MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

Report Date :

27.01.2011

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

PACIFIC FOREST PRODUCTS PTE LTD

 

 

Formerly Known As :

AIMS MERCHANDISING PTE LTD

 

 

Registered Office :

1 Sungei Kadut Crescent, Singapore 728684

 

 

Country :

Singapore

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

01.06.1988

 

 

Com. Reg. No.:

198801748D

 

 

Legal Form :

Exempt Pte Ltd

 

 

Line of Business :

Importer, Exporter, Stockist and Manufacturer of wood products     

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

B

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

26-40

B

Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

Small

 

Maximum Credit Limit :

 

Status :

Moderate

Payment Behaviour :

Regular

Litigation :

Clear

 


 

NOTES :

Any query related to this report can be made on e-mail : infodept@mirainform.com while quoting report number, name and date.

 

 

ECGC Country Risk Classification List – June 30, 2010

 

Country Name

Previous Rating

                   (01.04.2010)                  

Current Rating

(30.06.2010)

Singapore

a1

a1

 

Risk Category

ECGC Classification

Insignificant

 

A1

Low

 

A2

Moderate

 

B1

High

 

B2

Very High

 

C1

Restricted

 

C2

Off-credit

 

D

 


 

Subject Company   

 

PACIFIC FOREST PRODUCTS PTE LTD

 

 

Line Of Business  

 

IMPORTER, EXPORTER, STOCKIST AND MANUFACTURER OF WOOD PRODUCTS     

 

 

Parent Company    

 

----

 

 

Financial Elements

 

Sales                            : NA

Networth                                   : NA

Paid-Up Capital                 : S$500,000

Net result                      : NA

Net Margin(%)               : NA

Return on Equity(%)       : NA

Leverage Ratio               : NA

 

 

COMPANY IDENTIFICATION

 

Subject Company :

PACIFIC FOREST PRODUCTS PTE LTD

Former Name :

AIMS MERCHANDISING PTE LTD DATE OF CHANGE : 27/08/1988

Business Address:

1 SUNGEI KADUT CRESCENT

Town:

SINGAPORE

Postcode:

728684

Country:

Singapore

Telephone:

6368 6675

Fax:

6368 7039

ROC Number:

198801748D

Easy Number company:

00004272418136

 

 

PREVIOUS IDENTIFICATION

 

AIMS MERCHANDISING PTE LTD DATE OF CHANGE : 27/08/1988

 

 

SUMMARY

 

Legal Form:

Exempt Pte Ltd

Date Inc.:

01/06/1988

Summary year :

 

All amounts in this report are in :

SGD

Sales:

 

Capital:

 

Paid-Up Capital:

500,000

Net result :

 

Share value:

 

                                                                      
BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD             
                   
                                              NO OF SHARES      CURRENCY             AMOUNT              
ISSUED ORDINARY                1,000,000                SGD                        1,000,000.00
PAID-UP ORDINARY               -                              SGD                        1,000,000.00

 


REFERENCES

 

Credit Opinion:

 

 

 

Litigation:

No

Company status :

TRADING

Started :

01/06/1988

 

 

PRINCIPAL(S)

 

CHANG YONG LEONG

S0136153H

Director

 

 

DIRECTOR(S)

 

YANG CHIAH MING @ YENG CHIAH MING

S1170628B

Company Secretary

Appointed on :

15/12/1999

 

Street :

8A LORONG KISMIS UNIQUE GARDEN

 

Town:

SINGAPORE

 

Postcode:

598004

 

Country:

Singapore

 

 

CHANG YONG LEONG

S0136153H

Director

Appointed on :

01/06/1988

 

Street :

75 NERAM ROAD SELETAR HILLS ESTATE

 

Town:

SINGAPORE

 

Postcode:

807771

 

Country:

Singapore

 

 

TAN SIEW TOH

S1382902J

Director

Appointed on :

18/08/1988

 

Street :

75 NERAM ROAD SELETAR HILLS ESTATE

 

Town:

SINGAPORE

 

Postcode:

807771

 

Country:

Singapore

 

 

 

FORMER DIRECTOR(S)

 

TEO GEOK CHOO

S1624789H

 

 

 

ACTIVITY(IES)

 

Activity Code:

2920

BUILDING MATERIALS

Activity Code:

11760

IMPORTERS And EXPORTERS

 
BASED ON ACRA'S RECORD 
 
1) MANUFACTURE OF PREFABRICATED WOODEN BUILDING STRUCTURE (INCLUDING  
   PARQUET FLOORING);                                                 
   MANUFACTURER OF WOOD PRODUCTS AND BUILDING MATERIAL PRODUCTS       
2) GENERAL CONTRACTORS (BUILDING CONSTRUCTION INCLUDING MAJOR
   UPGRADING WORKS);                                                  
   GENERAL WHOLESALE TRADE (INCLUDING GENERAL IMPORTERS & EXPORTERS)

 

 

CHARGES

 

 

 

AVAILABLE

Date:

03/12/2007

Amount:

0

Comments :

CHARGE NO : C200710635                                                
AMOUNT SECURED : ALL MONIES OWING                                     
CHARGEE(S) : OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED

 

 

AVAILABLE

Date:

03/12/2005

Amount:

0

Comments :

CHARGE NO : C200507497                                                
AMOUNT SECURED : ALL MONIES OWING                                     
CHARGEE(S) : STANDARD CHARTERED BANK

 

 

AVAILABLE

Date:

26/08/2004

Amount:

0

Comments :

CHARGE NO : C200404229                                                
AMOUNT SECURED : ALL MONIES OWING                                     
CHARGEE(S) : STANDARD CHARTERED BANK

 

 

AVAILABLE

Date:

12/02/2010

Amount:

0

Comments :

CHARGE NO : C201001462                                                
AMOUNT SECURED : ALL MONIES OWING                                     
CHARGEE(S) : THE BANK OF EAST ASIA LIMITED

 

 

PREMISES/PROPERTY INFORMATIONS

 

 

AVAILABLE

Date:

26/01/2011

Site Address :

1 SUNGEI KADUT CRESCENT
728684
Singapore

Annual Value:

269,000

 

 

*ANNUAL VALUE IS THE ESTIMATED ANNUAL RENT THE PROPERTY CAN FETCH IF IT WERE RENTED OUT. THE ANNUAL VALUE IS DETERMINED IN THE SAME MANNER REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE PROPERTY IS LET-OUT, OWNER-OCCUPIED OR VACANT.

 

 

BANKERS

 

OVERSEA-CHINESE BANKING CORPORATION LIMITED

STANDARD CHARTERED BANK

THE BANK OF EAST ASIA LIMITED

 

 

SHAREHOLDERS(S)

 

CHANG YONG LEONG

900,000

Private Person

 

Street :

75 NERAM ROAD SELETAR HILLS ESTATE

Town:

SINGAPORE

Postcode:

807771

Country:

Singapore

 

TAN SIEW TOH

100,000

Private Person

 

Street :

75 NERAM ROAD SELETAR HILLS ESTATE

Town:

SINGAPORE

Postcode:

807771

Country:

Singapore

 

 

PAYMENT HISTORY AND EXPERIENCES

 

Trade Morality:

AVERAGE

Liquidity :

UNKNOWN

Payments :

REGULAR

Trend :

LEVEL

Financial Situation:

UNKNOWN

 

 

 

FINANCIAL COMMENTS

 

EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY                                                
WHERE THE SHARES OF A PRIVATE COMPANY ARE NOT OWNED BY ANY CORPORATE  
BODY AND THERE ARE NO MORE THAN 20 MEMBERS, THE PRIVATE COMPANY IS    
KNOWN AS AN EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY.
AN EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY ENJOYS A GREATER AMOUNT OF PRIVACY THAN A   
PRIVATE COMPANY. IT IS NOT REQUIRED TO FILE ACCOUNTS WITH THE         
REGISTRAR IF IT CAN PRODUCE A CERTIFICATE SIGNED BY ONE OF ITS        
DIRECTORS, SECRETARY AND AUDITOR CONFIRMING THE FOLLOWING POINTS:     
1.             THE COMPANY IS AN EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY.
2.             THE AUDITED ACCOUNTS HAVE BEEN TABLED BEFORE THE SHAREHOLDERS      
AT THE ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING.                                        
3.             THE COMPANY IS ABLE TO MEET ITS LIABILITIES.                       
                                                                      
THERE IS THEREFORE NO DISCLOSURE TO THE PUBLIC OF THE ACCOUNTS OF THE
COMPANY ALTHOUGH THE ACCOUNTS STILL HAVE TO BE AUDITED EVERY YEAR AND 
APPROVED AT AN ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING OF THE COMPANY.                 
                                                                      
A PRIVATE COMPANY THAT IS WHOLLY OWNED BY THE GOVERNMENT MAY BECOME AN
EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY IF THE MINISTER FOR FINANCE, IN THE NATIONAL
INTEREST, DECLARES IT TO BE SUCH BY A GAZETTE NOTIFICATION.           
                                                                      
EXEMPT FROM AUDIT                                                     
AN EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY IS EXEMPT FROM AUDIT REQUIREMENTS IF THE    
STARTING DATE OF ITS FINANCIAL YEAR IS BETWEEN 15 MAY 2003 AND 31 MAY
2004 AND ITS TURNOVER FOR THAT FINANCIAL YEAR DOES NOT EXCEED $2.5    
MILLION. FOR FINANCIAL YEARS STARTING 1 JUNE 2004, THE AMOUNT OF THE  
TURNOVER HAS BEEN RAISED TO $5 MILLION. THESE COMPANIES ARE STILL     
REQUIRED TO MAINTAIN PROPER ACCOUNTING.

 

BACKGROUND/OPERATION

 

THE COMPANY WAS INCORPORATED IN THE REPUBLIC OF SINGAPORE ON          
01/06/1988 AS A LIMITED EXEMPT PRIVATE COMPANY AND IS TRADING UNDER   
ITS NAMESTYLE AS "AIMS MERCHANDISING PTE LTD".                        
                                                                      
SUBSEQUENTLY ON 27/08/1988, SUBJECT CHANGED TO ITS PRESENT NAMESTYLE
OF "PACIFIC FOREST PRODUCTS PTE LTD".                                 
                                                                      
AS AT 26/01/2011, THE COMPANY HAS AN ISSUED AND PAID-UP CAPITAL OF    
1,000,000 SHARES, OF A VALUE OF S$1,000,000.
 
PRINCIPAL ACTIVITIES:                                                 
SUBJECT IS REGISTERED WITH THE ACCOUNTING AND CORPORATE REGULATORY    
AUTHORITY (ACRA) TO BE PRINCIPALLY ENGAGED IN THE BUSINESS OF:        
1) MANUFACTURE OF PREFABRICATED WOODEN BUILDING STRUCTURE (INCLUDING  
   PARQUET FLOORING);
   MANUFACTURER OF WOOD PRODUCTS AND BUILDING MATERIAL PRODUCTS       
2) GENERAL CONTRACTORS (BUILDING CONSTRUCTION INCLUDING MAJOR         
   UPGRADING WORKS);                                                  
   GENERAL WHOLESALE TRADE (INCLUDING GENERAL IMPORTERS & EXPORTERS)
 
FROM THE RESEARCH DONE, THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION WAS GATHERED:       
                                                                      
BACKGROUND:                                                           
HEADQUARTERED IN SINGAPORE, THEIR BUSINESS HAS EXPANDED GREATLY FROM  
THEIR HUMBLE BEGINNINGS IN 1988 INTO A MULTI-FACETED ONE FOCUSED ON 3
MAIN ACTIVITIES: THE DESIGN AND BUILDING OF LIFESTYLE HOMES AND HOTEL 
RESORTS, PRODUCTS MANUFACTURING AND TRADING.                          
                                                                      
TODAY, THEIR PORTFOLIO OF SUCCESSFUL PROJECTS SPEAKS FOR ITSELF. WITH 
PRESTIGIOUS PROJECTS SUCH AS THE FOUR SEASONS RESORT BORA BORA UNDER
THEIR BELT, YOU CAN BE ASSURED OF THEIR COMMITMENT TO DELIVERING THE  
BEST QUALITY.                                                         
                                                                      
AND AS PART OF THEIR GAIA-FRIENDLY BELIEFS, THEY HAVE ALSO DELVED INTO
THE RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT FRONT TO PURSUE THE POSSIBILITIES OF
FINDING GREENER WOOD SUBSTITUTES IN THE FUTURE.                       
                                                                      
SUBJECT ENGAGES IN THE FOLLOWING ACTIVITIES:                          
* IMPORTER, EXPORTER, STOCKIST AND MANUFACTURER OF WOOD PRODUCTS      
* WHOLESALE OF LOGS, SAWN TIMBER, PLYWOOD AND RELATED PRODUCTS
                                                                      
PRODUCTS DEALING:                                                     
* FLOORINGS - SOLID TIMBER                                            
* FLOORINGS - CLICK-LOCK MDF PANEL                                    
* FLOORINGS - LAMINATED
* LOUVRES - DOORS AND WINDOWS                                         
* DOORS - SOLID WOOD CRAFT                                            
* DOORS - FIRE SAFETY                                                 
* DOORS - HOLLOW CORE                                                 
* WINDOWS - WOODEN CASEMENT
* PANELS - PLYWOOD                                                    
* PANELS - SIDING GROOVED                                             
* PANELS - MDF                                                        
* PANELS - PARTICLE BOARDS                                            
* PANELS - FIBER CEMENT BOARDS
* PANELS - CEMENT BOARDS                                              
* PANELS - BLOCKBOARDS                                                
* WOOD MOULDING - CLADDINGS                                           
* WOOD MOULDING - DECKINGS                                            
* WOOD MOULDING - ROUND POLES
* SAWM LUMBER                                                         
* SIKKENS TRANSLUCENT WOOD PROTECTION PRODUCTS                        
                                                                      
PROJECTS:                                                             
* FOUR SEASONS, BORA BORA
* LEGENDS RESORT, MOOREA                                              
* MAIVA BEACH RESORT                                                  
* HYATT, KOH SAMUI                                                    
* GRANDSTAND, SINGAPORE                                               
* ST REGIS
* GOUARO DEVA, NEW-CALEDONIA                                          
* CRUISE SHIP DECKINGS                                                
                                                                      
SUBJECT IS A MEMBER OF THE FOLLOWING ENTITIES:                        
* THE SINGAPORE CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION LTD.
                                                                      
ON 26/05/2009, ATTEMPTS HAVE BEEN MADE TO CONTACT THE SUBJECT FOR A   
TELE-INTERVIEW. HOWEVER, TELE-INTERVIEW WAS REJECTED BY SUBJECT'S     
PERSONNEL. HENCE, NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION AT THE TIME OF THIS      
REPORT.
                                                                      
FROM THE TELE-INTERVIEW CONDUCTED, THE FOLLOWING WAS    
GATHERED:                                                             
                                                                      
SUBJECT CONFIRMED ITS BUSINESS ADDRESS, EMAIL, WEBSITE AND FAX NUMBER.
                                                                      
NO OTHER TRADE INFORMATION IS AVAILABLE.                
                                                                      
REGISTERED AND BUSINESS ADDRESS:                                      
1 SUNGEI KADUT CRESCENT
SINGAPORE 728684                                                      
DATE OF CHANGE OF ADDRESS: 13/10/2004                                 
- OWNED PREMISE                                                       
                                                                      
WEBSITE: http://www.pacificforest.com.sg/ 
 
EMAIL: jason@pacificforest.com.sg 

 

MANAGEMENT

 

THE DIRECTORS AT THE TIME OF THIS REPORT ARE:                         
                                                                      
1) CHANG YONG LEONG, A SINGAPOREAN                                    
   - HOLDS OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE:           
     SCR BUILDING PRODUCTS PTE LTD
                                                                      
2) TAN SIEW TOH, A SINGAPOREAN                                        
   - HOLDS OTHER DIRECTORSHIPS AS RECORDED IN OUR DATABASE:           
     BUILTTEC INDTRADE PTE LTD

 

 

ADVERSE ON DIRECTORS

 

DIRECTOR'S NAME:                                              CHANG YONG LEONG                                     
ADVERSE REPORT AGAINST DIRECTOR:             NOT AVAILABLE FROM OUR DATABASE      
PROPERTY OWNERSHIP:                                     OWNS 1                                            
ANNUAL VALUE:                                                   S$60,000                                                
CO-OWNER (S):                                                    TAN SIEW TOH
                                                                      
DIRECTOR'S NAME:                                              TAN SIEW TOH                                         
ADVERSE REPORT AGAINST DIRECTOR:             NOT AVAILABLE FROM OUR DATABASE      
PROPERTY OWNERSHIP:                                     OWNS 1                                            
ANNUAL VALUE:                                                   S$60,000
CO-OWNER (S):                                                    CHANG YONG LEONG                                        
                                                                      
*              ANNUAL VALUE IS THE ESTIMATED ANNUAL RENT THE PROPERTY CAN          
FETCH IF IT WERE RENTED OUT. THE ANNUAL VALUE IS DETERMINED IN THE    
SAME MANNER REGARDLESS OF WHETHER THE PROPERTY IS LET-OUT, OWNER-
OCCUPIED OR VACANT.

 

 

Singapore’s Country Rating 2010

 

Investment Grade

 

THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY WAS SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY THE CRISIS DUE TO THE CONTRACTION OF EXPORTS, WHICH REPRESENT 210% OF GDP. SALES ABROAD OF MANUFACTURED PRODUCTS (ELECTRONICS, ENGINEERING, PHARMACEUTICALS, PETROCHEMICALS) AND SERVICES (FINANCIAL SERVICES, TOURISM, TRANSPORT) WERE AFFECTED BY THE WEAK PERFORMANCE OF THE MAIN TRADING PARTNERS (MALAYSIA, UNITED STATES, CHINA, JAPAN). WITH THE ECONOMY'S SLIDE INTO RECESSION, THE CENTRAL BANK REDUCED INTEREST RATES SEVERAL TIMES AND A STIMULUS PROGRAMME REPRESENTING 8% OF GDP WAS IMPLEMENTED IN JANUARY LAST YEAR. ALTHOUGH INCREASED PUBLIC SPENDING ON INFRASTRUCTURE, TRANSPORT, HEALTH AND EDUCATION ENABLED THE AUTHORITIES TO LIMIT THE CONTRACTION OF INVESTMENT, THAT DID NOT SUFFICE TO OFFSET THE DROP IN PRIVATE INVESTMENT. THE GOVERNMENT MOREOVER GRANTED DEFAULT GUARANTEES OF UP TO 80% ON NEW LOANS. AND HOUSEHOLD CONSUMPTION WAS SUPPORTED BY A REDUCTION OF INCOME TAX AND MEASURES TO FOSTER EMPLOYMENT. 

IN Q1 2010, GROWTH REBOUNDED SIGNIFICANTLY (15.5% Y/Y). FOR THE ENTIRE YEAR, GROWTH IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN HIGH (8.9%) THANKS TO THE POSITIVE IMPACT ON DOMESTIC DEMAND OF THESE EXPANSIONARY MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICIES AND THE GRADUAL RECOVERY OF THE WORLD ECONOMY. INVESTMENT, CONSUMPTION, AND NET EXPORTS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO CONTRIBUTE POSITIVELY TO GROWTH. ON THE SUPPLY SIDE, THE CONSTRUCTION SECTOR WILL BENEFIT AGAIN THIS YEAR FROM INCREASED PUBLIC SPENDING WHILE ELECTRONICS, PHARMACEUTICALS, PETROCHEMICALS, FINANCIAL SERVICES, AND TOURISM WILL GRADUALLY RECOVER. THE COFACE PAYMENT MONITORING RECORDS ARE THUS EXPECTED TO REFLECT THIS FAVOURABLE TREND. SINGAPORE BOASTS THE BEST GOVERNANCE IN ASIA UNDERPINNED BY AN EFFECTIVE LEGAL SYSTEM THAT FACILITATES CLAIM COLLECTION AND A HIGH LEVEL OF FINANCIAL TRANSPARENCY.

STRONG FINANCIAL POSITION

DESPITE IMPLEMENTATION OF A BROAD STIMULUS PROGRAMME, THE COUNTRY CONTINUED TO RUN A SLIGHT FISCAL SURPLUS IN 2009, WHICH IS EXPECTED TO GROW IN 2010. PUBLIC SECTOR FINANCES HAVE THUS REMAINED SOLID.

DESPITE THE CONTRACTION OF THE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS, EXTERNAL ACCOUNTS ALSO REMAINED LARGELY IN SURPLUS LAST YEAR. IN 2010, THE CURRENT ACCOUNT SURPLUS WILL LIKELY REMAIN STABLE AS RESULT OF THE MORE RAPID RECOVERY OF IMPORTS COMPARED TO EXPORTS, ASSOCIATED WITH THE RISE OF RAW MATERIAL PRICES AND THE REBOUND OF DOMESTIC DEMAND. BESIDES, THE VOLATILITY OF PORTFOLIO INVESTMENT FLOWS THAT DEVELOPED AFTER THE LEHMAN BROTHERS BANKRUPTCY EASED IN 2009. IN 2010, THE HIGH LEVEL OF FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO ENDOW THE COUNTRY WITH GOOD CAPACITY TO WITHSTAND SUDDEN CAPITAL.

MOREOVER, DESPITE THE INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL TURMOIL AND THE EXPOSURE OF SOME BANKS TO SUBPRIMES AND LEHMAN BROTHERS, THE BANKING SYSTEM IS STILL SOLID THANKS TO SATISFACTORY RISK MANAGEMENT, EFFECTIVE OVERSIGHT, AND HIGH SOLVENCY AND LIQUIDITY RATIOS. 

 

ASSETS

 

·         VERY HIGH QUALITY-COMPETITIVENESS

·         DEVELOPMENT OF HIGH VALUE-ADDED SECTORS (CHEMICALS, PHARMACEUTICALS, FINANCE)

·         STRONG FDI INFLOWS THANKS TO AN ADVANTAGEOUS TAX REGIME, POLITICAL STABILITY AND AN EXCELLENT BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT

·         MAJOR EXPORTER OF CAPITAL IN ASIA VIA THE PUBLIC HOLDING COMPANY TEMASEK

 

 

WEAKNESSES

 

  • ECONOMY DEPENDENT ON FOREIGN DEMAND
  • SHORTAGES OF SKILLED LABOUR
  • AGEING POPULATION
  • LATENT SOCIAL TENSIONS IN A CONTEXT OF INCREASING INEQUALITY AND GROWING DURABLE UNEMPLOYMENT AMONG THE LEAST SKILLED

 

 

OVERVIEW OF SINGAPORE

 

PAST PERFORMANCE

 

IN 2Q 2010, The Singapore economy ROSE by 18.8%, after growing by 16.9% in 1q 2010. ALL MAJOR SECTORS EXPANDED, WITH manufacturing, wholesale and retail trade and financial services contributing mainly to growth.

 

ON A SEASONALLY ADJUSTED ANNUALISED QUARTER-ON-QUARTER BASIS, REAL GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) rose BY 24.0%, FOLLOWING A 45.7% GROWTH IN 1Q 2010.

 

The manufacturinG Sector grew by 45.0%, COMPARED TO 2Q 2009.

 

the construction sector grew by 12.0%, SLOWER than the 13.7% in 1q 2010.

 

THE SERVICES PRODUCING INDUSTRIES AS A WHOLE ROSE BY 11.0%, SIMILAR TO THE GROWTH ACHIEVED IN 1Q 2010. IT IS LED BY STRONG EXPANSIONS IN THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR (19.0%) AND THE FINANCIAL SERVICES SECTOR (10.0%).

 

The financial services sector EXPANDED BY 10.2% IN 2Q 2010, SLOWER than the 18.1% GROWTH IN 1Q 2010.

 

THE WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE SECTOR ROSE BY 18.9% IN 2Q 2010, GREATER THAN THE 17.7%% GROWTH IN 1Q 2010.

 

GROWTH IN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE SECTOR ROSE BY 7.6% IN 2Q 2010, SIMILAR TO THE GROWTH ACHIEVED IN 1Q 2010.

 

The hotels and restaurants sector ROSE BY 10.4% IN 2Q 2010, MUCH GREATER THAN THE 6.7% GROWTH IN 1Q 2010.

 

The information and communications sector rose by 2.8% in 2Q 2010, SLIGHTLY  SLOWER than the 2.9% growth in 1Q 2010.

 

The business services sector expanded by 6.4% in 1Q 2010, GREATER THAN THE

6.1 % in 1Q 2010.

 


NEWS

 

GROWTH MAY SURPASS GOVT’S 15% FORECAST

 

SINGAPORE’S REBOUNDING ECONOMY MAY BURST THROUGH THE 15.0% GROWTH CEILING FORECASTED BY THE GOVERNMENT EARLIER THIS YEAR.

 

ACCORDING TO 20 ECONOMISTS AND ANALYSTS SURVEYED BY THE MONETARY AUTHORITY OF SINGAPORE (MAS), THE ECONOMY IS MOST LIKELY TO EXPAND BY BETWEEN 14.9% AND 15.9% THIS YEAR, RATHER THAN THE 13.0% TO 15.0% RANGE EXPECTED BY THE GOVERNMENT.

 

THEIR MEDIAN GROWTH FORECAST OF 14.9% - ANNOUNCED IN THE LATEST MAS SURVEY OF PROFESSIONAL FORECASTERS RELEASED YESTERDAY – IS A SIGNIFICANT LEAP FROM THE MEDIAN FORECAST OF 9.0% CONTAINED IN THE PREVIOUS SURVEY IN JUNE.

 

AND, IF ACHIEVED, IT WILL ENTER THE RECORD BOOKS AS SINGAPORE’S HIGHEST-EVER ANNUAL GROWTH RATE.

 

THE LAST RECORD WAS SET IN 1970, WHEN THE ECONOMY ADVANCED 13.8%.

 

ALONG WITH THE RECORD GROWTH, THE ECONOMISTS HAVE ALSO RAISED THEIR FORECASTS FOR THIS YEAR’S EXPORTS, INFLATION AND THE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE.

 

BUT THIS YEAR’S BIGGER OUTPUT JUMP COULD SPELL SLOWER GROWTH NEXT YEAR, BECAUSE 2011’S PERFORMANCE WILL BE MEASURED AGAINST THIS YEAR’S HIGHER BASE.

THE FORECASTERS ARE NOW ANTICIPATING 4.0% TO 4.9% EXPANSION FOR NEXT YEAR, DOWN FROM THEIR EARLIER FORECAST OF 5.0% TO 5.9%.

 

THE UPGRADED PROJECTION FOR THIS YEAR WAS DRIVEN MAINLY BY THE MANUFACTURING SECTOR, WHICH IS NOW THOUGHT TO HAVE PERFORMED BETTER FOR THE FULL YEAR.

 

EXPECTATIONS HAVE ALSO BEEN RAISED FOR THE FINANCIAL SERVICES AND WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE INDUSTRIES.

 

THIS SHOULD SEE THE ECONOMY REGISTERING DOUBLE-DIGIT EXPANSIONS IN THE THIRD AND FOURTH QUARTERS, SAID THE ECONOMIST POLLED.

 

THEY ARE PREDICTING 11.6% GROWTH FOR THE THIRD QUARTER, UP FROM A PREVIOUS FORECAST OF 6.0%; ALTHOUGH IT IS DOWN ON THE 18.8% RISE IN THE SECOND QUARTER.

 

IN THE FOURTH QUARTER, GROWTH MAY ACCELERATE TO 12.6%, THE SURVEY SHOWED.

 

MOST ECONOMISTS BELIEVE THE ECONOMY PEAKED IN THE SECOND QUARTER AND WILL SLOW AS THE GLOBAL ECONOMY WAVERS IN THE SECOND HALF OF THE YEAR.

 

MR DAVID COHEN OF ACTION ECONOMICS FORECASTS 15.5% GROWTH THIS YEAR, EVEN AFTER TAKING INTO ACCOUNT A QUARTER-QUARTER CONTRACTION IN THE THIRD QUARTER AND SLIGHT GROWTH IN THE FOURTH QUARTER.

 

“I THINK THE SENSE IS THAT THE SECOND QUARTER GOT A LITTLE AHEAD OF ITSELF, AND MAY HAVE BEEN EXAGGERATED BY SOME SPECIAL FACTORS IN BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING,” HE SAID.

 

“THE PRODUCTION SCHEDULES TEND TO BOUNCE AROUND AND MAYBE WERE A LITTLE OVERSTATED IN THE SECOND QUARTER.”

 

ON TOP OF THAT, MR COHEN SAID”THERE IS A SENSE THAT THE GLOBAL ECONOMY IS SLIPPING FROM THE PACE OF REBOUND SEEN EARLIER THIS YEAR.

 

WHILE THE ASIAN ECONOMIES GENERALLY CONTINUED ROARING IN THE SECOND QUARTER, GROWTH IN BOTH JAPAN AND THE UNITED STATES SLOWED SHARPLY.

 

THE MAS SURVEY REPORTED YESTERDAY THAT THE SINGAPORE DOLLAR IS PROJECTED TO RISE TO $1.363 AGAINST THE US DOLLAR AT THE END OF THIS MONTH AND TO $1.35 BY YEAR-END.

 

 

OUTLOOK

 

THE COMPOSITE LEADING INDEX (CLI) FELL ON A QUARTER-ON-QUARTER BASIS FOR THE FIRST TIME SINCE 1Q 2009. THE CLI DECLINED BY 1.8% IN 2Q 2010, REVERSING THE 2.4% RISE IN 1Q 2010. OF THE NINE COMPONENTS WITHIN THE INDEX, SIX COMPONENTS – NAMELY, STOCK OF FINISHED GOODS, NON-OIL SEA CARGO HANDLED,

NEW COMPANIES FORMED, STOCK PRICES, NON-OIL RETAINED IMPORTS AND WHOLESALE TRADE – DECLINED COMPARED TO THE PRECEDING PERIOD.

 

THE ONLY INDICATOR THAT SHOWED AN INCREASE WAS US PURCHASING MANAGERS’ INDEX, WHILE THE DOMESTIC LIQUIDITY AND MONEY SUPPLY INDICATORS REMAINED STABLE IN 2Q 2010.

 

THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY ROSE STRONGLY AT A PACE OF 18.0% IN 1Q 2010, IN TANDEM WITH THE RECOVERY IN GLOBAL AND REGIONAL MARKETS. THIS RECOVERY WAS BROAD-BASED ACROSS ALL KEY SECTORS OF THE ECONOMY, PARTICULARLY MANUFACTURING, WHOLESALE AND RETAIL TRADE AND FINANCIAL SERVICES.

 

FOR THE REST OF THE YEAR, THE GLOBAL ECONOMY IS EXPECTED TO RECOVER AT A MODEST PACE. SIGNS OF A SLOWDOWN CAN ALREADY BE OBSERVED IN THE KEY EXTERNAL ECONOMIES. IN PARTICULAR, US GROWTH HAS SLOWED IN 2Q 2010, DUE TO A SMALLER RISE IN PRIVATE CONSUMPTION EXPENDITURE AND A LOWER BOOST FROM INVENTORY RESTOCKING EFFORTS. HOUSEHOLD SPENDING IS LIKELY TO BE DEPRESSED FOR SOME TIME AS THE LABOUR AND HOUSING MARKETS REMAIN WEAK. FORWARD-LOOKING INDICATORS SUCH AS CONSUMER AND BUSINESS CONFIDENCE INDICES HAVE ALSO DECLINED. IN THE EU, MARKET CONCERNS HAVE BEEN LIFTED TO SOME EXTENT BY THE POSITIVE RESULTS OF STRESS TESTS ON COMMERCIAL BANKS AND SECURED DEBT FINANCING IN GREECE. HOWEVER, THE SITUATION IN SEVERAL SOUTHERN EUROPEAN ECONOMIES REMAIN WEAK, AND ON THE WHOLE, FINAL DEMAND IN THE EU IS EXPECTED TO BE SLUGGISH. THE SLOWDOWN IN EXTERNAL DEMAND HAS ALSO AFFECTED ASIAN ECONOMIES. SPECIFICALLY, CHINA REPORTED A SLOWER PACE OF GROWTH IN THE SECOND QUARTER AS COMPARED TO THE PREVIOUS QUARTER.

 

IN LINE WITH THESE DEVELOPMENTS, THE STRONG GROWTH MOMENTUM IN SINGAPORE IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE YEAR MAY EASE IN THE LATTER HALF OF THIS YEAR, ALTHOUGH GROWTH RATES WILL REMAIN HEALTHY. INDUSTRY SPECIFIC FACTORS SUCH AS ANTICIPATED PLANT MAINTENANCE SHUTDOWNS IN THE BIOMEDICAL MANUFACTURING CLUSTER MAY ALSO DAMPEN OVERALL GROWTH.

 

TAKING THESE FACTORS INTO CONSIDERATION, THE MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY EXPECTS THE SINGAPORE ECONOMY TO GROW BY 13.0% TO 15.0% IN 2010.

 

IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 70% OF FIRMS

FORECASTS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE MONTHS ENDING SEP 2010. IN PARTICULAR, BANKS AND FINANCE COMPANIES, STOCK, SHARE AND BOND BROKERS, FUND MANAGERS AND INSURANCE COMPANIES FORECAST A BETTER BUSINESS CLIMATE IN THE COMING MONTHS.

 

IN THE FINANCIAL SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 37% OF FIRMS

FORECASTS FAVOURABLE BUSINESS SENTIMENTS FOR THE MONTHS ENDING DEC 2010. IN PARTICULAR, BANKS AND FINANCE COMPANIES, FUND MANAGERS AND INSURANCE COMPANIES FORECAST A BETTER BUSINESS CLIMATE IN THE COMING MONTHS.

 

IN THE REAL ESTATE INDUSTRY, AN OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 27% OF FIRMS PREDICTS BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS AHEAD.

 

OVERALL, THE SERVICES INDUSTRY ARE UPBEAT BUSINESS OUTLOOK FOR THE MONTHS ENDING DEC 2010. A OVERALL NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 33% OF FIRM FORECASTS BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS. THIS MAGNITUDE IS SMALLER THAN THE POSITIVE NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 36% REGISTERED FOR THE MONTHS ENDING SEP 2010. THE POSITIVE OUTLOOK IS ALSO IN CONTRAST TO THE SLIGHT NEGATIVE NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 3% RECORDED FOR THE MONTHS ENDING DEC 2009.

 

A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 37% OF WHOLESALERS EXPECT POSITIVE BUSINESS SENTIMENTS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING DEC 2010. IN PARTICULAR, THOSE DEALING WITH

FOOD AND BEVERAGES, COSMETICS AND TOILETRIES, INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY AND EQUIPMENT, ELECTRONIC COMPONENTS, COMPUTERS AND ACCESSORIES, AND MOTOR VEHICLES.

 

RETAILERS FORECAST FAVOURABLE BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE COMING MONTHS. A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 29% OF RETAILERS FORECAST POSITIVE FAVOURABLE BUSINESS PROSPECTS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING DEC 2010. THIS APPLIES TO DEPARTMENT STORES, RETAILERS OF WEARING APPAREL AND FOOTWEAR, JEWELLERY AND WATCHES.

 

IN THE TRANSPORT AND STORAGE INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 24% OF FIRMS FORECAST A BRISK BUSINESS CLIMATE FOR THE MONTHS ENDING DEC 2010. FIRMS IN SHIPPING LINES, PROVIDING AIR TRANSPORT SERVICES AND SUPPORTING SERVICES TO AIR TRANSPORT ARE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE MONTHS AHEAD.

 

HOTELIERS ANTICIPATE BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS FOR THE PERIOD ENDING DEC 2010. SIMILARLY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 47% OF FIRMS IN THE CATERING TRADE INDUSTRY FORECASTS POSITIVE OUTLOOK AHEAD. CONVENTIONAL RESTAURANTS, FAST FOOD RESTAURANTS AND FOOD CATERERS ARE AMONG THOSE THAT FORECAST HIGHER BUSINESS VOLUME DURING THAT PERIOD.

 

IN THE INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATIONS INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 38% OF FIRMS PREDICTS BETTER BUSINESS CONDITIONS IN THE COMING MONTHS. IN PARTICULAR, FIRMS ENGAGED IN PUBLISHING, MOTION PICTURE AND VIDEO, RADIO AND TELEVISION, SOUND RECORDING AND BROADCASTING AND TELECOMMUNICATIONS ACTIVITIES FORECASTS BETTER BUSINESS CLIMATE IN THE MONTHS AHEAD.

 

IN THE BUSINESS SERVICES INDUSTRY, A NET WEIGHTED BALANCE OF 25% OF FIRMS PREDICTS POSITIVE SENTIMENTS. THESE INCLUDE FIRMS ENGAGED IN RENTING OF

CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT AND LEGAL ACTIVITIES AS WELL AS HEAD AND REGIONAL OFFICES, LABOUR RECRUITMENT FIRMS AND TRAVEL AGENCIES.

 

EXTRACTED FROM:                MINISTRY OF TRADE AND INDUSTRY, SINGAPORE

                                              SINGAPORE DEPARTMENT OF STATISTICS

                                              THE STRAITS TIMES


 

FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES

 

Currency

Unit

Indian Rupees

US Dollar

1

Rs.45.53

UK Pound

1

Rs.72.78

Euro

1

Rs.62.14

 

 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)         Ownership background (20%)                  Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                 Market trend (10%)                                 Operational size (10%)

 

 

 

 

 

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