MIRA INFORM REPORT

 

 

Report Date :

29.03.2013

 

IDENTIFICATION DETAILS

 

Name :

ALION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION

 

 

Registered Office :

1750 Tysons Boulevard, Suite 1300, McLean, VA 22102

 

 

Country :

United States

 

 

Date of Incorporation :

10.10.2001

 

 

Legal Form :

Corporation – Profit 

 

 

Line of Business :

Subject provides scientific, engineering, and information technology solutions for problems relating to national defense, homeland security, energy, and the environment primarily in the United States. The company offers technical expertise for ship and systems design.

 

 

No. of Employees :

2,684

 

RATING & COMMENTS

 

MIRA’s Rating :

Ba

 

Without Financials

 

RATING

STATUS

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

Satisfactory

 

Status :

Satisfactory

Payment Behaviour :

Usually Correct

Litigation :

Clear

 

 

NOTES :

Any query related to this report can be made on e-mail: infodept@mirainform.com while quoting report number, name and date.

 

ECGC Country Risk Classification List – June 30th, 2012

 

Country Name

Previous Rating

(31.03.2011)

Current Rating

(30.06.2012)

United States

A1

A1

 

Risk Category

ECGC Classification

Insignificant

 

A1

Low

 

A2

Moderate

 

B1

High

 

B2

Very High

 

C1

Restricted

 

C2

Off-credit

 

D

 


 

UNITED STATES - ECONOMIC OVERVIEW

 

The US has the largest and most technologically powerful economy in the world, with a per capita GDP of $48,100. In this market-oriented economy, private individuals and business firms make most of the decisions, and the federal and state governments buy needed goods and services predominantly in the private marketplace. US business firms enjoy greater flexibility than their counterparts in Western Europe and Japan in decisions to expand capital plant, to lay off surplus workers, and to develop new products. At the same time, they face higher barriers to enter their rivals' home markets than foreign firms face entering US markets. US firms are at or near the forefront in technological advances, especially in computers and in medical, aerospace, and military equipment; their advantage has narrowed since the end of World War II. The onrush of technology largely explains the gradual development of a "two-tier labor market" in which those at the bottom lack the education and the professional/technical skills of those at the top and, more and more, fail to get comparable pay raises, health insurance coverage, and other benefits. Since 1975, practically all the gains in household income have gone to the top 20% of households. Since 1996, dividends and capital gains have grown faster than wages or any other category of after-tax income. Imported oil accounts for nearly 55% of US consumption. Oil prices doubled between 2001 and 2006, the year home prices peaked; higher gasoline prices ate into consumers' budgets and many individuals fell behind in their mortgage payments. Oil prices increased another 50% between 2006 and 2008. In 2008, soaring oil prices threatened inflation and caused a deterioration in the US merchandise trade deficit, which peaked at $840 billion. In 2009, with the global recession deepening, oil prices dropped 40% and the US trade deficit shrank, as US domestic demand declined, but in 2011 the trade deficit ramped back up to $803 billion, as oil prices climbed once more. The global economic downturn, the sub-prime mortgage crisis, investment bank failures, falling home prices, and tight credit pushed the United States into a recession by mid-2008. GDP contracted until the third quarter of 2009, making this the deepest and longest downturn since the Great Depression. To help stabilize financial markets, in October 2008 the US Congress established a $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). The government used some of these funds to purchase equity in US banks and industrial corporations, much of which had been returned to the government by early 2011. In January 2009 the US Congress passed and President Barack OBAMA signed a bill providing an additional $787 billion fiscal stimulus to be used over 10 years - two-thirds on additional spending and one-third on tax cuts - to create jobs and to help the economy recover. In 2010 and 2011, the federal budget deficit reached nearly 9% of GDP; total government revenues from taxes and other sources are lower, as a percentage of GDP, than that of most other developed countries. The wars in Iraq and Afghanistan required major shifts in national resources from civilian to military purposes and contributed to the growth of the US budget deficit and public debt - through 2011, the direct costs of the wars totaled nearly $900 billion, according to US government figures. In March 2010, President OBAMA signed into law the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, a health insurance reform bill that will extend coverage to an additional 32 million American citizens by 2016, through private health insurance for the general population and Medicaid for the impoverished. Total spending on health care - public plus private - rose from 9.0% of GDP in 1980 to 17.9% in 2010. In July 2010, the president signed the DODD-FRANK Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, a law designed to promote financial stability by protecting consumers from financial abuses, ending taxpayer bailouts of financial firms, dealing with troubled banks that are "too big to fail," and improving accountability and transparency in the financial system - in particular, by requiring certain financial derivatives to be traded in markets that are subject to government regulation and oversight. Long-term problems include inadequate investment in deteriorating infrastructure, rapidly rising medical and pension costs of an aging population, sizable current account and budget deficits - including significant budget shortages for state governments - energy shortages, and stagnation of wages for lower-income families.

Source : CIA


Company name and address

 

Company name:            ALION SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY CORPORATION

 

Address:                       1750 Tysons Boulevard, Suite 1300, McLean, VA 22102 - USA

 

 

Telephone:                    +1 703-918-4480

 

Fax:                              +1 703-714-6511

 

Website:                       www.alionscience.com

 

Corporate ID#:              3444444

 

State:                           Delaware

 

Judicial form:                Corporation – Profit 

 

Date incorporated:        10-10-2001

 

Stock:                            8,000,000 shares (6,611,090 shares issued as of 02-13-2013)

 

Value:                           No par value

 

Name of manager:         Bahman ATEFI

 

 

ACTIVITIES & OPERATIONS

 

IST

 

Business:

 

Alion Science and Technology Corporation provides scientific, engineering, and information technology solutions for problems relating to national defense, homeland security, energy, and the environment primarily in the United States. The company offers technical expertise for ship and systems design.

It is involved from the initial phase of mission analysis and feasibility trade-off studies through contract and detailed design; and offers production supervision, testing, delivery, and life-cycle engineering support to commercial and naval markets.

The company also performs military and policy analyses; assess logistics management readiness and operational support training; and analyzes critical infrastructure risks for the department of defense.

 

In addition, it develops modeling and simulation tools to support integration and federation of stand-alone simulator-based training and large scale distributed training events; designs and conducts strategic and operations analytic war games; develop phenomenological models; develops multi-dimensional visualization files; maintains a threat generation library to support world-wide air force and joint training and mission rehearsal operations; provides modeling and simulation; and performs comprehensive engineering analyses.

Further, the company provides services and technologies to government and commercial customers to reduce cost, enhance performance and safety of complex systems, and improve information flow across networks and organizations.

It serves the United States department of defense, state and foreign governments, and other commercial customers.

The company was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.

 

On February 25, 2013, The Air Force has awarded a $183 million, three-year contract modification to Alion Science and Technology Corp., to provide lifecycle acquisition support to the Assistant Secretary of the Air Force (Acquisition) and the F-35 Lightning II Joint Program Management Office.

This work will allow for greater continuity across the spectrum of Air Force and F-35 acquisition operations. Alion will provide requirements analysis, acquisition strategy and program execution support under the Secretary of the Air Force Technical and Analytical Support (SAFTAS) contract. This support ranges from database and enterprise architecture development to modeling and simulation and test and evaluation support to complement Air Force expertise. The work supports weapons systems, including the KC-46, C-17, F-22, F-35, Small Diameter Bomb, the Global Hawk and the Predator unmanned aerial vehicle. The SAFTAS Team also provides technical and architectural support to help the Air Force Chief Information Officer develop an acquisition enterprise architecture.

The contract runs from January 1, 2013 to December 31, 2015.

 

 

EIN:                  54-2061691

 

Staff:                2,684

 

 

Operations & branches:

 

At the headquarters, we find the corporate office, on lease.

 

The company maintains a branch located:

 

4300 King Street, Ste 101

Alexandria, VA 22302

Ph: 703-418-0100

Fx: 703-933-6774

 

 

SHAREHOLDERS & MANAGERS

 

Shareholders:

 

This Company is wholly owned by an “Employee Stock Ownership Plan”.

 

Management:

 

Bahman ATEFI is the President and CEO.

Dr. Bahman Atefi serves as the President at Alion Science and Technology Corp. He has been its Chief Executive Officer since December 2001.

Dr. Atefi is also the Chairman of the firm and has been its Director since 2001 and is the Chairman of ESOP Committee. He has over 20 years of experience working for leading international research and development companies, predominately serving the U.S. government. Dr. Atefi served as the President of IITRI from August 1997 and its Chief Executive Officer from October 2000 to December 20, 2002, the closing date of the Transaction.

From June 1994 to August 1997, he was a Manager of the Energy and Environmental Group at Science Applications International Corporation.

In this capacity, Dr. Atefi was responsible for operation of a 600-person business unit, with annual revenues in 1997 of approximately $80 million, which provided scientific and engineering support to the U.S. Department of Energy, Nuclear Regulatory Commission, Environmental Protection Agency, U.S. Department of Defense, as well as commercial and international customers.

He has also been the Chairman of Board of Directors of Human Factors Applications Inc. since February 1999. Dr. Atefi is a Member of Strategic Advisory Board of Relativity Capital, LLC.

He is a Member of Board of Trustees of the Illinois Institute of Technology.

Dr. Atefi holds a B.S. in Electrical Engineering from Cornell University, a Masters degree in Nuclear Engineering, and a Doctor of Science in Nuclear Engineering from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.

 

Stacy MENDLER is the COO

Barry BROADUS is the CFO.

 

 

Subsidiaries

And partnership:

 

1.

Innovative Technology Solutions Corporation, incorporated in the State of New Mexico,

 

2.

Alion-IPS Corporation, incorporated in the Commonwealth of Virginia,

 

3.

Alion-METI Corporation, incorporated in the Commonwealth of Virginia,

 

4.

Alion-CATI Corporation, incorporated in the State of California,

 

5.

Alion-JJMA Corporation, incorporated in the State of New York,

 

6.

Alion International Corporation, incorporated in the State of Delaware,

 

7.

Alion Offshore Services, Inc., incorporated in the State of Delaware

 

8.

Alion India Corporation, incorporated in the State of Delaware

 

9.

Alion Science and Technology (Canada) Corporation, incorporated in the Province of Nova Scotia,

 

10.

Alion-BMH Corporation, incorporated in the Commonwealth of Virginia,

 

11.

Washington Consulting, Inc., incorporated in the Commonwealth of Virginia,

 

12.

Alion-MA&D Corporation, incorporated in the State of Colorado, and

 

13.

Washington Consulting Government Services, Inc., incorporated in the Commonwealth of Virginia.

 

 

FINANCIALS

 

On attachment:

- 10K 2012 (fiscal year ending September 2012)

- 1st 10Q 2012/2013

 

Fiscal year 2012 revenue was USD 817 million, a 3.8% increase over our fiscal year 2011 revenue of USD 787 million.

 

On February 25, 2013, Alion Science and Technology Corp. announced it is just starting the process of refinancing its more than $600 million in debt before it comes due in 2014 and 2015. The company announced that it has hired Goldman, Sachs & Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. to help it refinance its debt. Alion has a $35 million revolving credit facility, $326.5 million in 12% senior secured notes due Nov. 1, 2014, and $245 million in 10.25% senior unsecured notes due Feb. 1, 2015. The revolver, with Credit Suisse Group as the administrative agent, matures on Aug. 22, 2014. The minimum interest rate is 8.5%. The company hasn't drawn down on its revolver since May.

Alion must refinance its debt or it will need to pay out more than $600 million over a three-month period. Alion doesn't believe it will be able to repay the maturing debt from the cash flow produced through its current operations. The company's 12% senior secured notes are trading between 99.5 and 103. Pacific Investment Management Co. LLC held 13% of the company's senior secured notes as of Jan. 31. But Alion's 10.25% senior unsecured notes, which mature later, are trading between 52.15 and 55.25.

 

 

Banks:  State Street Bank

                       

 

LEGAL FILINGS

 

Legal filings & complaints:

 

As of today date, there are several legal filing pending with various Courts.

 

 

Secured debts summary (UCC):  

 

File number: 09-08-28-7104-9

Date filed: 08-28-2009

Secured Party: CIT Technology Financing and Services, Inc.

                           1020 Centurion Parkway N., Jacksonville, FL 32256

 

 

COMPANY CREDIT HISTORY

 

Trade references:

 

Date reported:               March 2013

High credit:                   USD 60,000+

Now owing:                   0

Past due:                      0

Last purchase:              February 2013

Line of business:           Office supply

Paying status:               On terms

 

Date reported:               March 2013

High credit:                   USD 3,000,000+

Now owing:                   0

Past due:                      0

Last purchase:              February 2013

Line of business:           Payroll

Paying status:               As agreed

 

Date reported:               March 2013

High credit:                   USD 1,200

Now owing:                   0

Past due:                      0

Last purchase:              February 2013

Line of business:           Telecommunications

Paying status:               On terms

 

 

Domestic credit history:

 

Domestic credit history appears as follow:

 

Monthly Payment Trends - Recent Activity

 

Date

Balance

Current

Up to 30 DBT

31-60 DBT

61-90 DBT

>90 DBT

10/12

$163,300

74%

25%

1%

0%

0%

11/12

$167,800

75%

25%

0%

0%

0%

12/12

$201,800

65%

34%

1%

0%

0%

01/13

$363,500

59%

39%

2%

0%

0%

02/13

$319,700

43%

32%

25%

0%

0%

03/13

$316,500

35%

7%

37%

21%

0%

 

 

In the past 6 months, we noted a net increase in delays of payments

 

International credit history:

 

Payments of imports are currently made with an average of 5 to 10 days beyond terms.

 

 

Other comments:

 

 

The Company is developing a strong business but the cash is low.

 

The bank confirmed late payments.

 

The Company is in good standing.

This means that all local and federal taxes were paid on due date.

Last report was filed on October 1, 2012.

 

The risk is medium.

 

 

Our opinion:

 

 

A business connection may be conducted but we suggest you to check regularly the way of payments.

 

Standard & Poor’s

United States of America Long-Term Rating Lowered To 'AA+' Due To Political Risks, Rising Debt Burden; Outlook Negative

Publication date: 05-Aug-2011 20:13:14 EST


 

  • We have lowered our long-term sovereign credit rating on the United States of America to 'AA+' from 'AAA' and affirmed the 'A-1+' short-term rating.

·         We have also removed both the short- and long-term ratings from CreditWatch negative.

·         The downgrade reflects our opinion that the fiscal consolidation plan that Congress and the Administration recently agreed to falls short of what, in our view, would be necessary to stabilize the government's medium-term debt dynamics.

·         More broadly, the downgrade reflects our view that the effectiveness, stability, and predictability of American policymaking and political institutions have weakened at a time of ongoing fiscal and economic challenges to a degree more than we envisioned when we assigned a negative outlook to the rating on April 18, 2011.

·         Since then, we have changed our view of the difficulties in bridging the gulf between the political parties over fiscal policy, which makes us pessimistic about the capacity of Congress and the Administration to be able to leverage their agreement this week into a broader fiscal consolidation plan that stabilizes the government's debt dynamics any time soon.

·         The outlook on the long-term rating is negative. We could lower the long-term rating to 'AA' within the next two years if we see that less reduction in spending than agreed to, higher interest rates, or new fiscal pressures during the period result in a higher general government debt trajectory than we currently assume in our base case.

 

TORONTO (Standard & Poor's) Aug. 5, 2011--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it lowered its long-term sovereign credit rating on the United States of America to 'AA+' from 'AAA'. Standard & Poor's also said that the outlook on the long-term rating is negative. At the same time, Standard & Poor's affirmed its 'A-1+' short-term rating on the U.S. In addition, Standard & Poor's removed both ratings from CreditWatch, where they were placed on July 14, 2011, with negative implications.

 

The transfer and convertibility (T&C) assessment of the U.S.--our assessment of the likelihood of official interference in the ability of U.S.-based public- and private-sector issuers to secure foreign exchange for

debt service--remains 'AAA'.

 

We lowered our long-term rating on the U.S. because we believe that the prolonged controversy over raising the statutory debt ceiling and the related fiscal policy debate indicate that further near-term progress containing the growth in public spending, especially on entitlements, or on reaching an agreement on raising revenues is less likely than we previously assumed and will remain a contentious and fitful process. We also believe that the fiscal consolidation plan that Congress and the Administration agreed to this week falls short of the amount that we believe is necessary to stabilize the general government debt burden by the middle of the decade.

 

Our lowering of the rating was prompted by our view on the rising public debt burden and our perception of greater policymaking uncertainty, consistent with our criteria (see "Sovereign Government Rating Methodology and Assumptions ," June 30, 2011, especially Paragraphs 36-41). Nevertheless, we view the U.S. federal government's other economic, external, and monetary credit attributes, which form the basis for the sovereign rating, as broadly unchanged.

 

We have taken the ratings off CreditWatch because the Aug. 2 passage of the Budget Control Act Amendment of 2011 has removed any perceived immediate threat of payment default posed by delays to raising the government's debt ceiling. In addition, we believe that the act provides sufficient clarity to allow us to evaluate the likely course of U.S. fiscal policy for the next few years.

 

The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as America's governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective, and less predictable than what we previously believed. The statutory debt ceiling and the threat of default have become political bargaining chips in the debate over fiscal policy. Despite this year's wide-ranging debate, in our view, the differences between political parties have proven to be extraordinarily difficult to bridge, and, as we see it, the resulting agreement fell well short of the comprehensive fiscal consolidation program that some proponents had envisaged until quite recently. Republicans and Democrats have only been able to agree to relatively modest savings on discretionary spending while delegating to the Select Committee decisions on more comprehensive measures. It appears that for now, new revenues have dropped down on the menu of policy options. In addition, the plan envisions only minor policy changes on Medicare and little change in other entitlements,

the containment of which we and most other independent observers regard as key to long-term fiscal sustainability.

 

Our opinion is that elected officials remain wary of tackling the structural issues required to effectively address the rising U.S. public debt burden in a manner consistent with a 'AAA' rating and with 'AAA' rated sovereign peers (see Sovereign Government Rating Methodology and Assumptions," June 30, 2011, especially Paragraphs 36-41). In our view, the difficulty in framing a consensus on fiscal policy weakens the government's ability to manage public finances and diverts attention from the debate over how to achieve more balanced and dynamic economic growth in an era of fiscal stringency and private-sector deleveraging (ibid). A new political consensus might (or might not) emerge after the 2012 elections, but we believe that by then, the government debt burden will likely be higher, the needed medium-term fiscal adjustment potentially greater, and the inflection point on the U.S. population's demographics and other age-related spending drivers closer at hand (see "Global Aging 2011: In The U.S., Going Gray Will Likely Cost Even More Green, Now," June 21, 2011).

 

Standard & Poor's takes no position on the mix of spending and revenue measures that Congress and the Administration might conclude is appropriate for putting the U.S.'s finances on a sustainable footing.

 

The act calls for as much as $2.4 trillion of reductions in expenditure growth over the 10 years through 2021. These cuts will be implemented in two steps: the $917 billion agreed to initially, followed by an additional $1.5 trillion that the newly formed Congressional Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction is supposed to recommend by November 2011. The act contains no measures to raise taxes or otherwise enhance revenues, though the committee could recommend them.

 

The act further provides that if Congress does not enact the committee's recommendations, cuts of $1.2 trillion will be implemented over the same time period. The reductions would mainly affect outlays for civilian discretionary spending, defense, and Medicare. We understand that this fall-back mechanism is designed to encourage Congress to embrace a more balanced mix of expenditure savings, as the committee might recommend.

 

We note that in a letter to Congress on Aug. 1, 2011, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated total budgetary savings under the act to be at least $2.1 trillion over the next 10 years relative to its baseline assumptions. In updating our own fiscal projections, with certain modifications outlined below, we have relied on the CBO's latest "Alternate Fiscal Scenario" of June 2011, updated to include the CBO assumptions contained in its Aug. 1 letter to Congress. In general, the CBO's "Alternate Fiscal Scenario" assumes a continuation of recent Congressional action overriding existing law.

 

We view the act's measures as a step toward fiscal consolidation. However, this is within the framework of a legislative mechanism that leaves open the details of what is finally agreed to until the end of 2011, and Congress and the Administration could modify any agreement in the future. Even assuming that at least $2.1 trillion of the spending reductions the act envisages are implemented, we maintain our view that the U.S. net general government debt burden (all levels of government combined, excluding liquid financial assets) will likely continue to grow. Under our revised base case fiscal scenario--which we consider to be consistent with a 'AA+' long-term rating and a negative outlook--we now project that net general government debt would rise from an estimated 74% of GDP by the end of 2011 to 79% in 2015 and 85% by 2021. Even the projected 2015 ratio of sovereign indebtedness is high in relation to those of peer credits and, as noted, would continue to rise under the act's revised policy settings.

 

Compared with previous projections, our revised base case scenario now assumes that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts, due to expire by the end of 2012, remain in place. We have changed our assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to resist any measure that would raise revenues, a position we believe Congress reinforced by passing the act. Key macroeconomic assumptions in the base case scenario include trend real GDP growth of 3% and consumer price inflation near 2% annually over the decade.

 

Our revised upside scenario--which, other things being equal, we view as consistent with the outlook on the 'AA+' long-term rating being revised to stable--retains these same macroeconomic assumptions. In addition, it incorporates $950 billion of new revenues on the assumption that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for high earners lapse from 2013 onwards, as the Administration is advocating. In this scenario, we project that the net general government debt would rise from an estimated 74% of GDP by the end of 2011 to 77% in 2015 and to 78% by 2021.

 

Our revised downside scenario--which, other things being equal, we view as being consistent with a possible further downgrade to a 'AA' long-term rating--features less-favorable macroeconomic assumptions, as outlined below and also assumes that the second round of spending cuts (at least $1.2 trillion) that the act calls for does not occur. This scenario also assumes somewhat higher nominal interest rates for U.S. Treasuries. We still believe that the role of the U.S. dollar as the key reserve currency confers a government funding advantage, one that could change only slowly over time, and that Fed policy might lean toward continued loose monetary policy at a time of fiscal tightening. Nonetheless, it is possible that interest rates could rise if investors re-price relative risks. As a result, our alternate scenario factors in a 50 basis point (bp)-75 bp rise in 10-year bond yields relative to the base and upside cases from 2013 onwards. In this scenario, we project the net public debt burden would rise from 74% of GDP in 2011 to 90% in 2015 and to 101% by 2021.

 

Our revised scenarios also take into account the significant negative revisions to historical GDP data that the Bureau of Economic Analysis announced on July 29. From our perspective, the effect of these revisions underscores two related points when evaluating the likely debt trajectory of the U.S. government. First, the revisions show that the recent recession was deeper than previously assumed, so the GDP this year is lower than previously thought in both nominal and real terms. Consequently, the debt burden is slightly higher. Second, the revised data highlight the sub-par path of the current economic recovery when compared with rebounds following previous post-war recessions. We believe the sluggish pace of the current economic recovery could be consistent with the experiences of countries that have had financial crises in which the slow process of debt deleveraging in the private sector leads to a persistent drag on demand. As a result, our downside case scenario assumes relatively modest real trend GDP growth of 2.5% and inflation of near 1.5% annually going forward.

 

When comparing the U.S. to sovereigns with 'AAA' long-term ratings that we view as relevant peers--Canada, France, Germany, and the U.K.--we also observe, based on our base case scenarios for each, that the trajectory of the U.S.'s net public debt is diverging from the others. Including the U.S., we estimate that these five sovereigns will have net general government debt to GDP ratios this year ranging from 34% (Canada) to 80% (the U.K.), with the U.S. debt burden at 74%. By 2015, we project that their net public debt to GDP ratios will range between 30% (lowest, Canada) and 83% (highest, France), with the U.S. debt burden at 79%. However, in contrast with the U.S., we project that the net public debt burdens of these other sovereigns will begin to decline, either before or by 2015.

 

Standard & Poor's transfer T&C assessment of the U.S. remains 'AAA'. Our T&C assessment reflects our view of the likelihood of the sovereign restricting other public and private issuers' access to foreign exchange needed to meet debt service. Although in our view the credit standing of the U.S. government has deteriorated modestly, we see little indication that official interference of this kind is entering onto the policy agenda of either Congress or the Administration. Consequently, we continue to view this risk as being highly remote.

 

The outlook on the long-term rating is negative. As our downside alternate fiscal scenario illustrates, a higher public debt trajectory than we currently assume could lead us to lower the long-term rating again. On the other hand, as our upside scenario highlights, if the recommendations of the Congressional Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction--independently or coupled with other initiatives, such as the lapsing of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for high earners--lead to fiscal consolidation measures beyond the minimum mandated, and we believe they are likely to slow the deterioration of the government's debt dynamics, the long-term rating could stabilize at 'AA+'.

 

 

FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES

 

Currency

Unit

Indian Rupees

US Dollar

1

Rs.54.39

UK Pound

1

Rs.82.32

Euro

1

Rs.69.54

 

 

INFORMATION DETAILS

 

Report Prepared by :

PRL

 

 

RATING EXPLANATIONS

 

RATING

STATUS

 

 

PROPOSED CREDIT LINE

>86

Aaa

Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums

 

Unlimited

71-85

Aa

Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Large

56-70

A

Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for payment of interest and principal sums

 

Fairly Large

41-55

Ba

Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments.

 

Satisfactory

26-40

B

Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below average.

 

Small

11-25

Ca

Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums in default or expected to be in default upon maturity

 

Limited with full security

<10

C

Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised

 

 

Credit not recommended

--

NB

New Business

 

--

 

This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as follows:

 

Financial condition (40%)            Ownership background (20%)                  Payment record (10%)

Credit history (10%)                   Market trend (10%)                                Operational size (10%)

 

PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL : This information is provided to you at your request, you having employed MIPL for such purpose. You will use the information as aid only in determining the propriety of giving credit and generally as an aid to your business and for no other purpose. You will hold the information in strict confidence, and shall not reveal it or make it known to the subject persons, firms or corporations or to any other. MIPL does not warrant the correctness of the information as you hold it free of any liability whatsoever. You will be liable to and indemnify MIPL for any loss, damage or expense, occasioned by your breach or non observance of any one, or more of these conditions

This report is issued at your request without any risk and responsibility on the part of MIRA INFORM PRIVATE LIMITED (MIPL) or its officials.