MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

 

Report Date :

05.06.2008

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

GOLD MATRIX RESOURCES PTE. LTD.

 

 

Registered Office :

101 Cecil Street #25-12 Tong Eng Building

 

 

Country :

Singapore

 

 

Financials (as on) :

31.03.2006

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

02.11.2004

 

 

Com. Reg. No.:

200414243H 

 

 

Legal Form :

Pte Ltd               

 

 

Line of Business :

General Trading

 

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

B

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

26-40

B

Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

Small

 

Status :

Moderate

 

 

Payment Behaviour :

Unknown

 

 

Litigation :

Clear

 

 

 

Subject Company   

 

GOLD MATRIX RESOURCES PTE. LTD.

 

 

Line Of Business  

 

GENERAL TRADING

 

 

Parent Company    

 

SINO INVESTMENT GLOBAL LIMITED

(PERCENTAGE OF SHAREHOLDINGS: 100.00%)

 

 

Financial Elements

 

FY 2006

COMPANY

Sales                            : US$ 10,610,356

Networth                                   : US$  2,038,590

Paid-Up Capital                                     : US$  2,007,118

Net result                      : US$     31,472

 

Net Margin(%)               : 0.30

Return on Equity(%)       : 1.54

Leverage Ratio               : 2.52

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COMPANY IDENTIFICATION

 

Subject Company                   : GOLD MATRIX RESOURCES PTE. LTD.

Former Name                                                 : -

Business Address                  : 101 CECIL STREET

#25-12

TONG ENG BUILDING

Town                                                               : SINGAPORE                     

Postcode                                 : 069533

Country                                                           : Singapore

Telephone                               : 6491 1100                    

Fax                                                                  : 6220 0400

ROC Number                                                 : 200414243H                   

Reg. Town                              : -

 

 

SUMMARY

 

All amounts in this report are in :  USD unless otherwise stated

 

Legal Form                             : Pte Ltd               

Date Inc.                                 : 02/11/2004

Previous Legal Form             : -

Summary year                                                 : 31/03/2006                                  

Sales                                                               : 10,610,356

Networth                                 : 2,038,590

Capital                                                            : -                                                                    

Paid-Up Capital                                             : 2,007,118

Employees                              : 3                                                                   

Net result                                : 31,472

Share value                             : 1

Auditor                                                            : BDO RAFFLES

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

NO OF SHARES   CURRENCY                 AMOUNT

ISSUED ORDINARY        4,856,203                                    SGD                4,856,203.00

PAID-UP ORDINARY           -                                              SGD                4,856,203.00

 

 

REFERENCES

 

Litigation                                 : No

Company status                      : TRADING            

Started                                                            : 02/11/2004

 

 

PRINCIPAL(S)

 

PINAKI RATH                                  S6960871Z      Managing Director

 

DIRECTOR(S)

 

PINAKI RATH                        S6960871Z      Director

Appointed on : 30/08/2005

Street :              9 RHU CROSS

#05-08

COSTA RHU

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             437436

Country:              Singapore

 

PINAKI RATH                        S6960871Z      Managing Director

Appointed on : 27/12/2005

Street :              9 RHU CROSS

#05-08

COSTA RHU

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             437436

Country:              Singapore

 

LIM SAI BENG                       S0307980E      Director

Appointed on : 11/07/2005

Street :              20 DOVER CRESCENT

#12-314

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             130020

Country:              Singapore

 

LAU SIEK LING                      S7578028A      Company Secretary

Appointed on : 30/08/2005

Street :              35 TELOK BLANGAH RISE

#04-285

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             090035

Country:              Singapore

 

 

ACTIVITY(IES)

 

IMPORTERS And EXPORTERS                                        Code:11760

 

METALS - BASE - DEALERS And BROKERS                     Code:13960

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

1) GENERAL WHOLESALE TRADE (INCLUDING GENERAL IMPORTERS & EXPORTERS)

2) OTHER INVESTMENT HOLDING COMPANIES

 

 

 

 

 

CHARGES

 

Date:         11/07/2006

Comments :    CHARGE NO                                                : C200604511

AMOUNT SECURED          : 0.00 AND ALL MONIES OWING

CAHRGEE(S)                       : INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK

 

 

Date:         10/03/2006

Comments :    CHARGE NO                                                : C200601594

AMOUNT SECURED          : 0.00 AND ALL MONIES OWING

CAHRGEE(S)                       : INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK

 

 

Date:         16/10/2007

Comments :    CHARGE NO                                                : C200708741, C200708725

AMOUNT SECURED          : 0.00 AND ALL MONIES OWING

CAHRGEE(S)                       : BANK OF INDIA

 

 

Date:         11/02/2008

Comments :    CHARGE NO                                                : C200801558, C200801557

AMOUNT SECURED          : 0.00 AND ALL MONIES OWING

CAHRGEE(S)                       : THE HONGKONG & SHANGHAI BANKINC CORPORATION LTD

 

 

PREMISES/PROPERTY INFORMATIONS

 

Date                                                                : 14/02/2007

Tax rate                                   : 10

Site Address                           : 101 CECIL STREET

#25-12

TONG ENG BUILDING

Postcode                                 : 069533

Country                                                           : Singapore

Annual Value                          : 31,500

 

*     TAX RATE OF 4% MEANS THE ADDRESS (I.E RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY) IS OWNER OCCUPIED.

*     TAX RATE OF 10% MEANS THE ADDRESS (I.E RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY) IS PARTIALLY OR FULLY RENTED OUT BY THE OWNER/OWNED BY COMPANY.

*     FOR PROPERTIES OTHER THAN RESIDENTIAL PROPERTIES REGARDLESS RENTED OUT OR NOT, THE TAX RATE IS 10% (I.E INDUSTRIAL AND COMMERCIAL PROPERTY).

*     ANNUAL VALUE IS THE ESTIMATED ANNUAL RENT THE PROPERTY CAN FETCH IF IT WERE RENTED OUT. THE ANNUAL VALUE IS DETERMINED IN THE SAME MANNER REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE PROPERTY IS LET-OUT, OWNER-OCCUPIED OR VACANT.

 

 

BANKERS

 

INDIAN OVERSEAS BANK

 

THE HONGKONG AND SHANGHAI BANKING CORPORATION LTD

 

SHAREHOLDERS(S)

 

SINO INVESTMENT GLOBAL LIMITED                   4,856,203   Company

Street :              PALM GROVE HOUSE P O BOX 438

ROAD TOWN

Town:                 TORTOLA

Postcode:

Country:              Virgin Islands (British)

 

 

HOLDING COMPANY

 

SINO INVESTMENT GLOBAL LIMITED          UF40940N        % :  100

 

 

SUBSIDIARY(IES)

 

No Participation In Our Database

 

 

PAYMENT HISTORY AND EXPERIENCES

 

Trade Morality                                                : AVERAGE

Liquidity                                  : SUFFICIENT

Payments                                : UNKNOWN

Trend                                                             : UNKNOWN

Financial Situation                 : AVERAGE

 

 

FINANCIAL ELEMENTS

 

 

  Audit Qualification:        "MILD" UNCERTAINTIES

  Date Account Lodged:                 05/06/2006

  Balance Sheet Date:                  31/03/2006

  Number of weeks:                             72

  Consolidation Code:                     COMPANY

 

                         --- ASSETS ---     

  Tangible Fixed Assets:                    7,511                                                        

  Total Fixed Assets:                       7,511

                                                       

  Inventories:                          2,245,541                                                         

  Receivables:                          3,153,313                                                        

  Cash,Banks, Securitis:                1,748,419                                                        

  Other current assets:                    26,077                                                        

  Total Current Assets:                 7,173,350                                                        

 

  TOTAL ASSETS:                         7,180,861                                                         

 

 

                         --- LIABILITIES ---     

 

  Equity capital:                       2,007,118                                                          

  Profit & lost  Account:                  31,472                                                          

  Total Equity:                         2,038,590                                                          

 

  Trade Creditors:                        108,677                                                           

  Due to Bank:                          5,007,158                                                          

  Other Short term Liab.:                   5,124                                                          

  Prepay. & Def. charges:                  21,312                                                          

  Total short term Liab.:               5,142,271                                                          

 

  TOTAL LIABILITIES:                    5,142,271                                                              

 

 

                         --- PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT ---     

 

  Net Sales                            10,610,356

  Purchases,Sces & Other Goods:        10,459,716                                                                                                           

  Gross Profit:                           150,640                                                          

  NET RESULT BEFORE TAX:                   31,472                                                           

  Net income/loss year:                    31,472                                                          

  Depreciation:                             3,755                                                           

  Directors Emoluments:                    31,997                                                          

  Wages and Salaries:                       5,747                                                          

  Financial Income:                        16,629                                                          

 

 

RATIOS

 

                             31/03/2006

  Turnover per employee:     3536785.33                

  Stock / Turnover(%):       0.21                      

  Net Margin(%):             0.30                      

  Return on Equity(%):       1.54                      

  Return on Assets(%):       0.44                      

  Net Working capital:       2031079.00                

  Cash Ratio:                0.34                       

  Quick Ratio:               0.95                      

  Current ratio:             1.39                      

  Receivables Turnover:      106.99                    

  Leverage Ratio:            2.52                      

 

 

Net Margin                             : (100*Net income loss year)/Net sales

Return on Equity                    : (100*Net income loss year)/Total equity

Return on Assets                   : (100*Net income loss year)/Total fixed assets

Net Working capital               : (Total current assets - Total short term liabilities)

Cash Ratio                             : Cash Bank securities/Total short term liabilities

Quick Ratio                             : (Cash Bank securities + Receivables)/Total Short term Liabilities

Current ratio                           : Total current assets/Total short term liabilities

Receivables Turnover            : (Receivable*360)/Net sales

Leverage Ratio                                               : Total liabilities/(Total equity-Intangible assets)

 

 

 

FINANCIAL COMMENTS

 

AUDITORS REPORT

ATTENTION IS DRAWN TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS REGARDING THE IDENTITY

OF THE ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY.

 

THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE COMPANY WAS SEEN TO BE FAIR IN VIEW OF

THE FOLLOWING:

 

NET WORTH:

THE BALANCE SHEET WAS CONSIDERED PASSABLE WITH NET WORTH IN POSITIVE REGION OF USD2,038,590. THIS WAS DUE TO SUBJECT'S PROFIT FOR THE PERIOD AMOUNTIG TO USD31,472.

 

LEVERAGE:

IN THE SHORT-TERM, SUBJECT WAS LARGELY FINANCED BY TRUST RECEIPTS WHICH MADE UP 97.37% OF TOTAL SHORT TERM LIABILITIES AND AMOUNTED TO USD5,007,158.

 

TRADE CREDITORS AMOUNTED TO USD108,677 FOR THE FINANCIAL PERIOD.

 

SUBJECT DID NOT INCUR ANY LONG TERM LIABILITIES DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR UNDER REVIEW.

 

IN ALL, LEVERAGE RATIO WAS AT 2.52 TIMES. THIS WAS DUE TO SUBJECT'S OVERWHELMING TOTAL LIABILITIES AS COMPARED TO ITS TOTAL EQUITY.

 

LIQUIDITY:

IN GENERAL, SUBJECT'S LIQUIDITY SITUATION WAS PASSABLE AS SEEN FROM THE RISE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL WHICH AMOUNTED TO USD2,031,079.

 

CURRENT RATIO AND QUICK RATIO WERE AT 1.39 TIMES AND 0.95 TIMES RESPECTIVELY.

 

PROFITABILITY:

SUBJECT POSTED A REVENUE OF USD10,610,356 AND ACHIEVED A NET PROFIT OF USD31,472. HENCE NET MARGIN WAS IN POSITIVE REGION OF 0.30%.

 

DEBT SERVICING:

DEBT SERVICING PROBLEMS MIGHT NOT BE EXPECTED IF REVENUE AND EARNINGS CAN BE MAINTAINED AND PAYMENT BY TRADE DEBTORS ARE FORTHCOMING. IN ADDITION, SUBJECT DID NOT INCUR ANY INTEREST EXPENSES DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR.

 

 

NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:

 

INTEREST BEARING LOANS

 

*TRUST RECEIPTS - 2006: USD5,007,158

 

THIS CARRIES AN EFFECTIVE INTEREST RATE OF 7.33% P.A. THE ABOVE LOAN IS SECURED BY A LIEN ON FIXED DEPOSITS, AN OPEN CHARGE ON THE RECIEVABLES, BOOK DEBTS, AND STOCKS OF THE COMPANY AND A GUARANTEE FROM ITS HOLDING AND ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY.

 

COMPARATIVE FIGURES

THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED ON 02/11/2004. THERE WERE NO COMPARATIVE FIGURES AVAILABLE SINCE THIS IS THE FIRST SET OF THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS.

 

 

BACKGROUND/OPERATION

 

THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON 02/11/2004 AS A LIMITED PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER THE PRESENT NAMESTYLE OF "GOLD MATRIX RESOURCES PTE. LTD.".

 

AS AT 05/06/2008, THE COMPANY HAS AN ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 3,340,000 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$3,340,000.

 

PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:

SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH THE ACCOUNTING AND CORPORATE REGULATORY

AUTHORITY (ACRA) TO BE PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:

1) GENERAL WHOLESALE TRADE (INCLUDING GENERAL IMPORTERS & EXPORTERS)

2) OTHER INVESTMENT HOLDING COMPANIES

 

DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR (S) UNDER REVIEW, THE PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES OF THE COMPANY ARE TO CARRY ON THE BUSINESS OF GENERAL TRADING.

 

FROM THE RESEARCH DONE, THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:

 

ACTIVITIES:

* TRADING COMPANY SPECIALISED IN THE BASE METALS MARKET

* OFFERS STRUCTURED PRODUCTS COMBINING TRADE AND COMMODITY FINANCE,

INSURANCE, HEDGING STRATEGIES AND LOGISTICAL SUPPORT

 

SUBJECT'S PRODUCT PORTFOLIO INCLUDES THE SIX BASE METALS:

* NICKEL

* ZINC

* TIN

* ALUMINIUM

* COPPER

* LEAD

 

MARKET PRESENCE:

* SOUTH AND SOUTH-EAST ASIA

 

FROM THE TELE-INTERVIEW CONDUCTED, THE FOLLOWING WAS GATHERED:

 

ACTIVITIES:

* TRADING OF BASE METALS

 

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES:

* 2008: 3

 

NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION WAS AVAILABLE

 

SUBJECT IS A WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARY OF SINO INVESTMENT GLOBAL LIMITED, INCORPORATED IN THE BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.

 

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES (31 MARCH):

* COMPANY - 2006: 2

 

 

REGISTERED AND BUSINESS ADDRESS:

101 CECIL STREET

#25-12

TONG ENG BUILDING

SINGAPORE 069533

DATE OF CHANGE OF ADDRESS: 14/09/2006

- OWNED PREMISE

- OFFICE

 

WEBSITE:

http://www.goldmatrixresources.com

 

EMAIL:

gmr@goldmatrixresources.com

pinaki@goldmatrixresources.com

anuj@goldmatrixresources.com

 

 

MANAGEMENT

 

THE DIRECTORS AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT ARE:

 

1) LIM SAI BENG, A SINGAPOREAN

- HOLDS OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE:

GOLDEN VANTAGE PTE LTD

ERG TRANSIT SYSTEMS (SING) PTE LTD

WESTHORNE INT'L  PTE LTD

 

2) PINAKI RATH, A SINGAPORE PERMANENT RESIDENT

- HOLDS NO OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.

 

 

SINGAPORE'S COUNTRY RATING 2007

 

Investment Grade

 

IN SINGAPORE, THE POLITICAL SITUATION REMAINS STABLE.

 

SINGAPORE BOASTS THE BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA, WITH AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM FACILITATING DEBT COLLECTION AND TO A HIGH DEGREE OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.

 

EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS HAVE REMAINED SUBSTANTIALLY IN SURPLUS, CONTRIBUTED TO THE DYNAMISM OF THE ELECTRONICS AND PHARMACEUTICALS SECTORS AND TO REPATRIATION OF PROFITS FROM SINGAPORE INVESTMENTS. THE FINANCIAL AND TOURISM SECTORS HAVE ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS.


SINGAPORE CONTINUES TO KEENLY WELCOME FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND OFFERS A VERY OPEN AND WELL-PLANNED ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT. IT HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING AMBITIOUS DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY, FOCUSED PARTICULARLY ON THE CHEMICALS AND PHARMACEUTICAL SECTORS.

 

THE GOVERNMENT USES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO DEVELOP PRIORITY SECTORS (ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY). THE AIM IS TO ENCOURAGE THE GROWTH OF HIGH ADDED-VALUE ACTIVITIES AND TURN SINGAPORE INTO A REGIONAL HUB FOR FOREIGN INVESTORS INTERESTED IN ASIA.

 

CERTAIN SECTORS (MEDIA, LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERVICES) ARE HOWEVER ONLY PARTIALLY OPEN TO FOREIGN INVESTMENT. THESE SECTORS ARE SLOWLY OPENING UP, BUT THE PROGRESS IS SLOW.

 

AFTER HIGH GROWTH IN 2006, BUOYED BY THE DYNAMISM OF BOTH EXPORTS AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, A SLOWDOWN IS EXPECTED IN 2007.

 


ASSETS

 

WEAKNESSES

 

 

OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE

 

PAST PERFORMANCE

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY GREW BY 5.4% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 9.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. GROW MOMENTUM WAS LED BY CONSTRUCTION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES. FOR THE WHOLE OF 2007, THE ECONOMY GREW BY 7.7%, DOWN FROM 8.2% IN 2006.

 

THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR ROSE BY 0.2% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 11.0% IN 3Q 2007. THE SMALL GROWTH WAS ATTRIBUTED TO A 28.0% CONTRACTION IN THE BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING SECTOR. ON THE OTHER HAND, ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, PRECISION ENGINEERING AND TRANSPORT ENGINEERING SECTOR  PERFORMED BETTER. OVERALL, THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR POSTED A 5.8% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 12.0% IN 2006.

 

THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR ROSE SIGNIFICANTLY BY 16% IN 4Q 2007, FOLLOWING A 20% GROWTH IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. MOST SECTORS EXPERIENCE STRONG EXPANSION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF STOCK BROKING AND FUND MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES WHICH HAVE SLOWED DOWN. OVERALL, THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR POSTED A 17% GROWTH IN 2007, HIGHER THAN 11.0% IN 2006.

 

THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR REGISTERED A STRONG GROWTH. THE SECTOR GREW BY 24%, FOLLOWING 20% GAIN IN 3Q 2007. GROWTH MOMENTUM FOR THE WHOLE YEAR GREW 20%, ITS FASTEST GROWTH SINCE 1996.

 

THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR GREW BY 6.0% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 6.8% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. NON-OIL RE-EXPORTS SAW GROWTH REDUCED FROM 9.0% IN 3Q 2007 TO 7.0% IN 4Q 2007. RETAIL SALES FELL BY 2.5% IN 4Q 2007, FOLLOWING A 1.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. OVERALL, THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR POSTED A 7.3% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 10.0% IN 2006.

 

THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR ROSE BY 5.4% IN 4Q 2007, FROM 5.0% IN 3Q 2007. HIGHER GROWTH IN THE SEA TRANSPORT SEGMENT WAS OFFSET BY SLOWER GROWTH IN THE AIR TRANSPORT SEGEMENT. OVERALL, THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR POSTED A 5.1% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 4.7% IN 2006.

 

THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR GREW BY A SMALLER 2.5% FROM 4.9% IN 3Q 2007. VISITOR ARRIVALS ROSE 5.5% IN 4Q 2007, SIMILAR TO 5.4% RISE IN 3Q 2007. HOWEVER, THE AVERAGE OCCUPANCY RATE OF HOTELS DIPPED TO 86.0% IN 4Q 2007 FROM 88.0% IN 4Q 2006. VISITOR ARRIVALS ROSE 5.4% TO REACH A RECORD OF 10.3 MILLION IN 2007. OVERALL, THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR POSTED A 4.4% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 4.8% IN 2006.

 

THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR ROSE 6.1% IN 4Q 2007, SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 6.6% IN 3Q 2007. BOTH THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND IT SERVICES SEGMENTS REMAINED HEALTHY DURING THE QUARTER. FOR THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SEGMENT, THE GROWTH OF INTERNATIONAL TELEPHONE CALLS DURATION AND NUMBER OF SUBSCRIBERS FOR BOTH MOBILE PHONE SERVICE AND BROADBAND INTERNET REMAINED STRONG. OVERALL, THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR POSTED A 6.3% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 4.6% IN 2006.

 

THE BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR EXPANDED BY 8.7%, HIGHER THAN THE 7.5% GAIN IN 3Q 2007. GROWTH WAS HEALTHY ACROSS ALL SEGMENTS, WITH GOOD PERFORMANCES IN THE BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVE OFFICES AND REAL ESTATE SEGMENTS. OVERALL, THE BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR POSTED A 7.8% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 6.9% IN 2006.

 

NEWS

 

SINGAPORE ECONOMY GROWS 7.2% ON STRONG SHOWING IN MANUFACTURING

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY TURNED OUT TO BE SURPRISINGLY RESLIENT IN THE FIRST QUARTER, EASILY BEATING MARKET EXPECTATIONS WITH STRONG GROWTH OF 7.2%.

 

THE ADVANCE ESTIMATES ISSUED BY THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY (MTI) REPORTED YESTERDAY WERE A MARKED IMPROVEMENT OVER THE 5.4% POSTED IN THE FINAL QUARTER OF LAST YEAR. EARLIER REPORTS HAD SUGGESTED MARKET EXPECTATIONS OF 5.9% GROWTH. ON A SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUALISED BASIS, THE ECONOMY GREW AT A BREAKNECK RATE OF 16.9% QUARTER-ON-QUARTER. IT SHRANK 4.8% IN 4Q 2007.

 

HOWEVER, ECONOMISTS DO NOT BELIEVE THE STRONG PERFORMANCE SIGNIFIES AN UPTREND FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR. THEY POINT TO A POTENTIAL RECESSION IN THE UNITED STATES AND RISING GLOBAL INFLATION.

 

MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES WERE CONTRIBUTORS TO THE BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED FIRST QUARTER GROWTH.

 

MANUFACTURING IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE EXPANDED BY 13.2% IN THE FIRST QUARTER, COMPARED TO A SMAL 0.2% RISE IN THE PREVIOUS THREE MONTHS. IT WAS ALSO CONSIDERABLY HIGHER THAN THE 3.9% REGISTERED IN 1Q 2007.

THIS WAS LARGELY DUE TO A SURGE IN BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING OUTPUT. THE REST OF THE MANUFACTURING CLUSTERS ALSO ENJOYED BETTER PERFORMANCES

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TRANSPORT ENGINEERING AND PRECISION ENGINEERING CLUSTER WHO ENJOY MODERATE GROWTH.

 

SERVICES INDUSTRIES GROW 7.6%, SIMILAR TO THE 7.7% IN 4Q 2007 AS WELL AS IN 1Q 2007. FINANCIAL SERVICES CONTINUED TO BE THE FASTEST-GROWING AMONG THE SERVICES SECTORS.

 

HOWEVER, THE FIGURE FOR THE SLOWING CONSTRUCTION SECTOR WAS LESS ROSY WITH GROWTH SLIPPING TO 14.6% FROM 24.3% IN 4Q 2007.

 

UNITED OVERSEAS BANK ECONOMIST HO WOEI CHEN SAID THIS WAS DISAPPOINTING,

AFTER THREE QUARTERS OF GROWTH ABOVE 20.0%. BUT SHE STILL EXPECTED THE SECTOR TO CONTRIBUTE TO GROWTH THIS YEAR, ON THE BACK OF INFRASTRCTURE PROJECTS SUCH AS THE INTEGRATED RESORTS AND THE PROPOSED SPORTS HUB IN KALLANG.

 

ECONOMISTS WERE SURPRISED BY WHAT THEY SAID AMOUNTED TO A CONTRACTION IN THE INDUSTRY BUT THEY REMAINED CONFIDENT THAT GROWTH WAS STILL HEALTHY AND IN LINE WITH THEIR FORECASTS FOR THE YEAR, WHICH RANGED FROM 10.0%

TO 25.0%.

 

CIMG-GK ECONOMIST SOGN SENG WUN SAID THAT RISING INFLATION, ESPECIALLY FOR FOOD PRICES, WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN. “PEOPLE ARE FOCUSING ON ISSUES SUCH AS THE RISING PRICE OF RICE AND THIS IS SOMETHING THAT COULD PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR”.

 

NONE OF THE ECONOMISTS INTERVIEWED REVISE FULL-YEAR GROWTH FORECASTS WHICH RANGE FROM 4.7% TO 5.5%. MTI HAS FORECAST A RANGE OF 4.0% TO 6.0% FOR THE YEAR.

 

OUTLOOK

 

AFTER THE LAST REVIEW IN NOVEMBER 2007, THE OUTLOOK FOR EXTERNAL DEMAND IN 2008 HAS WORSENED AND THERE ARE INCREASED DOWNSIDE RISKS.

COMPARED TO THE FORECAST THREE MONTHS AGO, THERE IS BROAD CONSENSUS NOW THAT THE US ECONOMY IS ENTERING A SLOWDOWN. THE LENGTH AND SEVERITY OF THE SLOWDOWN REMAINS TO BE SEEN, AND IT WILL AFFECT COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE AND KEY INDUSTRIES.

 

TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE RISE IN DOWNSIDE RISKS, THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY LOWERED THE ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY TO GROW BY 4.0-6.0% IN 2008, DOWN FROM THE GROWTH FORECAST OF 4.5-6.5% EARLIER.

 

CURRENT CONDITIONS INDICATE THAT THE US ECONOMY WILL LIKELY ENTER A MILD RECESSION IN THE FIRST HALF BUT ITS STRONG FUNDAMENTALS, COUPLED WITH FISCAL AND MONETARY STIMULUS, WILL ASSIST TO SUPPORT RECOVERY IN THE SECOND HALF. REGIONAL ECONOMIES WILL HAVE MODERATE BUT HEALTHY GROWTH. SINGAPORE’S GDP GROWTH WILL THEN BE IN THE UPPER HALF OF THE FORECAST RANGE. HOWEVER, IF THE US FALLS INTO A MORE SEVERE RECESSION, THE REGION WILL BE MORE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED. THE IMPACT ON THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY WILL ALSO BE STRONGER, PARTICULARLY IN THE SENTIMENT-SENSITIVE AND EXPORT-ORIENTED SECTORS LIKE FINANCIAL SERVICES, WHOLESALE TRADE AND ELECTRONICS. IN THIS ENVIRONMENT, THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY WILL GROW AT A SLOWER PACE, NEARER THE LOWER END OF THE FORECAST RANGE.

 

IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 19% OF FIRMS, ESPECIALLY INSURANCE COMPANIES AND FIRMS PROVIDING CREDIT CARD SERVICES, REMAINS POSITIVE ABOUT THE BUSINESS OUTLOOK IN THE MONTHS AHEAD.

 

IN THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 17% OF FIRMS,

EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE COMING MONTHS.

 

MANUFACTURING FIRMS ARE CAUTIOUS ABOUT BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 2% OF MANUFACTURERS FORECAST BETTER BUSINESS, LOWER THAN THE 7% REGISTERED IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR AND THE 25% RECORDED IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER.

 

GENERALLY, WHOLESALERS ARE POSITIVE ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS PROSPECTS IN THE COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 4% OF FIRMS EXPRESSING POSITIVE BUSINESS SENTIMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF WHOLESALERS OF PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS, CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS, INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT AND COMPUTERS AND ACCESSORIES FORECAST BUSINESS OUTLOOK TO REMAIN THE SAME IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF 2008 COMPARED WITH THE LAST SIX MONTHS IN 2007.

 

A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 12% OF RETAILERS PREDICTS LESS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. AS A RESULT OF THE REDUCED CERTIFICATE OF ENTITLEMENT (COE) QUOTA, MOTOR VEHICLES RETAILERS ARE ESPECIALLY CONCERNED WITH THE SALES.

 

IN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 5% OF FIRMS FORECASTS LESS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS.

 

IN THE SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 8% OF FIRMS,

EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE COMING MONTHS. THIS IS SMALLER THAN THE 18% REGISTERED IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR AND THE 23% RECORDED IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. HOTELIERS REMAIN BULLISH ON BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 35% OF HOTELIERS EXPECTING THEIR BUSINESSES TO RISE IN ANTICIPATION OF EXPECTED INCREASES IN ROOM RATES AND HIGHER OCCUPANCY RATES. IN THE CATERING TRADE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 27% OF CATERERS ANTICIPATES MORE FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS.

 

IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 9% OF FIRMS PREDICTS A HIGHER DEMAND FOR THEIR SERVICES, IN PARTICULAR THE NETWORK OPERATORS.

 

IN THE BUSINESS SERVICES INDUSTRY, AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 19% OF FIRMS EXPECTS POSITIVE SENTIMENTS. THESE INCLUDE ACCOUNTING, BOOK-KEEPING AND AUDITING, RENTING OF CONSTRUCTION AND INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND RENTING OF TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT.

 

EXTRACTED FROM: MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE

SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

THE STRAITS TIMES

 

 

 


 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

NR

In view of the lack of information, we have no basis upon which to recommend credit dealings

No Rating

 

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)            Ownership background (20%)                 Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                    Market trend (10%)                                Operational size (10%)

 

 

 

 

PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL : This information is provided to you at your request, you having employed MIPL for such purpose. You will use the information as aid only in determining the propriety of giving credit and generally as an aid to your business and for no other purpose. You will hold the information in strict confidence, and shall not reveal it or make it known to the subject persons, firms or corporations or to any other. MIPL does not warrant the correctness of the information as you hold it free of any liability whatsoever. You will be liable to and indemnify MIPL for any loss, damage or expense, occasioned by your breach or non observance of any one, or more of these conditions