MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

Report Date :

12.06.2008

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS PTE LTD

 

 

Formerly Known As :

DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD

 

 

Registered Office :

238A Thomson Road #21-01/10 Novena Square

 

 

Country :

Singapore

 

 

Financials (as on) :

30.06.2006

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

06.05.2000

 

 

Com. Reg. No.:

200003934Z     

 

 

Legal Form :

Pte Ltd                  

 

 

Line of Business :

Regional Product Charter

 

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

Aa

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

Large

 

Status :

Excellent

 

 

Payment Behaviour :

Regular

 

 

Litigation :

Clear

 

 

 

 

 

 

Subject Company   

 

PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS PTE LTD

 

 

Line Of Business  

 

 REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER

 

 

Parent Company    

 

PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS S A

(PERCENTAGE OF SHAREHOLDING: 100%)

 

 

Financial Elements

 

FY 2006

COMPANY

Sales                            : S$1,987,084,000

Networth                                   : S$453,383,000

Paid-Up Capital                                       : S$57,530,000

Net result                      : S$245,556,000

 

Net Margin(%)               : 12.36

Return on Equity(%)       : -

Leverage Ratio               : 0.69

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COMPANY IDENTIFICATION

 

Subject Company                                           :   PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS PTE LTD

Former Name                                                 :   DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD

Business Address                                          :   238A THOMSON ROAD

    #21-01/10

   NOVENA SQUARE

Town                                                               :   SINGAPORE                    

Postcode                                                         :  307684

County                                                             :   -

Country                                                           :   Singapore

Telephone                                                                               :   6824 5000                    

Fax                                                                                          :  6824 6200                                                                                                                                                                                      

ROC Number                                                 :   200003934Z                   

Reg. Town                                                      :  -

 

 

PREVIOUS IDENTIFICATION

 

DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD

DATE OF CHANGE OF NAME: 08/08/2000

 

 

SUMMARY

 

All amounts in this report are in:  SGD

 

Legal Form                             : Pte Ltd                  

Date Inc.                                 :   06/05/2000

Previous Legal Form             : -

Summary year                         : 30/06/2006

Sales                                        : 1,987,084,000             

Networth                                 :   453,383,000

Capital                                    : -                  

Paid-Up Capital                     :    57,530,000

Employees                              : -                        

Net result                                :   245,556,000

Share value                              : -

AUDITOR: DELOITTE & TOUCHE LLP

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

NO. OF SHARES                  CURRENCY       AMOUNT

ISSUED ORDINARY   :                                250,002                                  SGD                250,002.00

ISSUED PREFERENCE :    572,800                                   SGD                57,280,000.00

PAID-UP ORINARY   :          -                                                                      SGD                250,002.00

PAID-UP PREFERENCE:                           -                                                                       SGD                57,280,000.00

 

 

 

REFERENCES

 

Litigation                                  :   No

Company status                      :  TRADING                  

Started                                    :   06/05/2000

 

 

PRINCIPAL(S)

 

PRAMOD AGARWAL                     G5715131K      Director

 

 

DIRECTOR(S)

 

CHAN CHOW PHENG                    S1298885J      Company Secretary

Appointed on                           : 01/06/2002

Street :                                                            59 TELOK BLANGAH HEIGHTS

#04-11

Town:                                      SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                100059

Country:                                                           Singapore

 

TEO CHIN KEE                       S2622115C      Company Secretary

Appointed on : 01/06/2002

Street :                                                            1 ELIAS ROAD

#02-01

RIS GRANDEUR

Town:                                      SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                 519929

Country:                                  Singapore

 

PRAMOD AGARWAL                     G5715131K      Director

Appointed on : 01/10/2003

Street :                                                             61 GRANGE ROAD

#19-04

BEVERLY HILLS APARTMENTS

Town:                                      SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                249570

Country:                                   Singapore

 

CHARLES ABDI LIM                   S2723258B      Director

Appointed on : 15/02/2004

Street :                                                            2 FIFTH AVENUE

#04-03

FIFTH AVENUE CONDOMINIUM

Town:                                      SINGAPORE

Postcode:                                 268800

Country:                                   Singapore

 

 

 

 

DEBORAH ANN HENRETTA               G5814226W      Director

Appointed on : 01/09/2005

Street :                                     53 CLUNY PARK ROAD

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:           257501

Country:              Singapore

 

JOANNE CREWES                      S2707651C      Director

Appointed on : 01/06/2007

Street :              25 CLAYMORE ROAD

#04-03

THE CLAYMORE

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:            229543

Country:              Singapore

 

 

FORMER DIRECTOR(S)

 

CHAN WAI TENG PRISCILLA                                                                    S1437234B

 

KRUTTIVENTI VENKATA SATYA ANAND                       S2660764G

 

CHARLES VICTOR BERGH                                                                       702116349

 

WADE DUVALL MIQUELON                                                                       G5624788U

 

VAIDYANATH SWAMY                                                        S2733463F

 

 

ACTIVITY(IES)

 

PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT And MARKETING                                      Code:17585

 

HOLDING COMPANIES                                                                                                      Code:11320

 

BUSINESS MANAGEMENT                                                                       Code:3160

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

1) BUSINESS MANAGEMENT AND CONSULTANCY SERVICES;

REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER

 

 

CHARGES

 

No Charges On Premises/Property In Our Database

 

 

PREMISES/PROPERTY INFORMATIONS

 

No Premises/Property Information In Our Databases

 

BANKERS

 

DBS BANK LTD.

 

 

SHAREHOLDERS(S)

 

PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL                     822,802   Company

Street :              47  ROUTE DE SAINT GEORGES

1213 PETIT LANCY, GENEVA

Town:

Postcode:

Country:              Switzerland

 

 

FORMER SHAREHOLDER(S)

 

MICHAEL TAY KWANG HOW                                            1

 

TAY MUI SIM FLORENCE                                                   1

 

 

HOLDING COMPANY

 

PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL          UF28724W        % :  100

 

 

SUBSIDIARY(IES)

 

PROCTER AND  GAMBLE KOREA IE C0.

 

P&G NORTHEAST ASIA PTE LTD

 

 

PAYMENT HISTORY AND EXPERIENCES

 

Trade Morality:                       AVERAGE

Liquidity :                                                        SUFFICIANT

Payments :                              REGULAR

Trend :                                                             LEVEL

Financial Situation:                AVERAGE

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

FINANCIAL ELEMENTS

 

  All amounts in this report are in:    SGD

 

  Audit Qualification: UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN) UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)  UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)

  Date Account Lodged:         03/05/2007

 

  Balance Sheet Date:          30/06/2006          30/06/2005           30/06/2004

  Number of weeks:                     52                  52                   52

  Consolidation Code:             COMPANY             COMPANY              COMPANY

 

                         --- ASSETS    

 

  Preliminary Exp              48,921,000           2,603,000            2,557,000  

  Intangible Fixed Assets:     73,341,000          73,341,000           73,341,000  

  Tangible Fixed Assets:        6,708,000           7,779,000            9,403,000  

  Investments                  67,597,000          67,597,000           67,597,000  

  Total Fixed Assets:         196,567,000         151,320,000          152,898,000

 

  Inventories:                131,068,000         120,589,000          132,145,000  

  Receivables:                 68,483,000         100,216,000           92,584,000  

  Cash,Banks, Securitis:       26,008,000          19,717,000           14,966,000  

  Other current assets:       292,623,000         553,906,000          287,456,000  

  Total Current Assets:       518,182,000         794,428,000          527,151,000  

 

  TOTAL ASSETS:               714,749,000          945,748,000         680,049,000  

 

                         --- LIABILITIES    

 

  Equity capital:              57,530,000              823,000             823,000  

  Reserves:                    -9,081,000                   -          403,675,000  

  Profit & loss Account:      404,934,000          627,918,000                  -            

  Surplus equity:                                   56,707,000                  -            

  Total Equity:               453,383,000          685,448,000         404,498,000  

 

  L/T deffered taxes:           1,805,000              582,000                  -

  Total L/T Liabilities:        1,805,000              582,000                  -  

 

  Trade Creditors:            136,748,000          113,096,000         124,206,000

  Prepay. & Def. charges:      15,478,000           12,781,000          23,120,000  

  Provisions:                   3,279,000            3,289,000           1,963,000  

  Other Short term Liab.:     104,056,000          130,552,000         126,262,000  

  Total short term Liab.:     259,561,000          259,718,000         275,551,000  

 

  TOTAL LIABILITIES:          261,366,000          260,300,000         275,551,000  

 

                         --- PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT    

 

  Net Sales                 1,987,084,000        1,939,161,000       1,690,396,000  

  Result of ordinary operations                                                                                

  NET RESULT BEFORE TAX:      247,859,000          283,398,000         175,558,000  

  Tax :                         2,303,000            2,448,000           1,104,000 

  Net income/loss year:       245,556,000          280,950,000         174,454,000  

  Interest Paid:                  124,000              132,000             202,000  

  Depreciation:                 6,933,000            5,763,000          11,706,000  

  Dividends:                           -                    -           14,000,000  

  Wages and Salaries:          63,148,000           52,757,000          49,034,000

 

RATIOS

 

                              30/06/2006             30/06/2005          30/06/2004

  Net result / Turnover(%):  0.12                   0.14                0.10

  Stock / Turnover(%):       0.07                   0.06                0.08

  Net Margin(%):             12.36                  14.49               10.32

  Return on Equity(%):       54.16                  40.99               43.13

  Return on Assets(%):       34.36                  29.71               25.65

  Dividends Coverage:                                                   12.46

  Net Working capital:  258621000.00           534710000.00        251600000.00

  Cash Ratio:                0.10                   0.08                0.05

  Quick Ratio:               0.36                   0.46                0.39

  Current ratio:             2.00                   3.06                1.91

  Receivables Turnover:      12.41                  18.60               19.72

  Leverage Ratio:            0.69                   0.43                0.83

 

Net Margin : (100*Net income loss year)/Net sales

Return on Equity : (100*Net income loss year)/Total equity

Return on Assets : (100*Net income loss year)/Total fixed assets

Dividends Coverage : Net income loss year/Dividends

Net Working capital : Total current assets - Total short term liabilities

Cash Ratio : Cash Bank securities/Total short term liabilities

Quick Ratio : (Cash Bank securities+Receivables)/Total Short term liabilities

Current ratio : Total current assets/Total short term liabilities

Inventory Turnover : (360*Inventories)/Net sales

Receivables Turnover : (Receivable*360)/Net sales

Leverage Ratio : Total liabilities/(Total equity-Intangible assets)

 

 

FINANCIAL COMMENTS

 

THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE COMPANY WAS SEEN TO BE FAIR IN VIEW OF THE FOLLOWING:

 

NET WORTH:

THE BALANCE SHEET WAS CONSIDERED PASSABLE ALTHOUGH NET WORTH DECLINED BY 33.86% FROM S$685,448,000 IN FY 2005 TO S$453,383,000. THIS WAS DUE TO LOWER ACCUMULATED PROFIT OF S$453,383,000 (2005: S$684,625,000); A FALL OF 35.51% FROM THE PRIOR FINANCIAL YEAR.

 

LEVERAGE:

IN THE SHORT-TERM, SUBJECT WAS LARGELY FINANCED BY TRADE CREDITORS WHICH MADE UP 52.68% (2005: 43.55%) OF THE TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES AND AMOUNTED TO S$136,748,000 (2005: S$113,096,000). TRADE CREDITORS CONSISTED OF THE FOLLOWING

* OUTSIDE PARTIED   - 2006: S$101,271,000 (2005: S$80,146,000)

* RELATED COMPANIES - 2006: S$35,477,000  (2005: S$32,950,000)

 

IN ALL, LEVERAGE RATIO ROSE FROM 0.43 TIMES TO 0.69 TIMES AS A RESULT OF A DECLINE IN TOTAL EQUITIES AND A RISE IN TOTAL LIABILITIES.

 

LIQUIDITY:

IN GENERAL, SUBJECT'S LIQUIDITY SITUATION WAS CONSIDERED PASSABLE ALTHOUGH NET WORKING CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS DECLINED. CURRENT RATIO FELL TO 2.00 TIMES, DWON FROM 3.06 TIMES AND QUICK RATIO

DECREASED TO 0.36 TIMES FROM 0.46 TIMES IN FY 2005.

 

SIMILARLY, NET WORKING CAPITAL DECLINED BY 51.63% FROM S$534,710,000 IN FY 2005 TO S$258,621,000.

 

PROFITABILITY:

SUBJECT POSTED AN INCREASE IN REVENUE BY 2.47% FROM S$1,939,161,000 TO S$1,987,084 IN FY 2006. HOWEVER, NET PROFIT FELL BY 12.60% TO S $245,556,000 (2005: S$280,950,000). HENCE, NET MARGIN FELL TO 12.36% (2005: 14.49%).

 

DEBT SERVICING:

DEBT SERVICING PROBLEMS MIGHT NOT BE EXPECTED IF REVENUE AND EARNINGS CAN BE MAINTAINED OR IMPROVED AND PAYMENTS BY TRADE DEBTORS ARE FORTHCOMING. IT WAS NOTED THAT AVERAGE COLLECTION PERIOD HAS SHORTENED TO 12 DAYS (2005: 19 DAYS).

 

NON-CURRENT ASSETS:

THE FOLLOWING ITEMS WERE CLASSIFIED UNDER PRELIMINARY:

* LOANS TO EMPLOYEES - 2006: S$2,203,000  (2005: S$2,491,000)

* OTHER RECEIVABLES  - 2006: NIL          (2005: S$112,000)

* TRADEMARKS         - 2006: S$46,718,000 (2005: NIL)

 

NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:

 

SHARE CAPITAL:

 

BALANCE AT JULY 1, 2005: ORDINARY SHARES - 2006: S$250,000

(2005: S$250,000)

BALANCE AT JULY 1, 2005: REDEEMABLE PREFERENCE SHARES

- 2006: S$573,000 (2005: S$573,000)

TRANSFER FROM SHARE PREMIUM ACCOUNT - 2006: S$56,707,000 (2005: NIL)

BALANCE AT JUNE 30, 2006 - 2006: S$57,530,000 (2005: S$823,000)

 

CONTIGENT LIABILITIES:

* GUARANTEES (UNSECURED) - 2006: S$63,600,000 (2005: NIL)

 

 

BACKGROUND/OPERATION

 

THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON 06/05/2000 AS A LIMITED PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER ITS NAMESTYLE AS "DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD".

 

SUBSEQUENTLY ON 08/08/2000, THE COMPANY CHANGED TO ITS PRESENT NAMESTYLE OF "PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS PTE LTD".

 

THE COMPANY HAS AN ORDINARY ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 250,002 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$250,002 AND PREFERENCE ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 572,800 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$57,280,000.

 

PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:

SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH THE ACCOUNTING & CORPORATE REGULATORY

AUTHORITY (ACRA) TO BE PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:

1) BUSINESS MANAGEMENT AND CONSULTANCY SERVICES; REGIONAL PRODUCT

CHARTER

2) OTHER INVESTMENT HOLDING COMPANIES

 

DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR UNDER REVIEW, THE PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES OF THE COMPANY CONSISTS OF REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER.

 

FROM THE RESEARCH DONE, THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:

 

BRANDS INCLUDE:

* PAMPERS

* TIDE

* ARIEL

* ALWAYS

* PANTENE

* BOUNTY

* FOLGERS

* PRINGLES

* CHARMIN

* DOWNY

* IAMS

* CREST

* ACTONEL

* OLAY

 

AGENTS AND DISTRIBUTORS OF:

* PAMPERS                                                   (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)         USA

* WHISPER                                                    (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)         USA

* REJOICE                                                     (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)         USA

* OIL OF ULAN                                              (BEAUTY CARE PRODUCTS)     USA

* PANTENE                                                   (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)         USA

* VIDAL SASSOON                                       (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)         USA

* HEAD & SHOULDERS      (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)         USA

* PRINGLES                                                   (SNACKS)                                                      USA

* SK-II                                                                                      (COSMETICS)                       USA

 

FROM THE TELE-INTERVIEW CONDUCTED, SUBJECT PERSONNEL WAS ONLY WILLING TO CONFIRM ITS ADDRESS AND CONTACTS. NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION WAS AVAILABLE

 

THE COMPANY IS A WHOLLY-OWNED SUBSIDIARY OF PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS S.A., INCORPORATED IN SWITZERLAND. THE COMPANY'S ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY IS THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY, INCORPORATED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.

 

REGISTERED ADDRESS:

138 ROBINSON ROAD

#17-00

THE CORPORATE OFFICE

SINGAPORE 068906

DATE OF CHANGE OF ADDRESS: 01/06/2002

 

BUSINESS ADDRESS:

238A THOMSON ROAD

#21-01/10

NOVENA SQUARE

SINGAPORE 307684

- RENTED PREMISE

- PREMISE OWNED BY: NOVENA SQUARE INVESTMENTS LTD

 

WEBSITE:

http://www.pg.com

 

EMAIL:

-

 

 

MANAGEMENT

 

THE DIRECTORS AT THE TIME OF THE REPORT ARE:

 

1) PRAMOD AGARWAL, AN INDIAN

- BASED IN SINGAPORE.

 

2) DEBORAH ANN HENRETTA, AN AMERICAN

- BASED IN SINGAPORE.

 

3) JOANNE CREWES, A SINGAPORE PERMANENT RESIDENT

- HOLDS NO OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.

 

4) CHARLES ABDI LIM, A SINGAPORE PERMANENT RESIDENT

- HOLDS NO OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.

 

 

Singapore’s Country Rating 2007

 

Investment Grade

 

IN SINGAPORE, THE POLITICAL SITUATION REMAINS STABLE.

 

SINGAPORE BOASTS THE BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA, WITH AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM FACILITATING DEBT COLLECTION AND TO A HIGH DEGREE OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.

 

EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS HAVE REMAINED SUBSTANTIALLY IN SURPLUS, CONTRIBUTED TO THE DYNAMISM OF THE ELECTRONICS AND PHARMACEUTICALS SECTORS AND TO REPATRIATION OF PROFITS FROM SINGAPORE INVESTMENTS. THE FINANCIAL AND TOURISM SECTORS HAVE ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS.


SINGAPORE CONTINUES TO KEENLY WELCOME FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND OFFERS A VERY OPEN AND WELL-PLANNED ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT. IT HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING AMBITIOUS DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY, FOCUSED PARTICULARLY ON THE CHEMICALS AND PHARMACEUTICAL SECTORS.

 

THE GOVERNMENT USES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO DEVELOP PRIORITY SECTORS (ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY). THE AIM IS TO ENCOURAGE THE GROWTH OF HIGH ADDED-VALUE ACTIVITIES AND TURN SINGAPORE INTO A REGIONAL HUB FOR FOREIGN INVESTORS INTERESTED IN ASIA.

 

CERTAIN SECTORS (MEDIA, LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERVICES) ARE HOWEVER ONLY PARTIALLY OPEN TO FOREIGN INVESTMENT. THESE SECTORS ARE SLOWLY OPENING UP, BUT THE PROGRESS IS SLOW.

 

AFTER HIGH GROWTH IN 2006, BUOYED BY THE DYNAMISM OF BOTH EXPORTS AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, A SLOWDOWN IS EXPECTED IN 2007.

 


ASSETS

 

WEAKNESSES


OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE

 

PAST PERFORMANCE

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY GREW BY 5.4% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 9.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. GROW MOMENTUM WAS LED BY CONSTRUCTION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES. FOR THE WHOLE OF 2007, THE ECONOMY GREW BY 7.7%, DOWN FROM 8.2% IN 2006.

 

THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR ROSE BY 0.2% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 11.0% IN 3Q 2007. THE SMALL GROWTH WAS ATTRIBUTED TO A 28.0% CONTRACTION IN THE BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING SECTOR. ON THE OTHER HAND, ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, PRECISION ENGINEERING AND TRANSPORT ENGINEERING SECTOR  PERFORMED BETTER. OVERALL, THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR POSTED A 5.8% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 12.0% IN 2006.

 

THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR ROSE SIGNIFICANTLY BY 16% IN 4Q 2007, FOLLOWING A 20% GROWTH IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. MOST SECTORS EXPERIENCE STRONG EXPANSION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF STOCK BROKING AND FUND MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES WHICH HAVE SLOWED DOWN. OVERALL, THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR POSTED A 17% GROWTH IN 2007, HIGHER THAN 11.0% IN 2006.

 

THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR REGISTERED A STRONG GROWTH. THE SECTOR GREW BY 24%, FOLLOWING 20% GAIN IN 3Q 2007. GROWTH MOMENTUM FOR THE WHOLE YEAR GREW 20%, ITS FASTEST GROWTH SINCE 1996.

 

THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR GREW BY 6.0% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 6.8% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. NON-OIL RE-EXPORTS SAW GROWTH REDUCED FROM 9.0% IN 3Q 2007 TO 7.0% IN 4Q 2007. RETAIL SALES FELL BY 2.5% IN 4Q 2007, FOLLOWING A 1.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. OVERALL, THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR POSTED A 7.3% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 10.0% IN 2006.

 

THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR ROSE BY 5.4% IN 4Q 2007, FROM 5.0% IN 3Q 2007. HIGHER GROWTH IN THE SEA TRANSPORT SEGMENT WAS OFFSET BY SLOWER GROWTH IN THE AIR TRANSPORT SEGEMENT. OVERALL, THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR POSTED A 5.1% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 4.7% IN 2006.

 

THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR GREW BY A SMALLER 2.5% FROM 4.9% IN 3Q 2007. VISITOR ARRIVALS ROSE 5.5% IN 4Q 2007, SIMILAR TO 5.4% RISE IN 3Q 2007. HOWEVER, THE AVERAGE OCCUPANCY RATE OF HOTELS DIPPED TO 86.0% IN 4Q 2007 FROM 88.0% IN 4Q 2006. VISITOR ARRIVALS ROSE 5.4% TO REACH A RECORD OF 10.3 MILLION IN 2007. OVERALL, THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR POSTED A 4.4% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 4.8% IN 2006.

 

THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR ROSE 6.1% IN 4Q 2007, SLIGHTLY SLOWER THAN THE 6.6% IN 3Q 2007. BOTH THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND IT SERVICES SEGMENTS REMAINED HEALTHY DURING THE QUARTER. FOR THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS SEGMENT, THE GROWTH OF INTERNATIONAL TELEPHONE CALLS DURATION AND NUMBER OF SUBSCRIBERS FOR BOTH MOBILE PHONE SERVICE AND BROADBAND INTERNET REMAINED STRONG. OVERALL, THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR POSTED A 6.3% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 4.6% IN 2006.

 

THE BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR EXPANDED BY 8.7%, HIGHER THAN THE 7.5% GAIN IN 3Q 2007. GROWTH WAS HEALTHY ACROSS ALL SEGMENTS, WITH GOOD PERFORMANCES IN THE BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVE OFFICES AND REAL ESTATE SEGMENTS. OVERALL, THE BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR POSTED A 7.8% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 6.9% IN 2006.

 

NEWS

 

SINGAPORE ECONOMY GROWS 7.2% ON STRONG SHOWING IN MANUFACTURING

 

SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY TURNED OUT TO BE SURPRISINGLY RESLIENT IN THE FIRST QUARTER, EASILY BEATING MARKET EXPECTATIONS WITH STRONG GROWTH OF 7.2%.

 

THE ADVANCE ESTIMATES ISSUED BY THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY (MTI) REPORTED YESTERDAY WERE A MARKED IMPROVEMENT OVER THE 5.4% POSTED IN THE FINAL QUARTER OF LAST YEAR. EARLIER REPORTS HAD SUGGESTED MARKET EXPECTATIONS OF 5.9% GROWTH. ON A SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUALISED BASIS, THE ECONOMY GREW AT A BREAKNECK RATE OF 16.9% QUARTER-ON-QUARTER. IT SHRANK 4.8% IN 4Q 2007.

 

HOWEVER, ECONOMISTS DO NOT BELIEVE THE STRONG PERFORMANCE SIGNIFIES AN UPTREND FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR. THEY POINT TO A POTENTIAL RECESSION IN THE UNITED STATES AND RISING GLOBAL INFLATION.

 

MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES WERE CONTRIBUTORS TO THE BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED FIRST QUARTER GROWTH.

 

MANUFACTURING IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE EXPANDED BY 13.2% IN THE FIRST QUARTER, COMPARED TO A SMAL 0.2% RISE IN THE PREVIOUS THREE MONTHS. IT WAS ALSO CONSIDERABLY HIGHER THAN THE 3.9% REGISTERED IN 1Q 2007.

THIS WAS LARGELY DUE TO A SURGE IN BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING OUTPUT. THE REST OF THE MANUFACTURING CLUSTERS ALSO ENJOYED BETTER PERFORMANCES

WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TRANSPORT ENGINEERING AND PRECISION ENGINEERING CLUSTER WHO ENJOY MODERATE GROWTH.

 

SERVICES INDUSTRIES GROW 7.6%, SIMILAR TO THE 7.7% IN 4Q 2007 AS WELL AS IN 1Q 2007. FINANCIAL SERVICES CONTINUED TO BE THE FASTEST-GROWING AMONG THE SERVICES SECTORS.

 

HOWEVER, THE FIGURE FOR THE SLOWING CONSTRUCTION SECTOR WAS LESS ROSY WITH GROWTH SLIPPING TO 14.6% FROM 24.3% IN 4Q 2007.

 

UNITED OVERSEAS BANK ECONOMIST HO WOEI CHEN SAID THIS WAS DISAPPOINTING,

AFTER THREE QUARTERS OF GROWTH ABOVE 20.0%. BUT SHE STILL EXPECTED THE SECTOR TO CONTRIBUTE TO GROWTH THIS YEAR, ON THE BACK OF INFRASTRCTURE PROJECTS SUCH AS THE INTEGRATED RESORTS AND THE PROPOSED SPORTS HUB IN KALLANG.

 

ECONOMISTS WERE SURPRISED BY WHAT THEY SAID AMOUNTED TO A CONTRACTION IN THE INDUSTRY BUT THEY REMAINED CONFIDENT THAT GROWTH WAS STILL HEALTHY AND IN LINE WITH THEIR FORECASTS FOR THE YEAR, WHICH RANGED FROM 10.0%

TO 25.0%.

 

CIMG-GK ECONOMIST SOGN SENG WUN SAID THAT RISING INFLATION, ESPECIALLY FOR FOOD PRICES, WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN. “PEOPLE ARE FOCUSING ON ISSUES SUCH AS THE RISING PRICE OF RICE AND THIS IS SOMETHING THAT COULD PERSIST FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR”.

 

NONE OF THE ECONOMISTS INTERVIEWED REVISE FULL-YEAR GROWTH FORECASTS WHICH RANGE FROM 4.7% TO 5.5%. MTI HAS FORECAST A RANGE OF 4.0% TO 6.0% FOR THE YEAR.

 

OUTLOOK

 

AFTER THE LAST REVIEW IN NOVEMBER 2007, THE OUTLOOK FOR EXTERNAL DEMAND IN 2008 HAS WORSENED AND THERE ARE INCREASED DOWNSIDE RISKS.

COMPARED TO THE FORECAST THREE MONTHS AGO, THERE IS BROAD CONSENSUS NOW THAT THE US ECONOMY IS ENTERING A SLOWDOWN. THE LENGTH AND SEVERITY OF THE SLOWDOWN REMAINS TO BE SEEN, AND IT WILL AFFECT COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE AND KEY INDUSTRIES.

 

TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE RISE IN DOWNSIDE RISKS, THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY LOWERED THE ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY TO GROW BY 4.0-6.0% IN 2008, DOWN FROM THE GROWTH FORECAST OF 4.5-6.5% EARLIER.

 

CURRENT CONDITIONS INDICATE THAT THE US ECONOMY WILL LIKELY ENTER A MILD RECESSION IN THE FIRST HALF BUT ITS STRONG FUNDAMENTALS, COUPLED WITH FISCAL AND MONETARY STIMULUS, WILL ASSIST TO SUPPORT RECOVERY IN THE SECOND HALF. REGIONAL ECONOMIES WILL HAVE MODERATE BUT HEALTHY GROWTH. SINGAPORE’S GDP GROWTH WILL THEN BE IN THE UPPER HALF OF THE FORECAST RANGE. HOWEVER, IF THE US FALLS INTO A MORE SEVERE RECESSION, THE REGION WILL BE MORE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED. THE IMPACT ON THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY WILL ALSO BE STRONGER, PARTICULARLY IN THE SENTIMENT-SENSITIVE AND EXPORT-ORIENTED SECTORS LIKE FINANCIAL SERVICES, WHOLESALE TRADE AND ELECTRONICS. IN THIS ENVIRONMENT, THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY WILL GROW AT A SLOWER PACE, NEARER THE LOWER END OF THE FORECAST RANGE.

 

IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 19% OF FIRMS, ESPECIALLY INSURANCE COMPANIES AND FIRMS PROVIDING CREDIT CARD SERVICES, REMAINS POSITIVE ABOUT THE BUSINESS OUTLOOK IN THE MONTHS AHEAD.

 

IN THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 17% OF FIRMS,

EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE COMING MONTHS.

 

MANUFACTURING FIRMS ARE CAUTIOUS ABOUT BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 2% OF MANUFACTURERS FORECAST BETTER BUSINESS, LOWER THAN THE 7% REGISTERED IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR AND THE 25% RECORDED IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER.

 

GENERALLY, WHOLESALERS ARE POSITIVE ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS PROSPECTS IN THE COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 4% OF FIRMS EXPRESSING POSITIVE BUSINESS SENTIMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF WHOLESALERS OF PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS, CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS, INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT AND COMPUTERS AND ACCESSORIES FORECAST BUSINESS OUTLOOK TO REMAIN THE SAME IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF 2008 COMPARED WITH THE LAST SIX MONTHS IN 2007.

 

A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 12% OF RETAILERS PREDICTS LESS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. AS A RESULT OF THE REDUCED CERTIFICATE OF ENTITLEMENT (COE) QUOTA, MOTOR VEHICLES RETAILERS ARE ESPECIALLY CONCERNED WITH THE SALES.

 

IN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 5% OF FIRMS FORECASTS LESS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS.

 

IN THE SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 8% OF FIRMS,

EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE COMING MONTHS. THIS IS SMALLER THAN THE 18% REGISTERED IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR AND THE 23% RECORDED IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. HOTELIERS REMAIN BULLISH ON BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 35% OF HOTELIERS EXPECTING THEIR BUSINESSES TO RISE IN ANTICIPATION OF EXPECTED INCREASES IN ROOM RATES AND HIGHER OCCUPANCY RATES. IN THE CATERING TRADE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 27% OF CATERERS ANTICIPATES MORE FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS.

 

IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 9% OF FIRMS PREDICTS A HIGHER DEMAND FOR THEIR SERVICES, IN PARTICULAR THE NETWORK OPERATORS.

 

IN THE BUSINESS SERVICES INDUSTRY, AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 19% OF FIRMS EXPECTS POSITIVE SENTIMENTS. THESE INCLUDE ACCOUNTING, BOOK-KEEPING AND AUDITING, RENTING OF CONSTRUCTION AND INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND RENTING OF TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT.

 

EXTRACTED FROM: MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE

SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

THE STRAITS TIMES

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

NR

In view of the lack of information, we have no basis upon which to recommend credit dealings

No Rating

 

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)            Ownership background (20%)                 Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                    Market trend (10%)                                Operational size (10%)

 

 

 

 

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