MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

Report Date :

29.04.2008

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

LYONDELL SOUTH ASIA PTE LTD

 

 

Registered Office :

250 North Bridge Road #14-03/04 Raffles City Tower

 

 

Country :

Singapore

 

 

Financials (as on) :

31.12.2006

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

26.02.2000

 

 

Com. Reg. No.:

200001565W

 

 

Legal Form :

Pte Ltd                

 

 

Line of Business :

Trading and Supply of Chemicals for Industrial use and Providing Administrative Services to its related Corporations

 

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

A

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

Fairly Large

 

Status :

Very Good

 

 

Payment Behaviour :

Regular

 

 

Litigation :

Clear

 

 

Subject Company   

 

 LYONDELL SOUTH ASIA PTE LTD

 

 

Line Of Business  

 

TRADING AND SUPPLY OF CHEMICALS FOR INDUSTRIAL USE AND PROVIDING ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES TO ITS RELATED CORPORATIONS

 

 

Parent Company    

 

N.A.

 

 

Financial Elements

 
FY 2006

COMPANY

Sales                                        : US$169,085,979

Networth                                  : US$  8,652,533

Paid-Up Capital                          : US$     60,734

Net result                                  : US$  2,387,161

 

Net Margin(%)                            :  1.41

Return on Equity(%)                   : 27.59

Leverage Ratio                           :  4.18

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COMPANY IDENTIFICATION

 

Subject Company                   : LYONDELL SOUTH ASIA PTE LTD

Former Name                                                 : -

Business Address                  : 250 NORTH BRIDGE ROAD

#14-03/04

RAFFLES CITY TOWER

Town                                                               : SINGAPORE                   

 Postcode                                : 179101

County                                                             : -

Country                                                           : Singapore

Telephone                               : 6880 2345                    

Fax                                                                  : 6880 2377 /6880 2378

ROC Number                                                 : 200001565W                 

  Reg. Town                            : -

 

 

SUMMARY

 

Legal Form                             : Pte Ltd                

Date Inc.                                 : 26/02/2000

Previous Legal Form             : -

Summary year                                                 : 31/12/2006

Sales                                                               : 169,085,979            

Networth                                 : 8,652,533

Capital                                                            : -                      

Paid-Up Capital                                             :    60,734

Employees                              : 20                     

Net result                                : 2,387,161

Share value                             : 1

Auditor                                                            : PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS

 

 

REFERENCES

 

 Litigation                                : No

Company status                      : TRADING                                                     

Started                                                            : 26/02/2000

 

 

PRINCIPAL(S)

 

KHOO TONY                                                                         S1173512F      Director

 

 

 

 

 

 

DIRECTOR(S)

 

ADRIAN CHAN PENGEE                                                    S1658599H      Company Secretary

Appointed on :        01/04/2000

Street :              700 LORONG 1 TOA PAYOH

#08-02

TRELLIS TOWERS

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             319773

Country:              Singapore

 

KHOO TONY                                                                         S1173512F      Director

Appointed on :        26/02/2000

Street :              12 STIRLING ROAD

#38-12

QUEENS

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             148955

Country:              Singapore

 

LUN CHEE LEONG                                                              S7003795E      Company Secretary

Appointed on :        30/09/2004

Street :              60 LORONG 4 TOA PAYOH

#23-117

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             310060

Country:              Singapore

 

CHARLES WAYNE GRAHAM                                            426993766      Director

Appointed on :        01/03/2007

Street :              SUITE 4937, FOUR SEASONS PLACE

NO. 8 FINANCE STREET

CENTRAL

Town:

Postcode:

Country:              Hong Kong

 

SIO TAT LONG                                                                     S0038448H      Director

Appointed on :        18/03/2008

Street :              110 HOLLAND ROAD

#04-03

Town:                 SINGAPORE

Postcode:             278553

Country:              Singapore

 

 

FORMER DIRECTOR(S)

 

YANG CHEN-CHEN CHARLES                                         710073487

 

ANG RU-LIN                                                                          S7442282I

 

 

ACTIVITY(IES)

 

CHEMICALS                                                                         Code: 3970

 

TRADING COMPANIES                                                      Code: 22190

 

BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD

1) WHOLESALE OF CHEMICALS AND CHEMICALS PRODUCTS;

TRADING OF CHEMICAL PRODUCTS

 

 

CHARGES

 

No Charges On Premises/Property In Our Database

 

 

PREMISES/PROPERTY INFORMATIONS

 

No Premises/Property Information In Our Databases

 

 

SHAREHOLDERS(S)

 

BASELL INTERNATIONAL HOLDINGS B.V.                 300,000   Company

Street :              HOEKSTEEN 66, 2132 MS

Town:                 HOOFDDORP

Postcode:

Country:              Netherlands

 

 

FORMER SHAREHOLDER(S)

 

LYONDELL ASIA PACIFIC LTD                          100,000

 

YANG CHEN-CHEN CHARLES                                   1

 

KHOO TONY                                                                                 1

 

 

SUBSIDIARY(IES)

 

No Participation In Our Database

 

 

 

 

 

 

PAYMENT HISTORY AND EXPERIENCES

 

Trade Morality:                       AVERAGE

Liquidity :                                                         SUFFICIENT

Payments :                              REGULAR

Trend :                                                            UPWARD

Financial Situation:                AVERAGE

 

 

FINANCIAL ELEMENTS

 

  All amounts in this report are in: USD

 

  Audit Qualification:        UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)         UNQUALIFIED (CLEAN)       

  Date Account Lodged:                 23/07/2007

  Balance Sheet Date:                  31/12/2006                  31/12/2005                 

  Number of weeks:                             52                          52                         

  Consolidation Code:                     COMPANY                     COMPANY                   

 

 

                         --- ASSETS ---    

 

  Preliminary Exp                          45,719                      77,380                    

  Tangible Fixed Assets:                  173,540                     252,732                    

  Total Fixed Assets:                     219,259                     330,112                   

 

  Inventories:                          8,152,406                  11,110,542                

  Receivables:                         31,745,157                  25,002,857                

  Cash,Banks, Securitis:                4,391,691                     566,053                 

  Other current assets:                   277,412                     182,480                   

  Total Current Assets:                44,566,666                  36,861,932                

 

  TOTAL ASSETS:                        44,785,925                  37,192,044                 

 

 

                         --- LIABILITIES ---   

 

  Equity capital:                          60,734                      60,734                     

  Profit & lost  Account:               8,591,799                   6,204,638                   

  Total Equity:                         8,652,533                   6,265,372                  

 

  L/T deffered taxes:                                                   4,530                              

  Total L/T Liabilities:                                                4,530                              

 

  Trade Creditors:                     34,141,805                  28,436,484                 

  Prepay. & Def. charges:               1,149,181                   1,552,272                   

  Provisions:                             839,155                     933,386                  

  Other Short term Liab.:                   3,251                                                          

  Total short term Liab.:              36,133,392                  30,922,142                    

 

  TOTAL LIABILITIES:                   36,133,392                  30,926,672                   

 

 

 

 

 

                         --- PROFIT & LOSS ACCOUNT ---   

 

  Net Sales                           169,085,979                 133,809,426                 

  Purchases,Sces & Other Goods:       160,330,572                 124,407,446                

  Gross Profit:                         8,755,407                   9,401,980                 

  NET RESULT BEFORE TAX:                2,932,343                   3,073,751                  

  Tax :                                   545,182                     698,553                  

  Net income/loss year:                 2,387,161                   2,375,198                  

  Depreciation:                           105,852                      73,113                     

  Directors Emoluments:                   256,867                     238,671                    

  Wages and Salaries:                   1,521,388                   1,455,218                  

  Financial Income:                       103,715                      57,290                     

 

 

RATIOS

 

                              31/12/2006                 31/12/2005                  

  Turnover per employee:     8454298.95                 6690471.30                

  Net result / Turnover(%):        0.01                       0.02                      

  Stock / Turnover(%):             0.05                       0.08                       

  Net Margin(%):                   1.41                       1.78                      

  Return on Equity(%):            27.59                      37.91                     

  Return on Assets(%):             5.33                       6.39                      

  Net Working capital:       8433274.00                 5939790.00                

  Cash Ratio:                      0.12                       0.02                      

  Quick Ratio:                     1.00                       0.83                      

  Current ratio:                   1.23                       1.19                      

  Receivables Turnover:           67.59                      67.27                     

  Leverage Ratio:                  4.18                       4.94                      

 

 

Net Margin                             : (100*Net income loss year)/Net sales

Return on Equity                    : (100*Net income loss year)/Total equity

Return on Assets                   : (100*Net income loss year)/Total fixed assets

Net Working capital               : (Total current assets/Total short term liabilities)/1000

Cash Ratio                             : Cash Bank securities/Total short term liabilities

Quick Ratio                             : (Cash Bank securities+Receivables)/Total Short term liabilities

Current ratio                           : Total current assets/Total short term liabilities

Inventory Turnover                  : (360*Inventories)/Net sales

Receivables Turnover            : (Receivable*360)/Net sales

Leverage Ratio                                               : Total liabilities/(Total equity-Intangible assets)

 

 

FINANCIAL COMMENTS

 

THE FINANCIAL CONDITION OF THE COMPANY WAS SEEN TO BE FAIR IN VIEW OF

THE FOLLOWING:

 

NET WORTH:

THE BALANCE SHEET WAS PASSABLE WITH NET WORTH IMPROVED BY 38.10% FROM US$6,265,372 IN 2005 TO US$8,652,533 IN 2006. THIS WAS DUE TO HIGHER RETAINED EARNINGS OF US$8,591,799 (2005: US$6,204,638); A RISE OF 38.47% FROM THE PRIOR YEAR.

 

LEVERAGE:

IN THE SHORT TERM, SUBJECT WAS LARGELY FINANCED BY TRADE CREDITORS WHICH MADE UP 94.49% (2005: 91.96%) OF THE TOTAL CURRENT LIABILITIES AND AMOUNTED TO US$34,141,805 (2005: US$28,436,484). THE BREAKDOWN IS

AS FOLLOWS:

* TRADE PAYABLES                              - 2006: US$9,609,702

(2005: US$557,854)

* AMOUNTS PAYABLE TO ULTIMATE HOLDING COMPANY - 2006: US$9,269,130

(2005: US$12,409,176)

* AMOUNTS PAYABLE TO RELATED CORPORATIONS     - 2006: US$15,262,973

(2005: US$15,469,454)

 

IN ALL, LEVERAGE RATIO FELL FROM 4.94 TIMES TO 4.18 TIMES DESPITE A GREATER RISE IN TOTAL LIABILITIES TO TOTAL EQUITY.

 

LIQUIDITY:

IN GENERAL, SUBJECT'S LIQUIDITY SITUATION WAS PASSABLE AS SEEN FROM THE RISE IN NET WORKING CAPITAL AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS. CURRENT RATIO ROSE TO 1.23 TIMES, UP FROM 1.19 TIMES AND QUICK RATIO IMPROVED FROM 0.83 TIMES TO 1.00 TIMES. SIMILARLY, NET WORKING CAPITAL IMPROVED BY 41.98% FROM US$5,939,790 IN 2005 TO US$8,433,274 IN 2006.

 

PROFITABILITY:

REVENUE POSTED AN INCREASE OF 26.36% FROM US$133,809,426 IN 2005 TO US$169,085,979 IN 2006. HOWEVER, THE RISE OF NET PROFIT WAS ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE OF 0.50% TO US$2,387,161 (2005: US$2,375,198). THIS COULD BE DUE TO HIGHER COST OF GOODS SOLD OF US$160,330,572 (2005:

US$124,407,446). HENCE, NET MARGIN FELL FROM 1.78 TIMES IN 2005 TO 1.41 TIMES IN 2006.

 

DEBT SERVICING:

DEBT SERVICING PROBLEMS MIGHT NOT BE EXPECTED IF REVENUE AND EARNINGS

CAN BE MAINTAINED AND PAYMENT BY TRADE DEBTORS ARE FORTHCOMING.

 

NON-CURRENT ASSETS:

THE FOLLOWING ITEMS ARE CLASSIFIED UNDER PRELIMINARY:

* DEFERRED EXPENDITURE       - 2006: US$25,793 (2005: US$77,380)

* DEFERRED INCOME TAX ASSETS - 2006: US$19,926 (2005: NIL)

 

 

BACKGROUND/OPERATION

 

THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON 26/02/2000 AS A LIMITED PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER ITS PRESENT NAMESTYLE AS "LYONDELL SOUTH ASIA PTE LTD".

 

 THE COMPANY HAS A ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF 300,000 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$300,000.

 

PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:

SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH THE ACCOUNTING AND CORPORATE REGULATORY

AUTHORITY (ACRA) BE PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:

1) WHOLESALE OF CHEMICALS AND CHEMICALS PRODUCTS;

TRADING OF CHEMICAL PRODUCTS

 

DURING THE FINANCIAL YEAR UNDER REVIEW, THE PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES OF THE COMPANY CONSIST OF THE TRADING AND SUPPLY OF CHEMICALS FOR

INDUSTRIAL USE AND PROVIDING ADMINISTRATIVE SERVICES TO ITS RELATED CORPORATIONS.

 

FROM THE RESEARCH DONE, THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:

 

SUBJECT ENGAGES IN THE FOLLOWING ACTIVITIES:

* MANUFACTURER AND SELLER OF PROPYLENE OXIDE, PROPYLENE GLYCOL, ETHYLENE, PROPYLENE AND POLYETHYLENE. SUBJECT IMPORTS AND EXPORTS CHEMICAL PRODUCTS AS WELL AS TRANSPORTING CHEMICAL PRODUCTS TO OVERSEAS.

 

BUSINESS PARTNER:

* SAIPER CHEMICALS PRIVATE LIMITED

 

FROM THE TELE-INTERVIEW CONDUCTED, SUBJECT CONFIRMED IT ADDRESS AND CONTACTS. HOWEVER, QUESTIONS REGARDING ITS IMPORT AND EXPORT COUNTRIES WERE REJECTED. THE FOLLOWING WAS GATHERED:

 

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES:

* 20

 

NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE

 

NUMBER OF EMPLOYEES (31 DECEMBER):

* COMPANY - 2006: NOT AVAILABLE (2005: NOT AVAILABLE; 2004: 13;

2003: 14)

 

REGISTERED AND BUSINESS ADDRESS:

250 NORTH BRIDGE ROAD

#14-03/04

RAFFLES CITY TOWER

SINGAPORE 179101

DATE OF CHANGE OF ADDRESS: 09/05/2005

- PROPERTY RECORD WAS NOT AVAILABLE

 

YOUR PROVIDED ADDRESS:

250 NORTH BRIDGE ROAD

#114-03/04

RAFFLES CITY TOWER

SINGAPORE 179101

- INCORRECT

 

YOUR PROVIDED CONTACTS:

TEL NO.: 6880 7345

FAX NO.: 6880 7377

- INCORRECT

 

WEBSITE       : http://www.lyondell.com

EMAIL             : -

 

 

MANAGEMENT

 

THE DIRECTORS AT THE TIME OF THE REPORT ARE:

 

1) CHARLES WAYNE GRAHAM, AN AMERICAN

- BASED IN HONG KONG.

 

2) SIO TAT LONG, A SINGAPOREAN

- HOLDS NO OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.

 

3) KHOO TONY, A SINGAPOREAN

- HOLDS NO OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE.

 

 

SINGAPORE’S COUNTRY RATING 2007

 

INVESTMENT GRADE

 

IN SINGAPORE, THE POLITICAL SITUATION REMAINS STABLE.

 

SINGAPORE BOASTS THE BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA, WITH AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM FACILITATING DEBT COLLECTION AND TO A HIGH DEGREE OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.

 

EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS HAVE REMAINED SUBSTANTIALLY IN SURPLUS, CONTRIBUTED TO THE DYNAMISM OF THE ELECTRONICS AND PHARMACEUTICALS SECTORS AND TO REPATRIATION OF PROFITS FROM SINGAPORE INVESTMENTS. THE FINANCIAL AND TOURISM SECTORS HAVE ALSO CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS.

 

SINGAPORE CONTINUES TO KEENLY WELCOME FOREIGN INVESTMENT AND OFFERS A VERY OPEN AND WELL-PLANNED ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL ENVIRONMENT. IT HAS BEEN IMPLEMENTING AMBITIOUS DIVERSIFICATION STRATEGY, FOCUSED PARTICULARLY ON THE CHEMICALS AND PHARMACEUTICAL SECTORS.

 

THE GOVERNMENT USES FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT TO DEVELOP PRIORITY SECTORS (ELECTRONICS, CHEMICALS, BIOTECHNOLOGY). THE AIM IS TO ENCOURAGE THE GROWTH OF HIGH ADDED-VALUE ACTIVITIES AND TURN SINGAPORE INTO A REGIONAL HUB FOR FOREIGN INVESTORS INTERESTED IN ASIA.

 

CERTAIN SECTORS (MEDIA, LEGAL AND FINANCIAL SERVICES) ARE HOWEVER ONLY PARTIALLY OPEN TO FOREIGN INVESTMENT. THESE SECTORS ARE SLOWLY OPENING UP, BUT THE PROGRESS IS SLOW. AFTER HIGH GROWTH IN 2006, BUOYED BY THE DYNAMISM OF BOTH EXPORTS AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION, A SLOWDOWN IS EXPECTED IN 2007.

 

ASSETS

" MAJOR EXPORTER OF CAPITAL IN ASIA, NOTABLY VIA THE STATE-OWNED TEMASEK HOLDING

COMPANY.

" HIGH QUALITY COMPETITIVENESS IN ASIA

" EXCELLENT BUSINESS CLIMATE

" POLITICAL STABILITY.

 

WEAKNESSES

" SKILLED MANPOWER HAS BEEN LACKING IN THE SECTORS TARGETED FOR DEVELOPMENT.

" AN AGEING POPULATION COULD, ULTIMATELY, AFFECT ECONOMIC PERFORMANCE.

" GROWING INEQUALITY AND THE EMERGENCE OF LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYMENT AMONG THE LEAST

SKILLED COULD GENERATE SOCIAL TENSIONS.

" BEING THE WORLD'S MOST OPEN ECONOMY, IT HAS BEEN VULNERABLE TO WORLD ECONOMIC

DOWNTURNS.

 

 

 

WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR

 

PAST PERFORMANCE

 

THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR GREW BY 6.0% IN 4Q 2007, SLOWER THAN THE 6.8% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. RETAIL SALES FELL BY 2.5%, FOLLOWING A 1.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007.

 

DOMESTIC WHOLESALE TRADE INDEX

 

THE OVERALL DOMESTIC WHOLESALE TRADE ROSE BY 22.2% IN 4Q 2007 OVER 4Q 2006.

EXCLUDING PETROLEUM, DOMESTIC SALES GREW BY 4.8%.

 

THE RISE IN THE OVERALL INDEX WAS MAINLY DUE TO HIGHER SALES OF PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (47.3%), TIMBER, PAINTS AND CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS (29.8%). OTHER WHOLESALE SEGMENTS THAT REPORTED DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH WERE WHOLESALING OF GENERAL WHOLESALE TRADE, HOUSEHOLD EQUIPMENT AND FURNITURE AND CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS.

 

ON THE OTHER HAND, WHOLESALE SEGMENT THAT REPORTED LOWER SALES WERE ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS (-35.8%).

 

AT CONSTANT PRICES, THE OVERALL DOMESTIC WHOLESALE TRADE ROSE BY 1.6% IN 4Q 2007 OVER 4Q 2006. EXCLUDING PETROLEUM, DOMESTIC SALES ROSE SLIGHTLY BY 0.2%.

 

ON A QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER BASIS, THE OVERALL DOMESTIC WHOLESALE TRADE IN 4Q 2007 ROSE BY 7.1% OVER 3Q 2007. EXCLUDING PETROLEUM, DOMESTIC SALES CONTRACTED BY 2.9%.

 

THE MAJORTIY OF THE WHOLESALE SECTORS RECORDED HIGHER DOMESTIC SALES IN 4Q 2007 OVER PREVIOUS QUARTER. PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS EXPANDED BY 20.0%. GENERAL WHOLESALE TRADE AND INDUSTRIAL AND CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY ALSO REGISTERED

DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH OVER PREVIOUS QUARTER.

 

ON THE OTHER HAND, SALES OF FOOD, BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO AND ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS FELL IN 4Q 2007 OVER 3Q 2007.

 

FOREIGN WHOLESALE TRADE INDEX

 

THE OVERALL FOREIGN WHOLESALE TRADE FOR 4Q 2007 ROSE BY 27.0%, IN COMPARISON TO 4Q 2006. EXCLUDING PETROLEUM, IT EXPANDED BY 15.3%

 

MOST OF THE SECTORS REPORTED HIGHER SALES. DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH RATES FOR OVERSEAS SALES WERE RECORDED BY FOOD, BEVERAGES AND TOBACCO (40.6%) PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS (39.9%) SHIP CHANDLERS AND BUNKERING (24.3%) INDUSTRIAL AND CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY (18.2%) CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS (16.4%) ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS (12.1%) TIMBER, PAINT AND CONSTRUCTION MATERIALS (11.1%).

 

ON THE OTHER HAND, OVERSEAS SALES OF TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND COMPUTERS FELL BY 2.8%

IN 4Q 2007 OVER 4Q 2006.

 

AT CONSTANT PRICES, THE OVERALL INDEX ROSE BY 11.5% IN 4Q 2007 OVER 4Q 2006.

EXCLUDING PETROLEUM, FOREIGN WHOLESALE TRADE GREW BY 15.1%.

 

ON A QUARTER-OVER-QUARTER BASIS, THE OVERALL FOREIGN WHOLESALE TRADE IN 4Q 2007 ROSE BY 11.7% OVER 3Q 2007. EXCLUDING PETROLEUM, IT GREW BY 6.0%.

 

ALL WHOLESALE SECTORS RECORDED BETTER BUSINESS IN 4Q 2007 WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS SECTOR. THOSE SECTORS THAT REGISTERED DOUBLE-DIGIT GROWTH WERE WHOLESALE SECTORS OF PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS, TELECOMMUNICATIONS AND COMPUTERS, INDUSTRIAL AND CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY AND CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS.

 

RETAIL TRADE

 

THE OVERALL RETAIL SALES CONTRACTED BY 2.5%, IN CONTRAST TO THE 1.5% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007. THE SECTOR THAT RECORDED THE LARGEST DECLINE WERE MOTOR VEHICLES, FOLLOWED BY PROVISION AND SUNDRY SHOPS, FOOD AND BEVERAGES, WATCHES AND JEWELLERY AND MEDICAL GOODS AND TOILETRIES. EXCLUDING MOTOR VEHICLES, RETAIL SALES ROSE BY 5.2%, A DECLINE FROM THE 6.O% GROWTH IN 3Q 2007.

 

NEWS

 

SURPRISING DROP IN RETAIL SALES

 

RETAIL SALES FELL UNEXPECTEDLY IN FEBRUARY, THE FIRST TIME IN SEVEN MONTHS, AS INFLATION HIT 26 YEAR HIGHS AND WORRIES GREW ABOUT THE WORLD ECONOMY. SHOPS, SUPERMARKETS AND OTHER RETAILERS SAW REVENUES FELL 1.3% FROM A YEAR EARLIER, AS CAR SALES DECLINED 10.6% AND FOOD AND BEVERAGES SALES PLUNGED 21.8%.

 

THE OVERALL CONTRACTION BY THE SECTOR WOULD HAVE BEEN BIGGER IF NOT FOR MUCH HIGHER PRICES THIS YEAR. IN CONSTANT PRICES TERMS, SALES FELL 5.7%. THIS IS THE WORST READING SINCE THE 5.0% DECLINE IN MARCH 2007, IF ONE WERE TO IGNORE THE 2.0% CONTRACTION IN JULY THAT WAS DUE TO THE HIKE IN THE GOODS AND SERVICES TAX,” SAID HSBC ECONOMIST PRAKRITI SOFAT.

 

ANALYSTS SAID RISING LIVING COSTS AND UNCERTAINTY ABOUT THE ECONOMY WOULD AFFECT  SINGAPORE CONSUMER’S SPENDING THIS YEAR. MANY, HOWEVER, REMAIN LARGELY OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THE DOMESTIC RETAIL SCENE, SAYING THE POOR FEBRUARY SHOWING COULD BE A STATISTICAL BLIP.

 

DOMESTIC DEMAND CONDITIONS REMAIN POSITIVE, HELPED BY THE GOVERNMENT WHICH IS GIVING CASH FROM LAST YEAR’S SURPLUS TO THE WHOLE POPULATION AND ISSUING FOOD VOUCHERS TO THE POOR. “LOW INTEREST RATES AND A HEALHY JOBS MARKET SHOULD KEEP SPENDING FIRM,” SAID HSBC’S MS SOFAT. SHE ADDED THAT FEBRUARY’S DECLINE WAS DUE LARGELY TO A HIGH BASE SET THE PREVIOUS YEAR AND PREDICTED THAT MARCH SALES WOULD BOUNCE BACK WITH A 15.0% SURGE. ALSO, IF COMPARED WITH JANUARY, FEBRUARY SALES ROSE 8.8% AFTER ADJUSTING FOR SEASONAL EFFECTS. THIS WAS THE STRONGEST PERFORMANCE IN FOUR YEARS, SHE SAID.

 

CIMB-GK ECONOMIST SONG SENG WUN SAID MUCH OF THE POOR PERFORMANCE CAME ON THE BACK OF WEAKER CAR SALES. EXCLUDING THOSE, RETAIL SALES WOULD HAVE RISEN 2.9%. CAR SALES HAVE BEEN HURT SINCE OCTOBER BY RISING CERTIFICATE OF ENTITLEMENT PRICES, CAUSED BY AN EXPECTED CUT IN QUOTAS FROM NEXT MONTH AND SURGING PUMP PRICES.

 

OUTLOOK

 

GENERALLY, WHOLESALERS ARE POSITIVE ABOUT THEIR BUSINESS PROSPECTS IN THE COMING MONTHS, WITH A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 4% OF FIRMS EXPRESSING POSITIVE BUSINESS SENTIMENTS. THE MAJORITY OF WHOLESALERS OF PETROLEUM AND PETROLEUM PRODUCTS, CHEMICALS AND CHEMICAL PRODUCTS, INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT AND COMPUTERS AND ACCESSORIES FORECAST BUSINESS OUTLOOK TO REMAIN THE SAME IN THE FIRST SIX MONTHS OF 2008 COMPARED WITH THE LAST SIX MONTHS IN 2007.

 

A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 12% OF RETAILERS PREDICTS LESS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING JUNE 2008. AS A RESULT OF THE REDUCED CERTIFICATE OF ENTITLEMENT (COE) QUOTA, MOTOR VEHICLES RETAILERS ARE ESPECIALLY CONCERNED WITH THE SALES.

 

EXTRACTED FROM: MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE

SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

THE STRAITS TIMES

 

 

 

 

 

 


 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Unfavourable & favourable factors carry similar weight in credit consideration. Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

NR

In view of the lack of information, we have no basis upon which to recommend credit dealings

No Rating

 

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)            Ownership background (20%)                 Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                    Market trend (10%)                                Operational size (10%)

 

 

 

 

PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL : This information is provided to you at your request, you having employed MIPL for such purpose. You will use the information as aid only in determining the propriety of giving credit and generally as an aid to your business and for no other purpose. You will hold the information in strict confidence, and shall not reveal it or make it known to the subject persons, firms or corporations or to any other. MIPL does not warrant the correctness of the information as you hold it free of any liability whatsoever. You will be liable to and indemnify MIPL for any loss, damage or expense, occasioned by your breach or non observance of any one, or more of these conditions