MIRA
INFORM REPORT
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RATING
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STATUS
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PROPOSED CREDIT LINE
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<10
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C
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Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised
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Credit not
recommended
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Status :
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No Trace
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Payment Behaviour :
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---
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Litigation :
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---
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NOTES :
Any query related to this report can be made
on e-mail: infodept@mirainform.com
while quoting report number, name and date.
ECGC Country Risk Classification List – March 31st, 2013
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Country Name
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Previous Rating
(31.12.2012)
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Current Rating
(31.03.2013)
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Taiwan
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A2
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A2
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Risk Category
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ECGC
Classification
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Insignificant
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A1
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Low
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A2
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Moderate
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B1
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High
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B2
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Very High
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C1
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Restricted
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C2
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Off-credit
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D
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TAIWAN - ECONOMIC
OVERVIEW
Taiwan has a dynamic capitalist economy with gradually
decreasing government guidance of investment and foreign trade. Exports, led by
electronics, machinery, and petrochemicals have provided the primary impetus
for economic development. This heavy dependence on exports exposes the economy
to fluctuations in world demand. In 2009, Taiwan's GDP contracted 1.8%, due
primarily to a 13.1% year-on-year decline in exports. In 2010 GDP grew 10.7%,
as exports returned to the level of previous years, and in 2011, grew 4.0%. In
2012, however, growth fell to 1.3%, because of softening global demand. Taiwan's
diplomatic isolation, low birth rate, and rapidly aging population are major
long-term challenges. Free trade agreements have proliferated in East Asia over
the past several years, but except for the landmark Economic Cooperation
Framework Agreement (ECFA) signed with China
in June 2010, so far Taiwan
has been excluded from this greater economic integration in part because of its
diplomatic status. Negotiations continue on such follow-on components of ECFA
regarding trade in goods and services. The MA administration has said that the
ECFA will serve as a stepping stone toward trade pacts with other key trade
partners, which Taiwan
subsequently launched with Singapore
and New Zealand.
Taiwan's
Total Fertility rate of just over one child per woman is among the lowest in
the world, raising the prospect of future labor shortages, falling domestic
demand, and declining tax revenues. Taiwan's population is aging
quickly, with the number of people over 65 accounting for 11.2% of the island's
total population as of 2012. The island runs a large trade surplus largely
because of its surplus with China,
and its foreign reserves are the world's fifth largest, behind China, Japan,
Saudi Arabia, and Russia. In 2006
China overtook the US to become Taiwan's
second-largest source of imports after Japan. China is also the island's number
one destination for foreign direct investment. Three financial memorandums of
understanding, covering banking, securities, and insurance, took effect in
mid-January 2010, opening the island to greater investments from the mainland's
financial firms and institutional investors, and providing new opportunities
for Taiwan financial firms
to operate in China.
In August 2012, Taiwan Central Bank signed a memorandum of understanding on
cross-Strait currency settlement with its Chinese counterpart. The MOU allows
for the direct settlement of Chinese RMB and the New Taiwan dollar across the
Strait, which could help develop Taiwan into a local RMB hub. Closer
economic links with the mainland bring greater opportunities for the Taiwan economy, but also poses new challenges as
the island becomes more economically dependent on China while political differences
remain unresolved
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