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Report Date : |
12.06.2008 |
IDENTIFICATION
DETAILS
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Name : |
PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL
OPERATIONS PTE LTD |
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Formerly Known As : |
DOLAND TRADING
PTE LTD |
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Registered Office : |
238A Thomson
Road #21-01/10
Novena Square |
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Country : |
Singapore |
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Financials (as on) : |
30.06.2006 |
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Date of Incorporation : |
06.05.2000 |
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Com. Reg. No.: |
200003934Z |
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Legal Form : |
Pte Ltd |
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Line of Business : |
Regional
Product Charter |
RATING &
COMMENTS
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MIRA’s Rating : |
Aa |
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RATING |
STATUS |
PROPOSED CREDIT LINE |
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71-85 |
Aa |
Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction.
It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and
principal sums |
Large |
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Status : |
Excellent |
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Payment Behaviour : |
Regular |
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Litigation : |
Clear |
PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS
PTE LTD
REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER
PROCTER &
GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS S A
(PERCENTAGE OF
SHAREHOLDING: 100%)
COMPANY
Sales :
S$1,987,084,000
Networth :
S$453,383,000
Paid-Up Capital :
S$57,530,000
Net result :
S$245,556,000
Net Margin(%) : 12.36
Return on
Equity(%) : -
Leverage
Ratio : 0.69
Subject Company : PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL
OPERATIONS PTE LTD
Former Name : DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD
Business Address : 238A THOMSON ROAD
#21-01/10
NOVENA SQUARE
Town : SINGAPORE
Postcode :
307684
County : -
Country : Singapore
Telephone : 6824 5000
Fax : 6824 6200
ROC Number : 200003934Z
Reg. Town : -
DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD
DATE OF CHANGE OF NAME:
08/08/2000
All amounts in this
report are in: SGD
Legal Form :
Pte Ltd
Date Inc. : 06/05/2000
Previous Legal Form : -
Summary year :
30/06/2006
Sales : 1,987,084,000
Networth : 453,383,000
Capital :
-
Paid-Up Capital : 57,530,000
Employees :
-
Net result : 245,556,000
Share value : -
AUDITOR: DELOITTE &
TOUCHE LLP
BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD
NO. OF SHARES CURRENCY AMOUNT
ISSUED ORDINARY :
250,002 SGD 250,002.00
ISSUED PREFERENCE : 572,800
SGD 57,280,000.00
PAID-UP ORINARY : - SGD 250,002.00
PAID-UP PREFERENCE: - SGD 57,280,000.00
Litigation : No
Company status : TRADING
Started : 06/05/2000
PRAMOD AGARWAL G5715131K Director
CHAN CHOW PHENG S1298885J Company Secretary
Appointed on : 01/06/2002
Street : 59
TELOK BLANGAH HEIGHTS
#04-11
Town: SINGAPORE
Postcode: 100059
Country: Singapore
TEO CHIN KEE S2622115C Company Secretary
Appointed on :
01/06/2002
Street : 1
ELIAS ROAD
#02-01
RIS GRANDEUR
Town: SINGAPORE
Postcode: 519929
Country: Singapore
PRAMOD AGARWAL G5715131K Director
Appointed on :
01/10/2003
Street : 61 GRANGE ROAD
#19-04
BEVERLY HILLS APARTMENTS
Town: SINGAPORE
Postcode: 249570
Country: Singapore
CHARLES ABDI LIM S2723258B Director
Appointed on :
15/02/2004
Street : 2
FIFTH AVENUE
#04-03
FIFTH AVENUE CONDOMINIUM
Town: SINGAPORE
Postcode: 268800
Country: Singapore
DEBORAH ANN
HENRETTA G5814226W Director
Appointed on :
01/09/2005
Street : 53 CLUNY PARK ROAD
Town: SINGAPORE
Postcode: 257501
Country: Singapore
JOANNE CREWES S2707651C
Director
Appointed on :
01/06/2007
Street : 25 CLAYMORE ROAD
#04-03
THE CLAYMORE
Town: SINGAPORE
Postcode: 229543
Country: Singapore
CHAN WAI TENG PRISCILLA S1437234B
KRUTTIVENTI VENKATA
SATYA ANAND S2660764G
CHARLES VICTOR
BERGH 702116349
WADE DUVALL
MIQUELON G5624788U
VAIDYANATH SWAMY S2733463F
PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT And
MARKETING Code:17585
HOLDING COMPANIES Code:11320
BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Code:3160
BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD
1) BUSINESS MANAGEMENT
AND CONSULTANCY SERVICES;
REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER
No
Charges On Premises/Property In Our Database
No Premises/Property
Information In Our Databases
DBS BANK LTD.
PROCTER & GAMBLE
INTERNATIONAL
822,802 Company
Street : 47 ROUTE DE SAINT GEORGES
1213 PETIT LANCY, GENEVA
Town:
Postcode:
Country: Switzerland
MICHAEL TAY KWANG
HOW 1
TAY MUI SIM
FLORENCE
1
PROCTER & GAMBLE
INTERNATIONAL UF28724W % :
100
PROCTER AND GAMBLE KOREA IE C0.
P&G NORTHEAST ASIA
PTE LTD
Trade Morality: AVERAGE
Liquidity : SUFFICIANT
Payments : REGULAR
Trend : LEVEL
Financial Situation: AVERAGE
All amounts in this report
are in: SGD
Audit Qualification:
UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN) UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)
UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)
Date Account Lodged: 03/05/2007
Balance Sheet Date: 30/06/2006 30/06/2005
30/06/2004
Number of weeks: 52 52 52
Consolidation Code: COMPANY COMPANY
COMPANY
---
ASSETS
Preliminary Exp 48,921,000 2,603,000
2,557,000
Intangible Fixed
Assets: 73,341,000 73,341,000 73,341,000
Tangible Fixed
Assets: 6,708,000 7,779,000 9,403,000
Investments 67,597,000 67,597,000
67,597,000
Total Fixed Assets: 196,567,000 151,320,000
152,898,000
Inventories: 131,068,000 120,589,000 132,145,000
Receivables: 68,483,000 100,216,000
92,584,000
Cash,Banks,
Securitis: 26,008,000 19,717,000 14,966,000
Other current assets: 292,623,000 553,906,000
287,456,000
Total Current Assets:
518,182,000 794,428,000
527,151,000
TOTAL ASSETS: 714,749,000
945,748,000
680,049,000
---
LIABILITIES
Equity capital: 57,530,000 823,000 823,000
Reserves: -9,081,000 - 403,675,000
Profit & loss
Account: 404,934,000 627,918,000 -
Surplus equity:
56,707,000 -
Total Equity: 453,383,000
685,448,000
404,498,000
L/T deffered taxes: 1,805,000 582,000 -
Total L/T Liabilities:
1,805,000 582,000 -
Trade Creditors: 136,748,000 113,096,000 124,206,000
Prepay. & Def.
charges: 15,478,000 12,781,000 23,120,000
Provisions: 3,279,000 3,289,000 1,963,000
Other Short term
Liab.: 104,056,000 130,552,000 126,262,000
Total short term
Liab.: 259,561,000 259,718,000 275,551,000
TOTAL LIABILITIES: 261,366,000 260,300,000 275,551,000
---
PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT
Net Sales 1,987,084,000 1,939,161,000 1,690,396,000
Result of ordinary
operations
NET RESULT BEFORE
TAX: 247,859,000 283,398,000 175,558,000
Tax : 2,303,000 2,448,000 1,104,000
Net
income/loss year: 245,556,000 280,950,000 174,454,000
Interest Paid: 124,000 132,000 202,000
Depreciation: 6,933,000 5,763,000 11,706,000
Dividends: - -
14,000,000
Wages and Salaries: 63,148,000 52,757,000
49,034,000
RATIOS
30/06/2006 30/06/2005 30/06/2004
Net result /
Turnover(%): 0.12 0.14
0.10
Stock / Turnover(%): 0.07 0.06 0.08
Net Margin(%): 12.36 14.49 10.32
Return on Equity(%): 54.16 40.99
43.13
Return on Assets(%): 34.36 29.71 25.65
Dividends Coverage:
12.46
Net Working capital: 258621000.00 534710000.00
251600000.00
Cash Ratio: 0.10 0.08 0.05
Quick Ratio: 0.36 0.46 0.39
Current ratio: 2.00 3.06 1.91
Receivables Turnover: 12.41
18.60 19.72
Leverage Ratio: 0.69 0.43 0.83
Net Margin : (100*Net
income loss year)/Net sales
Return on Equity :
(100*Net income loss year)/Total equity
Return on Assets :
(100*Net income loss year)/Total fixed assets
Dividends Coverage : Net
income loss year/Dividends
Net Working capital :
Total current assets - Total short term liabilities
Cash Ratio : Cash Bank
securities/Total short term liabilities
Quick Ratio : (Cash Bank
securities+Receivables)/Total Short term liabilities
Current ratio : Total
current assets/Total short term liabilities
Inventory Turnover :
(360*Inventories)/Net sales
Receivables Turnover :
(Receivable*360)/Net sales
Leverage Ratio : Total
liabilities/(Total equity-Intangible assets)
THE FINANCIAL CONDITION
OF THE COMPANY WAS SEEN TO BE FAIR IN VIEW OF THE FOLLOWING:
NET WORTH:
THE BALANCE SHEET WAS
CONSIDERED PASSABLE ALTHOUGH NET WORTH DECLINED BY 33.86% FROM S$685,448,000 IN FY 2005
TO S$453,383,000. THIS WAS DUE TO LOWER ACCUMULATED PROFIT OF
S$453,383,000 (2005: S$684,625,000); A FALL OF 35.51% FROM THE PRIOR
FINANCIAL YEAR.
LEVERAGE:
IN THE SHORT-TERM,
SUBJECT WAS LARGELY FINANCED BY TRADE CREDITORS WHICH MADE UP 52.68% (2005: 43.55%) OF
THE TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES AND AMOUNTED TO S$136,748,000 (2005:
S$113,096,000). TRADE CREDITORS CONSISTED OF THE FOLLOWING
* OUTSIDE PARTIED - 2006: S$101,271,000 (2005: S$80,146,000)
* RELATED COMPANIES -
2006: S$35,477,000 (2005: S$32,950,000)
IN ALL, LEVERAGE RATIO
ROSE FROM 0.43 TIMES TO 0.69 TIMES AS A RESULT OF A DECLINE IN TOTAL EQUITIES AND A
RISE IN TOTAL LIABILITIES.
LIQUIDITY:
IN GENERAL, SUBJECT'S
LIQUIDITY SITUATION WAS CONSIDERED PASSABLE ALTHOUGH NET WORKING CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS DECLINED.
CURRENT RATIO FELL TO 2.00 TIMES, DWON FROM 3.06 TIMES AND QUICK
RATIO
DECREASED TO 0.36 TIMES
FROM 0.46 TIMES IN FY 2005.
SIMILARLY, NET WORKING CAPITAL DECLINED BY
51.63% FROM S$534,710,000 IN FY 2005 TO S$258,621,000.
PROFITABILITY:
SUBJECT POSTED AN INCREASE IN REVENUE BY
2.47% FROM S$1,939,161,000 TO S$1,987,084 IN FY 2006. HOWEVER, NET PROFIT FELL BY 12.60% TO S
$245,556,000 (2005: S$280,950,000). HENCE, NET MARGIN FELL TO 12.36%
(2005: 14.49%).
DEBT SERVICING:
DEBT SERVICING PROBLEMS MIGHT NOT BE EXPECTED
IF REVENUE AND EARNINGS CAN BE MAINTAINED OR IMPROVED AND PAYMENTS BY TRADE DEBTORS ARE
FORTHCOMING. IT WAS NOTED THAT AVERAGE COLLECTION PERIOD HAS SHORTENED
TO 12 DAYS (2005: 19 DAYS).
NON-CURRENT ASSETS:
THE FOLLOWING ITEMS WERE
CLASSIFIED UNDER PRELIMINARY:
* LOANS TO EMPLOYEES -
2006: S$2,203,000 (2005: S$2,491,000)
* OTHER RECEIVABLES - 2006: NIL (2005: S$112,000)
* TRADEMARKS - 2006: S$46,718,000 (2005: NIL)
NOTES TO THE FINANCIAL STATEMENTS:
SHARE CAPITAL:
BALANCE AT JULY 1, 2005:
ORDINARY SHARES - 2006: S$250,000
(2005: S$250,000)
BALANCE AT JULY 1, 2005:
REDEEMABLE PREFERENCE SHARES
- 2006: S$573,000 (2005:
S$573,000)
TRANSFER FROM SHARE PREMIUM
ACCOUNT - 2006: S$56,707,000 (2005: NIL)
BALANCE AT JUNE 30, 2006
- 2006: S$57,530,000 (2005: S$823,000)
CONTIGENT LIABILITIES:
* GUARANTEES (UNSECURED)
- 2006: S$63,600,000 (2005: NIL)
THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED
IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON 06/05/2000 AS A LIMITED PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER ITS
NAMESTYLE AS "DOLAND TRADING PTE LTD".
SUBSEQUENTLY ON
08/08/2000, THE COMPANY CHANGED TO ITS PRESENT NAMESTYLE OF "PROCTER & GAMBLE
INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS PTE LTD".
THE COMPANY HAS AN
ORDINARY ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 250,002 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$250,002 AND PREFERENCE
ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 572,800 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$57,280,000.
PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:
SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH
THE ACCOUNTING & CORPORATE REGULATORY
AUTHORITY (ACRA) TO BE
PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:
1) BUSINESS MANAGEMENT
AND CONSULTANCY SERVICES; REGIONAL PRODUCT
CHARTER
2) OTHER INVESTMENT
HOLDING COMPANIES
DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR
UNDER REVIEW, THE PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES OF THE COMPANY CONSISTS OF REGIONAL PRODUCT CHARTER.
FROM THE RESEARCH DONE,
THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:
BRANDS INCLUDE:
* PAMPERS
* TIDE
* ARIEL
* ALWAYS
* PANTENE
* BOUNTY
* FOLGERS
* PRINGLES
* CHARMIN
* DOWNY
* IAMS
* CREST
* ACTONEL
* OLAY
AGENTS AND DISTRIBUTORS
OF:
* PAMPERS (CONSUMER
PRODUCTS) USA
* WHISPER (CONSUMER
PRODUCTS) USA
* REJOICE (CONSUMER
PRODUCTS) USA
* OIL OF ULAN (BEAUTY
CARE PRODUCTS) USA
* PANTENE (CONSUMER
PRODUCTS) USA
* VIDAL SASSOON (CONSUMER
PRODUCTS) USA
* HEAD &
SHOULDERS (CONSUMER PRODUCTS)
USA
* PRINGLES (SNACKS) USA
* SK-II (COSMETICS) USA
FROM THE TELE-INTERVIEW
CONDUCTED, SUBJECT PERSONNEL WAS ONLY WILLING TO CONFIRM ITS ADDRESS AND CONTACTS. NO OTHER TRADE
INFORMATION WAS AVAILABLE
THE COMPANY IS A WHOLLY-OWNED
SUBSIDIARY OF PROCTER & GAMBLE INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONS S.A., INCORPORATED IN SWITZERLAND. THE
COMPANY'S ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY IS THE PROCTER & GAMBLE COMPANY,
INCORPORATED IN THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA.
REGISTERED ADDRESS:
138 ROBINSON ROAD
#17-00
THE CORPORATE OFFICE
SINGAPORE 068906
DATE OF CHANGE OF
ADDRESS: 01/06/2002
BUSINESS ADDRESS:
238A THOMSON ROAD
#21-01/10
NOVENA SQUARE
SINGAPORE 307684
- RENTED PREMISE
- PREMISE OWNED BY:
NOVENA SQUARE INVESTMENTS LTD
WEBSITE:
http://www.pg.com
EMAIL:
-
THE DIRECTORS AT THE
TIME OF THE REPORT ARE:
1) PRAMOD AGARWAL, AN
INDIAN
- BASED IN SINGAPORE.
2) DEBORAH ANN HENRETTA,
AN AMERICAN
- BASED IN SINGAPORE.
3) JOANNE CREWES, A
SINGAPORE PERMANENT RESIDENT
- HOLDS NO OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS
AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.
4) CHARLES ABDI LIM, A
SINGAPORE PERMANENT RESIDENT
- HOLDS NO OTHER
DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.
Investment Grade
IN SINGAPORE, THE POLITICAL SITUATION REMAINS STABLE.
SINGAPORE BOASTS THE
BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA, WITH AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM FACILITATING DEBT
COLLECTION AND TO A HIGH DEGREE OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.
EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS HAVE REMAINED
SUBSTANTIALLY IN SURPLUS, CONTRIBUTED TO THE DYNAMISM OF THE ELECTRONICS AND
PHARMACEUTICALS SECTORS AND TO REPATRIATION OF PROFITS FROM SINGAPORE
INVESTMENTS. THE FINANCIAL AND TOURISM SECTORS HAVE ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THE
LARGE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS.
SINGAPORE CONTINUES TO KEENLY WELCOME FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND OFFERS A VERY OPEN
AND WELL-PLANNED ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT. IT HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING
AMBITIOUS DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY, FOCUSED PARTICULARLY ON THE CHEMICALS AND
PHARMACEUTICAL SECTORS.
THE GOVERNMENT USES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO DEVELOP
PRIORITY SECTORS (ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY). THE AIM IS TO
ENCOURAGE THE GROWTH OF HIGH ADDED-VALUE ACTIVITIES AND TURN SINGAPORE INTO A
REGIONAL HUB FOR FOREIGN INVESTORS INTERESTED IN ASIA.
CERTAIN SECTORS (MEDIA, LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERVICES) ARE
HOWEVER ONLY PARTIALLY OPEN TO FOREIGN INVESTMENT. THESE SECTORS ARE SLOWLY
OPENING UP, BUT THE PROGRESS IS SLOW.
AFTER HIGH GROWTH IN 2006, BUOYED
BY THE DYNAMISM OF BOTH EXPORTS AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, A SLOWDOWN IS
EXPECTED IN 2007.
ASSETS
WEAKNESSES
OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE
PAST
PERFORMANCE
SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY GREW BY 5.4% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 9.5% GROWTH
IN 3Q 2007. GROW MOMENTUM WAS LED BY CONSTRUCTION AND FINANCIAL SERVICES. FOR
THE WHOLE OF 2007, THE ECONOMY GREW BY 7.7%, DOWN FROM 8.2% IN 2006.
THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR ROSE BY 0.2% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 11.0%
IN 3Q 2007. THE SMALL GROWTH WAS ATTRIBUTED TO A 28.0% CONTRACTION IN THE
BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING SECTOR. ON THE OTHER HAND, ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS,
PRECISION ENGINEERING AND TRANSPORT ENGINEERING SECTOR PERFORMED BETTER. OVERALL, THE MANUFACTURING
SECTOR POSTED A 5.8% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 12.0% IN 2006.
THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR ROSE SIGNIFICANTLY BY 16% IN 4Q 2007,
FOLLOWING A 20% GROWTH IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER. MOST SECTORS EXPERIENCE STRONG
EXPANSION WITH THE EXCEPTION OF STOCK BROKING AND FUND MANAGEMENT ACTIVITIES
WHICH HAVE SLOWED DOWN. OVERALL, THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR POSTED A 17%
GROWTH IN 2007, HIGHER THAN 11.0% IN 2006.
THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR REGISTERED A STRONG GROWTH. THE SECTOR GREW BY
24%, FOLLOWING 20% GAIN IN 3Q 2007. GROWTH MOMENTUM FOR THE WHOLE YEAR GREW
20%, ITS FASTEST GROWTH SINCE 1996.
THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR GREW BY 6.0% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER
THAN THE 6.8% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. NON-OIL RE-EXPORTS SAW GROWTH REDUCED FROM
9.0% IN 3Q 2007 TO 7.0% IN 4Q 2007. RETAIL SALES FELL BY 2.5% IN 4Q 2007,
FOLLOWING A 1.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. OVERALL, THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE
SECTOR POSTED A 7.3% GROWTH IN 2007, DOWN FROM 10.0% IN 2006.
THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR ROSE BY 5.4% IN 4Q 2007, FROM 5.0% IN
3Q 2007. HIGHER GROWTH IN THE SEA TRANSPORT SEGMENT WAS OFFSET BY SLOWER GROWTH
IN THE AIR TRANSPORT SEGEMENT. OVERALL, THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR POSTED
A 5.1% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 4.7% IN 2006.
THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR GREW BY A SMALLER 2.5% FROM 4.9% IN 3Q
2007. VISITOR ARRIVALS ROSE 5.5% IN 4Q 2007, SIMILAR TO 5.4% RISE IN 3Q 2007.
HOWEVER, THE AVERAGE OCCUPANCY RATE OF HOTELS DIPPED TO 86.0% IN 4Q 2007 FROM
88.0% IN 4Q 2006. VISITOR ARRIVALS ROSE 5.4% TO REACH A RECORD OF 10.3 MILLION
IN 2007. OVERALL, THE HOTELS AND RESTAURANTS SECTOR POSTED A 4.4% GROWTH IN
2007, DOWN FROM 4.8% IN 2006.
THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR ROSE 6.1% IN 4Q 2007, SLIGHTLY
SLOWER THAN THE 6.6% IN 3Q 2007. BOTH THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND IT SERVICES
SEGMENTS REMAINED HEALTHY DURING THE QUARTER. FOR THE TELECOMMUNICATIONS
SEGMENT, THE GROWTH OF INTERNATIONAL TELEPHONE CALLS DURATION AND NUMBER OF
SUBSCRIBERS FOR BOTH MOBILE PHONE SERVICE AND BROADBAND INTERNET REMAINED
STRONG. OVERALL, THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS SECTOR POSTED A 6.3% GROWTH
IN 2007, UP FROM 4.6% IN 2006.
THE BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR EXPANDED BY 8.7%, HIGHER THAN THE 7.5% GAIN
IN 3Q 2007. GROWTH WAS HEALTHY ACROSS ALL SEGMENTS, WITH GOOD PERFORMANCES IN
THE BUSINESS REPRESENTATIVE OFFICES AND REAL ESTATE SEGMENTS. OVERALL, THE
BUSINESS SERVICES SECTOR POSTED A 7.8% GROWTH IN 2007, UP FROM 6.9% IN 2006.
NEWS
SINGAPORE ECONOMY
GROWS 7.2% ON STRONG SHOWING IN MANUFACTURING
SINGAPORE’S ECONOMY TURNED OUT TO BE SURPRISINGLY RESLIENT IN THE FIRST
QUARTER, EASILY BEATING MARKET EXPECTATIONS WITH STRONG GROWTH OF 7.2%.
THE ADVANCE ESTIMATES ISSUED BY THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY (MTI)
REPORTED YESTERDAY WERE A MARKED IMPROVEMENT OVER THE 5.4% POSTED IN THE FINAL
QUARTER OF LAST YEAR. EARLIER REPORTS HAD SUGGESTED MARKET EXPECTATIONS OF 5.9%
GROWTH. ON A SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUALISED BASIS, THE ECONOMY GREW AT A
BREAKNECK RATE OF 16.9% QUARTER-ON-QUARTER. IT SHRANK 4.8% IN 4Q 2007.
HOWEVER, ECONOMISTS DO NOT BELIEVE THE STRONG PERFORMANCE SIGNIFIES AN
UPTREND FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR. THEY POINT TO A POTENTIAL RECESSION IN THE
UNITED STATES AND RISING GLOBAL INFLATION.
MANUFACTURING AND SERVICES WERE CONTRIBUTORS TO THE BETTER-THAN-EXPECTED
FIRST QUARTER GROWTH.
MANUFACTURING IS ESTIMATED TO HAVE EXPANDED BY 13.2% IN THE FIRST
QUARTER, COMPARED TO A SMAL 0.2% RISE IN THE PREVIOUS THREE MONTHS. IT WAS ALSO
CONSIDERABLY HIGHER THAN THE 3.9% REGISTERED IN 1Q 2007.
THIS WAS LARGELY DUE TO A SURGE IN BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING OUTPUT. THE
REST OF THE MANUFACTURING CLUSTERS ALSO ENJOYED BETTER PERFORMANCES
WITH THE EXCEPTION OF TRANSPORT ENGINEERING AND PRECISION ENGINEERING
CLUSTER WHO ENJOY MODERATE GROWTH.
SERVICES INDUSTRIES GROW 7.6%, SIMILAR TO THE 7.7% IN 4Q 2007 AS WELL AS
IN 1Q 2007. FINANCIAL SERVICES CONTINUED TO BE THE FASTEST-GROWING AMONG THE
SERVICES SECTORS.
HOWEVER, THE FIGURE FOR THE SLOWING CONSTRUCTION SECTOR WAS LESS ROSY
WITH GROWTH SLIPPING TO 14.6% FROM 24.3% IN 4Q 2007.
UNITED OVERSEAS BANK ECONOMIST HO WOEI CHEN SAID THIS WAS DISAPPOINTING,
AFTER THREE QUARTERS OF GROWTH ABOVE 20.0%. BUT SHE STILL EXPECTED THE
SECTOR TO CONTRIBUTE TO GROWTH THIS YEAR, ON THE BACK OF INFRASTRCTURE PROJECTS
SUCH AS THE INTEGRATED RESORTS AND THE PROPOSED SPORTS HUB IN KALLANG.
ECONOMISTS WERE SURPRISED BY WHAT THEY SAID AMOUNTED TO A CONTRACTION IN
THE INDUSTRY BUT THEY REMAINED CONFIDENT THAT GROWTH WAS STILL HEALTHY AND IN
LINE WITH THEIR FORECASTS FOR THE YEAR, WHICH RANGED FROM 10.0%
TO 25.0%.
CIMG-GK ECONOMIST SOGN SENG WUN SAID THAT RISING INFLATION, ESPECIALLY
FOR FOOD PRICES, WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN. “PEOPLE ARE FOCUSING ON ISSUES SUCH
AS THE RISING PRICE OF RICE AND THIS IS SOMETHING THAT COULD PERSIST FOR THE
REST OF THE YEAR”.
NONE OF THE ECONOMISTS INTERVIEWED REVISE FULL-YEAR GROWTH FORECASTS
WHICH RANGE FROM 4.7% TO 5.5%. MTI HAS FORECAST A RANGE OF 4.0% TO 6.0% FOR THE
YEAR.
OUTLOOK
AFTER THE LAST REVIEW IN NOVEMBER 2007, THE OUTLOOK FOR EXTERNAL DEMAND
IN 2008 HAS WORSENED AND THERE ARE INCREASED DOWNSIDE RISKS.
COMPARED TO THE FORECAST THREE MONTHS AGO, THERE IS BROAD CONSENSUS NOW
THAT THE US ECONOMY IS ENTERING A SLOWDOWN. THE LENGTH AND SEVERITY OF THE
SLOWDOWN REMAINS TO BE SEEN, AND IT WILL AFFECT COUNTRIES WORLDWIDE AND KEY
INDUSTRIES.
TAKING INTO ACCOUNT THE RISE IN DOWNSIDE RISKS, THE MINISTRY OF TRADE
AND INDUSTRY LOWERED THE ECONOMIC FORECAST FOR THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY TO GROW BY
4.0-6.0% IN 2008, DOWN FROM THE GROWTH FORECAST OF 4.5-6.5% EARLIER.
CURRENT CONDITIONS INDICATE THAT THE US ECONOMY WILL LIKELY ENTER A MILD
RECESSION IN THE FIRST HALF BUT ITS STRONG FUNDAMENTALS, COUPLED WITH FISCAL
AND MONETARY STIMULUS, WILL ASSIST TO SUPPORT RECOVERY IN THE SECOND HALF.
REGIONAL ECONOMIES WILL HAVE MODERATE BUT HEALTHY GROWTH. SINGAPORE’S GDP GROWTH
WILL THEN BE IN THE UPPER HALF OF THE FORECAST RANGE. HOWEVER, IF THE US FALLS
INTO A MORE SEVERE RECESSION, THE REGION WILL BE MORE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED.
THE IMPACT ON THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY WILL ALSO BE STRONGER, PARTICULARLY IN THE
SENTIMENT-SENSITIVE AND EXPORT-ORIENTED SECTORS LIKE FINANCIAL SERVICES,
WHOLESALE TRADE AND ELECTRONICS. IN THIS ENVIRONMENT, THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY
WILL GROW AT A SLOWER PACE, NEARER THE LOWER END OF THE FORECAST RANGE.
IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 19% OF
FIRMS, ESPECIALLY INSURANCE COMPANIES AND FIRMS PROVIDING CREDIT CARD SERVICES,
REMAINS POSITIVE ABOUT THE BUSINESS OUTLOOK IN THE MONTHS AHEAD.
IN THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 17% OF FIRMS,
EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE COMING MONTHS.
MANUFACTURING FIRMS ARE CAUTIOUS ABOUT BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE
PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 2% OF MANUFACTURERS FORECAST
BETTER BUSINESS, LOWER THAN THE 7% REGISTERED IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR AND THE
25% RECORDED IN THE PREVIOUS QUARTER.
GENERALLY, WHOLESALERS ARE POSITIVE ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS PROSPECTS IN
THE COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 4% OF FIRMS EXPRESSING
POSITIVE BUSINESS SENTIMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF WHOLESALERS OF PETROLEUM AND
PETROLEUM PRODUCTS, CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS, INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND
EQUIPMENT AND COMPUTERS AND ACCESSORIES FORECAST BUSINESS OUTLOOK TO REMAIN THE
SAME IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF 2008 COMPARED WITH THE LAST SIX MONTHS IN 2007.
A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 12% OF RETAILERS PREDICTS LESS FAVOURABLE
BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. AS A RESULT OF THE REDUCED
CERTIFICATE OF ENTITLEMENT (COE) QUOTA, MOTOR VEHICLES RETAILERS ARE ESPECIALLY
CONCERNED WITH THE SALES.
IN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 5% OF
FIRMS FORECASTS LESS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS.
IN THE SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 8% OF FIRMS,
EXPECT BUSINESS TO BE BRISK FOR THE COMING MONTHS. THIS IS SMALLER THAN
THE 18% REGISTERED IN THE SAME PERIOD LAST YEAR AND THE 23% RECORDED IN THE
PREVIOUS QUARTER. HOTELIERS REMAIN BULLISH ON BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE
COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 35% OF HOTELIERS EXPECTING THEIR
BUSINESSES TO RISE IN ANTICIPATION OF EXPECTED INCREASES IN ROOM RATES AND
HIGHER OCCUPANCY RATES. IN THE CATERING TRADE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE
OF 27% OF CATERERS ANTICIPATES MORE FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS.
IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE
OF 9% OF FIRMS PREDICTS A HIGHER DEMAND FOR THEIR SERVICES, IN PARTICULAR THE
NETWORK OPERATORS.
IN THE BUSINESS SERVICES INDUSTRY, AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF
19% OF FIRMS EXPECTS POSITIVE SENTIMENTS. THESE INCLUDE ACCOUNTING,
BOOK-KEEPING AND AUDITING, RENTING OF CONSTRUCTION AND INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND
RENTING OF TRANSPORT EQUIPMENT.
EXTRACTED FROM: MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE
SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS
THE STRAITS TIMES
RATING EXPLANATIONS
|
RATING |
STATUS |
PROPOSED CREDIT LINE |
|
|
>86 |
Aaa |
Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest
capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums |
Unlimited |
|
71-85 |
Aa |
Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit
transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest
and principal sums |
Large |
|
56-70 |
A |
Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable
factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of
interest and principal sums |
Fairly Large |
|
41-55 |
Ba |
Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal
commitments. |
Satisfactory |
|
26-40 |
B |
Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit
consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems
comparatively below average. |
Small |
|
11-25 |
Ca |
Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums
in default or expected to be in default upon maturity |
Limited with
full security |
|
<10 |
C |
Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised |
Credit not
recommended |
|
NR |
In view of the lack of information, we have no basis upon which to
recommend credit dealings |
No Rating |
|
This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk
and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite
of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The
assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as
follows:
Financial
condition (40%) Ownership
background (20%) Payment
record (10%)
Credit history
(10%) Market trend
(10%) Operational
size (10%)