNAMISM OF BOTH EXPORTS AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, A SLOWDOWN IS EXPECTED IN 2007.

 

 

ASSETS

 

 

 

WEAKNESSES

 

 

 

 

 

OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE

 

PAST PERFORMANCE  

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY GREW BY 6.1% IN QUARTER 1 OF 2007 AFTER A 6.6% GROWTH IN QUARTER 4 OF 2006. THE GROWTH MOMENTUM EASED SLIGHTLY TO 7.6% IN 1Q 2007, COMPARED WITH 7.9% A QUARTER EARLIER. GROWTH IN QUARTER 1 WAS LED BY THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AND CONSTRUCTION SECTORS. THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR CONTINUED TO EXPERIENCE A MODERATION IN GROWTH.

 

THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASED BY 13% IN 1Q 2007 ON THE HEELS OF THE 11% GROWTH A QUARTER AGO. THE STRONG PERFORMANCE WAS ACROSS ALL MAJOR FINANCIAL SEGMENTS, PARTICULARLY IN THE CAPITAL AND MONEY MARKETS. FUND MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES REMAINED BOUYANT, IN LINE WITH THE CONTINUED STRENGTH IN ECONOMIC CLIMATE. SIMILARLY, BANKS SAW STRONG GROWTH, BOUYED BY SUSTAINED RESILIENCE IN THE ASIA DOLLAR MARKET AS WELL AS A STEADY INCREASE IN DOMESTIC LENDING ACTIVITY.

 

THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR GREW BY 9.7% IN 1Q 2007, ITS STRONGEST GROWTH IN 9 YEARS. CERTIFIED PAYMENTS INCREASE BY 9.5% IN 1Q 2007, SUPPORTED BY STRONG GROWTH IN THE PRIVATE RESIDENTIAL, COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL SEGMENTS AS WELL AS PUBLIC RESIDENTIAL SEGMENT. HOWEVER, CONTRACTS AWARDED FELL BY 11% IN 1Q 2007, DUE MAINLY TO THE DROP IN THE PRIVATE COMMERCIAL AND PUBLIC INSTITUTIONAL SEGMENTS.

 

MANUFACTURING SECTOR INCREASED BY 4.3% IN 1Q 2007, DOWN FROM 7.7% IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. BOTH BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING (-5.0%) AND PRECISION ENGINEERING (-0.7%) CLUSTERS SAW LOWER PRODUCTION DURING THE QUARTER. THE ELECTRONICS CLUSTER, HOWEVER, RECOVERED FROM A 4.1% CONTRACTION IN 4Q 2006 TO REGISTER AN INCREASE OF 2.6% IN 1Q 2007. THE TRANSPORT ENGINEERING CLUSTER CONTINUED TO EXPAND STRONGLY AT 23%, FOLLOWING A 25% INCREASE IN 4Q 2006.

 

THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR EXPANDED 6.7% IN 1Q 2007 AFTER A 6.9 GROWTH IN 4Q 2006. RETAIL SALES GROWTH EASED FROM 7.9% IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER TO 6.1% IN 1Q 2007, MAINLY DUE TO A DECELERATION IN MOTOR VEHICLES SALES. EXCLUDING MOTOR VEHICLES, RETAIL SALES ROSE BY 5.9%, UP FROM 4.2% IN 4Q 2006. IN THE WHOLESALE SEGMENT, GROWTH OF NON-OIL RE-EXPORTS REMAINED FIRM AT 5.9%, SLOWER THAN 6.3% IN 4Q 2006.

 

THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR GREW 4.4% IN 1Q 2007, UP FROM 4.0% A QUARTER EARLIER. THE AIR SEGMENT SAW A SLOWDOWN DUE TO A MODERATION IN AIR PASSENGER TRAFFIC GROWTH AND A DECLINE IN AIR CARGO. STRONGER ACTIVITY WAS RECORDED IN THE SEA SEGMENT ON THE BACK OF BETTER PERFORMANCE IN SEA CARGO HANDLED AND CONTAINER THROUGHPUT.

 

THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR REGISTERED A SLOWER GROWTH OF 4.7% IN 1Q 2007, DOWN FROM 6.1% 4Q 2006. VISITOR ARRIVALS GREW AT A MORE MODEST PACE OF 4.1% COMPARED TO 8.4% IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. THE INCREASE IN HOTEL ROOM REVENUE MODERATED FROM THE 21% GAIN IN 4Q 2006 TO 14% IN 1Q 2007. HOWEVER, THE AVERAGE OCCUPANCY RATE OF HOTELS REMAINED HIGH AT 87%, A 4.3% POINTS INCREASE OVER THE CORRESPONDING PERIOD LAST YEAR.

 

THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR GREW 6.6% IN 1Q 2007, UP FROM 6.0% IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. WHILE THE IT SEGMENT SAW SOME MODERATION IN ACTIVITIES, THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SEGMENT PERFORMED BETTER. INTERNATIONAL TELEPHONE CALL DURATION WENT UP SHARPLY BY 19%, UP FROM 11% IN 4Q 2006. GROWTH IN THE NUMBER OF MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS AND BROADBAND SUBSCRIBERS ALSO REMAINED STRONG DURING THE QUARTER.

 

BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR EXPANDED BY 6.6% IN 1Q 2007, BETTER THAN THE 5.4% POSTED IN 4Q 2006. ROBUST PERFORMANCE WAS SEEN IN THE REAL ESTATE SEGMENT ON THE BACK OF CONTINUED STRENGTH IN THE LUXURY PROPERTY MARKET. THE SECTOR WAS ALSO WELL SUPPORTED BY THE OTHER SEGMENTS, PARTICULARLY BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVE OFFICES, AND BUSINESS & MANAGEMENT CONSULTANCY ACTIVITIES.

 

 

OUTLOOK

 

THE ECONOMIC OUTLOOK IS GENERALLY POSITIVE BUT SOME DOWNSIDE RISKS REMAIN. THESE INCLUDE A SLOWDOWN IN THE US ECONOMY, VULNERABILITY OF OIL PRICES TO SUPPLY SHOCKS AND A DISORDERLY UNWINDING OF GLOBAL UNBALANCES. BARRING THESE UNCERTAINTIES, ECONOMIC GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HEALTHY IN 2007.

 

BUSINESS SENTIMENTS ARE GENERALLY POSITIVE IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY. BANKS AND FINANCE COMPANIES, FUND MANAGEMENT FIRMS AND INSURANCE COMPANIES EXPECT AN IMPROVEMENT IN THE BUSINESS CLIMATE IN THE COMING MONTHS.

 

AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 61% OF FIRMS IN THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY EXPECTS BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS. WITHIN THE INDUSTRY, REAL ESTATE DEVELOPERS AND AGENTS FORESEE BRISK BUSINESS ACTIVITY AHEAD.

 

MANUFACTURING SECTORS ARE MORE OPTIMISTIC IN THE NEXT 6 MONTHS COMPARED TO THE FIRST QUARTER OF THE YEAR. OVERALL, A WEIGHTED 30% OF MANUFACTURERS FORESEE AN IMPROVED OUTLOOK, WHILE 4% PREDICT DETERIORATION. THIS RESULTS IN A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 26% OF MANUFACTURERS EXPECTING BUSINESS CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE, WHICH IS HIGHER THAN 7% RECORDED A QUARTER AGO.

 

WHOLESALERS EXPECT TO DO WELL FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS, WITH A POSITIVE NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 17%. DEALERS OF FOOD AND BEVERAGES, TROPICAL PRODUCE, TEXTILES & LEATHER GOODS AND HOUSEHOLD ELECTRICAL APPLIANCE & EQUIPMENT ARE AMONG THOSE WHO ARE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE BUSINESS OUTLOOK AHEAD.

 

FIRMS IN THE RETAIL TRADE FORESEE BUSINESS TO BE LESS BRISK. IN PARTICULAR, DEPARTMENT STORES, SUPERMARKETS AND RETAILERS OF MOTOR VEHICLES EXPECT SLOWER BUSINESS IN THE COMING MONTHS.

 

WITHIN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 18% OF FIRMS FORECASTS IMPROVED BUSINESS PROSPECTS FOR THE NEXT 6 MONTHS. IN PARTICULAR, FIRMS IN THE WATER TRANSPORT AND SUPPORTING SERVICES EXPECT HIGHER LEVEL OF BUSINESS ACTIVITY.

 

HOTELIERS PROJECT A FAVOURABLE BUSINESS OUTLOOK, WHICH IS IN TANDEM WITH THE POSITIVE SENTIMENTS IN THE TOURISM MARKET. FOR THE CATERING TRADE INDUSTRY, BUSINESS OUTLOOK IN THE COMING MONTHS REMAINS THE SAME.

 

FIRMS IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION INDUSTRY ANTICIPATES A HIGHER LEVEL OF BUSINESS ACTIVITY, WITH A POSITIVE NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 12%.

 

IN THE BUSINESS SERVICES INDUSTRY, AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 24% OF FIRMS EXPRESSES POSITIVE SENTIMENTS. THESE INCLUDE FIRM ENGAGED IN RENTING OF CONSTRUCTION & INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY, ARCHITECTURAL & ENGINEERING, SPECIALISED DESIGN AND LABOUR RECRUITMENT SERVICES.

 

EXTRACTED FROM: MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE 

                SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

                CHANNELNEWS ASIA

 

 

 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

NR

In view of the lack of information, we have no basis upon which to recommend credit dealings

No Rating

 

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)            Ownership background (20%)                 Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                    Market trend (10%)                                Operational size (10%)

 

 

PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL : This information is provided to you at your request, you having employed MIPL for such purpose. You will use the information as aid only in determining the propriety of giving credit and generally as an aid to your business and for no other purpose. You will hold the information in strict confidence, and shall not reveal it or make it known to the subject persons, firms or corporations or to any other. MIPL does not warrant the correctness of the information as you hold it free of any liability whatsoever. You will be liable to and indemnify MIPL for any loss, damage or expense, occasioned by your breach or non observance of any one, or more of these conditions