MIRA
INFORM REPORT
|
Report Date : |
26.11.2013 |
IDENTIFICATION DETAILS
|
Name : |
MTS SYSTEMS CORPORATION |
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Registered Office : |
14000 Technology Drive, Eden Prairie, MN 55344 |
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Country : |
United States |
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Financials (as on) : |
28.09.2013 |
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Date of Incorporation : |
12.09.1966 |
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Legal Form : |
Public Company |
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Line of Business : |
Subject supplies test systems and industrial position sensors |
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No. of Employees : |
2,147 |
RATING & COMMENTS
|
MIRA’s Rating : |
Ba |
|
RATING |
STATUS |
PROPOSED CREDIT LINE |
|
|
41-55 |
Ba |
Overall operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal
commitments. |
Satisfactory |
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Status : |
Satisfactory |
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Payment Behaviour : |
Slow but correct |
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Litigation : |
Clear |
NOTES :
Any query related to this report can be made
on e-mail: infodept@mirainform.com
while quoting report number, name and date.
ECGC Country Risk Classification List – March 31st, 2013
|
Country Name |
Previous Rating (31.12.2012) |
Current Rating (31.03.2013) |
|
United States |
A1 |
A1 |
|
Risk Category |
ECGC
Classification |
|
Insignificant |
A1 |
|
Low |
A2 |
|
Moderate |
B1 |
|
High |
B2 |
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Very High |
C1 |
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Restricted |
C2 |
|
Off-credit |
D |
UNITED STATES - ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
The US has the largest and most technologically powerful
economy in the world, with a per capita GDP of $49,800. In this market-oriented
economy, private individuals and business firms make most of the decisions, and
the federal and state governments buy needed goods and services predominantly
in the private marketplace. US business firms enjoy greater flexibility than
their counterparts in Western Europe and Japan in decisions to expand capital
plant, to lay off surplus workers, and to develop new products. At the same
time, they face higher barriers to enter their rivals' home markets than
foreign firms face entering US markets. US firms are at or near the forefront
in technological advances, especially in computers and in medical, aerospace,
and military equipment; their advantage has narrowed since the end of World War
II. The onrush of technology largely explains the gradual development of a
"two-tier labor market" in which those at the bottom lack the
education and the professional/technical skills of those at the top and, more
and more, fail to get comparable pay raises, health insurance coverage, and
other benefits. Since 1975, practically all the gains in household income have
gone to the top 20% of households. Since 1996, dividends and capital gains have
grown faster than wages or any other category of after-tax income. Imported oil
accounts for nearly 55% of US consumption. Crude oil prices doubled between
2001 and 2006, the year home prices peaked; higher gasoline prices ate into
consumers' budgets and many individuals fell behind in their mortgage payments.
Oil prices climbed another 50% between 2006 and 2008, and bank foreclosures more
than doubled in the same period. Besides dampening the housing market, soaring
oil prices caused a drop in the value of the dollar and a deterioration in the
US merchandise trade deficit, which peaked at $840 billion in 2008. The
sub-prime mortgage crisis, falling home prices, investment bank failures, tight
credit, and the global economic downturn pushed the United States into a
recession by mid-2008. GDP contracted until the third quarter of 2009, making
this the deepest and longest downturn since the Great Depression. To help
stabilize financial markets, in October 2008 the US Congress established a $700
billion Troubled Asset Relief Program (TARP). The government used some of these
funds to purchase equity in US banks and industrial corporations, much of which
had been returned to the government by early 2011. In January 2009 the US
Congress passed and President Barack OBAMA signed a bill providing an
additional $787 billion fiscal stimulus to be used over 10 years - two-thirds
on additional spending and one-third on tax cuts - to create jobs and to help
the economy recover. In 2010 and 2011, the federal budget deficit reached
nearly 9% of GDP. In 2012 the federal government reduced the growth of spending
and the deficit shrank to 7.6% of GDP. Wars in Iraq and Afghanistan required
major shifts in national resources from civilian to military purposes and
contributed to the growth of the budget deficit and public debt. Through 2011,
the direct costs of the wars totaled nearly $900 billion, according to US
government figures. US revenues from taxes and other sources are lower, as a
percentage of GDP, than those of most other countries. In March 2010, President
OBAMA signed into law the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, a health
insurance reform that was designed to extend coverage to an additional 32
million American citizens by 2016, through private health insurance for the
general population and Medicaid for the impoverished. Total spending on health
care - public plus private - rose from 9.0% of GDP in 1980 to 17.9% in 2010. In
July 2010, the president signed the DODD-FRANK Wall Street Reform and Consumer
Protection Act, a law designed to promote financial stability by protecting
consumers from financial abuses, ending taxpayer bailouts of financial firms,
dealing with troubled banks that are "too big to fail," and improving
accountability and transparency in the financial system - in particular, by
requiring certain financial derivatives to be traded in markets that are
subject to government regulation and oversight. In December 2012, the Federal
Reserve Board announced plans to purchase $85 billion per month of
mortgage-backed and Treasury securities in an effort to hold down long-term
interest rates, and to keep short term rates near zero until unemployment drops
to 6.5% from the December rate of 7.8%, or until inflation rises above 2.5%.
Long-term problems include stagnation of wages for lower-income families,
inadequate investment in deteriorating infrastructure, rapidly rising medical
and pension costs of an aging population, energy shortages, and sizable current
account and budget deficits - including significant budget shortages for state
governments
Source
: CIA
Company name and address
Company name: MTS SYSTEMS CORPORATION
Address: 14000 Technology Drive, Eden Prairie, MN 55344 - USA
Telephone: +1 952-937-4000
Fax: +1 952-937-4515
Website: www.mts.com
Corporate ID#: 1K-817
State: Minnesota
Judicial form: Public Company (Nasdaq = MTSC)
Date incorporated: September 12, 1966
Stock: 64,000,000
shares
15,607,369 shares issued and outstanding
as of August 2, 2013
Value: USD
0.25= par value
Name of
manager: Jeffrey A. GRAVES
ACTIVITIES
& OPERATIONS
Business:
MTS Systems Corporation supplies test systems and industrial position sensors in the Americas, Europe, and Asia.
The company’s Test segment provides testing solutions, including road simulators for durability simulation; tire performance and rolling resistance measurement systems; moving road-plane systems and balances use for aerodynamics measurements in wind tunnels; systems for the physical characterization of materials, such as ceramics, composites, and steel; and systems to test durability and performance of implants, prostheses, and other medical and dental materials and devices. This segment also offers products, systems, and software to perform static and fatigue testing of aircraft and space vehicles; systems for structural engineering, including high force static and dynamic testing; and seismic simulation tables to test the designs of structures and set building codes.
In addition, it provides various accessories and spare parts, as well as installation, calibration, maintenance, training, and consulting services. This segment serves automobile, truck, motorcycle, motorsports vehicle, construction equipment, agricultural equipment, rail, and off-road vehicle manufacturers and their suppliers, as well as power generation, aerospace, bio-medical, wind energy, structural engineering, petroleum, and other industries.
The company’s Sensors segment manufactures products utilizing magnetostriction technology for manufacturers of plastic injection molding machines, steel mills, fluid power, oil and gas, medical, wood product processing equipment, mobile equipment, and energy industries. It also offers products to measure fluid displacement for customers in the process industries.
The company sells its products through direct sales organization, and independent representatives and distributors, as well as through the Internet and catalogs.
MTS Systems Corporation was founded in 1966 and is headquartered in Eden Prairie, Minnesota.
EIN: 41-0908057
Staff: 2,147
Operations
& branches:
At the
headquarters, we find an extra large factory, warehouse and office, on 420,000
sq. ft. owned.
The Company
maintains several branches in the U.S.
SHAREHOLDERS & MANAGERS
Shareholders:
The Company is listed with the Nasdaq under symbol MTSC.
As of 09-30-2013, 90% of the stock was held by institutional and mutual fund owners, including:
|
Mairs & Power Inc |
11.41% |
|
Mairs & Power Growth Fund Inc |
7.69% |
|
Vanguard Group, Inc. (The) |
5.85% |
|
Royce & Associates, LLC |
5.84% |
|
BlackRock Fund Advisors |
5.33% |
|
Ariel Investments, LLC |
5.18% |
Management:
Jeffrey A. GRAVES is the President, Director and CEO.
Dr. Jeffrey A. Graves, PhD, has been the Chief Executive Officer of MTS Systems Corp. since May 7, 2012. Dr. Graves served as the President of C&D Technologies Inc., since July 5, 2005. Dr. Graves has 25 years of experience in power systems and standby power storage, electronic components and technologically advanced aircraft components. Over the course of his career, his functional responsibilities have ranged from research and development to design engineering to global operations and business development.
For nearly a decade, he has served in Chief Executive Officer position at public companies. He served as Chief Executive Officer of C&D Technologies Inc., since July 5, 2005. Dr. Graves served as the Chief Executive Officer and President of KEMET Corporation (Formerly, KEMET Electronics Corporation) from October 2002 to January 25, 2005. He served as the Chief Operating Officer of Kemet Corporation from 2002 to 2003. Dr. Graves served as Vice President of Engineering since May 2002 and served as Vice President of Technology since he joined KEMET Corporation, from July 2001 to 2002. He served as a Manager of Power Systems Division of General Electric Company from 1996 to 2001.
He served as Manager of Corporate Research and Development Center of General Electric Company from 1994 to 1996. While at GE, Dr. Graves led global teams spanning the United States, Eastern Europe, India and Japan, to deliver advanced power generation products and services to customers worldwide.
Prior to working for GE, Dr. Graves served various positions of increasing responsibility at Rockwell International Corporation and Howmet Corporation. He has been a Director of MTS Systems Corp. since May 7, 2012.
He has been Director of C&D Technologies, Inc. since December 23, 2010.
He has been a Director of Hexcel Corp. since July 13, 2007.
He has been an Independent Director of Teleflex Inc., since 2007. He served as Director of C&D Technologies Inc. from July 5, 2005 to December 23, 2010.
Dr. Graves served as a Director of Technitrol Inc. (AKA Pulse Electronics Corporation), from January 1, 2006 to April 2007. Dr. Graves served as a Director of KEMET Corporation from March 2003 to January 25, 2005.
Dr. Graves completed the first Master Black Belts certified in GE's Six Sigma Program.
Dr. Graves has a Ph.D. and M.S. in Metallurgical Engineering from the University of Wisconsin and a B.S. in Metallurgical Engineering from Purdue University.
Ms. Susan E. Knight has been Chief Financial Officer of MTS Systems Corp and serves as its Senior Vice President. Ms. Knight served as Vice President at MTS Systems Corp since October 2001. Ms. Knight joined MTS Systems in 2001. She held various management and executive positions with Honeywell International from 1977 to 2001 and served as Global Chief Financial Officer of its Home and Building Control business unit from 2000 to 2001; Chief Financial Officer of the North American Home and Building Control business unit from 1995 to 2000 and also served as its General Accounting Manager.
Ms. Knight served as Vice President of Finance and Controller of Home and Building division of Honeywell. Ms. Knight held various other management positions including Corporate Director of Financial Planning and Analysis at Honeywell. Ms. Knight has more than 25 years in the field of finance experience. Ms. Knight serves as Vice Chairman of Greater Minneapolis Metropolitan Housing Corp. Ms. Knight has been a Director of SurModics Inc. since January 2008 and Plato Learning, Inc. since September 21, 2005.
Ms. Knight serves on the Board of The Greater Metropolitan Housing Corporation. She is a graduate of Creighton University in Omaha, Nebraska.
The Board of Directors includes:
- David J. ANDERSON
- Jeffrey A. GRAVES
- Barb J. SAMARDZICH
- Gail P. STEINEL
- Emily Maddox LIGETT
Subsidiaries
And partnership:
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MTS Japan Ltd. |
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Japan |
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MTS Sensor Technology Corp |
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Japan |
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MTS Korea, Inc. |
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South Korea |
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MTS Systems (China) Co., Ltd. |
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China (PRC) |
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MTS Systems GmbH |
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Germany |
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MTS Systems Norden AB |
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Sweden |
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MTS Systems Ltd. |
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United Kingdom |
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MTS Systems Srl |
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Italy |
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MTS Holdings France, SARL |
|
France |
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MTS Systems SAS |
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France |
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MTS Sensor Technologie GmbH and Co. KG |
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Germany |
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MTS Automotive Sensors GmbH |
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Germany |
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MTS Sensor Technologie und Verwaltungs-GmbH |
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Germany |
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MTS Systems (Hong Kong), Inc. |
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Minnesota |
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MTS Systems Switzerland GmbH |
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Switzerland |
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MTS Testing Systems (Canada) Ltd. |
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Ontario |
FINANCIALS
On November 19, 2013, MTS Systems Corporation announced that its board of directors has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.30 per share.
The dividend is payable on January 2, 2014 to shareholders of record as of the close of business on December 16, 2013.
On November 14, 2013, MTS Systems Corporation reported unaudited consolidated financial results for the fiscal year ended September 28, 2013.
For the year, the company’s revenue was $569.439 million against $542.256 million a year ago.
Income from operations was $79.955 million against $80.511 million a year ago. Income before income taxes was $79.254 million against $79.780 million a year ago. Net income was $57.806 million or $3.64 per diluted share against $51.556 million or $3.21 per diluted share a year ago.
The company expects fiscal 2014 revenue to be $585 to $605 million and EPS to be $3.55 to $3.70, excluding the restructuring charge.
More specifically, first-quarter of 2014 revenue is expected to be $139 to $144 million, and EPS is expected to be $0.65 to $0.75, before the impact of the restructuring costs.
On
attachment:
- 10K
2012-2013
Banks: U.S. Bank
HSBC Bank USA
Wells Fargo Bank
JPMorgan Chase Bank
LEGAL FILINGS
Legal filings & complaints:
As of today date, there is no legal filing pending with the Courts.
Secured debts summary (UCC): None
Haut du formulaire
COMPANY
CREDIT HISTORY
Trade
references:
Date
reported: October 2012
High
credit: USD 12,000
Now owing: 0
Past due: 0
Last
purchase: September 2012
Line of
business: Office supply
Paying
status: 12 days beyond terms
Date
reported: October 2012
High
credit: USD 3,000,000+
Now owing: 0
Past due: 0
Last
purchase: September 2012
Line of
business: Payroll
Paying
status: As agreed
Date
reported: October 2012
High
credit: USD 1,200
Now owing: 0
Past due: 0
Last
purchase: September 2012
Line of
business: Telecommunications
Paying
status: 10 days beyond terms
Domestic
credit history:
Domestic
credit history appears as follow:
|
Monthly Payment
Trends - Recent Activity
|
National
Credit Bureaus gave a medium credit rating.
According to our credit analysts, during the last 6 months, domestic paments were made with an average of 10 to 15 days beyond terms.
International credit history:
Payments of imports are currently made with an average of 5 days beyond terms.
Other
comments:
The banks confirmed
late payments but remain confident.
The Company
is in good standing.
This means
that all local and federal taxes were paid on due date.
Last report
was filed on 11-21-2013.
The risk
remains low.
Our
opinion:
A business
connection may be conducted.
Standard & Poor’s
|
United
States of America Long-Term Rating Lowered To 'AA+' Due To Political Risks,
Rising Debt Burden; Outlook Negative |
|
Publication
date: 05-Aug-2011 20:13:14 EST |
·
We have lowered our long-term sovereign
credit rating on the United States of America to 'AA+' from 'AAA' and affirmed
the 'A-1+' short-term rating.
·
We have also removed both the short- and long-term ratings
from CreditWatch negative.
·
The downgrade reflects our
opinion that the fiscal consolidation plan that Congress and the Administration
recently agreed to falls short of what, in our view, would be necessary to
stabilize the government's medium-term debt dynamics.
·
More broadly, the downgrade
reflects our view that the effectiveness, stability, and predictability of
American policymaking and political institutions have weakened at a time of
ongoing fiscal and economic challenges to a degree more than we envisioned when
we assigned a negative outlook to the rating on April 18, 2011.
·
Since then, we have changed our
view of the difficulties in bridging the gulf between the political parties
over fiscal policy, which makes us pessimistic about the capacity of Congress
and the Administration to be able to leverage their agreement this week into a
broader fiscal consolidation plan that stabilizes the government's debt
dynamics any time soon.
·
The outlook on the long-term
rating is negative. We could lower the long-term rating to 'AA' within the next
two years if we see that less reduction in spending than agreed to, higher
interest rates, or new fiscal pressures during the period result in a higher
general government debt trajectory than we currently assume in our base case.
TORONTO (Standard &
Poor's) Aug. 5, 2011--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services said today that it
lowered its long-term sovereign credit rating on the United States of America
to 'AA+' from 'AAA'. Standard & Poor's also said that the outlook on the
long-term rating is negative. At the same time, Standard & Poor's affirmed
its 'A-1+' short-term rating on the U.S. In addition, Standard & Poor's
removed both ratings from CreditWatch, where they were placed on July 14, 2011,
with negative implications.
The transfer and
convertibility (T&C) assessment of the U.S.--our assessment of the
likelihood of official interference in the ability of U.S.-based public- and
private-sector issuers to secure foreign exchange for
debt service--remains
'AAA'.
We lowered our long-term
rating on the U.S. because we believe that the prolonged controversy over
raising the statutory debt ceiling and the related fiscal policy debate
indicate that further near-term progress containing the growth in public
spending, especially on entitlements, or on reaching an agreement on raising
revenues is less likely than we previously assumed and will remain a
contentious and fitful process. We also believe that the fiscal consolidation
plan that Congress and the Administration agreed to this week falls short of
the amount that we believe is necessary to stabilize the general government
debt burden by the middle of the decade.
Our lowering of the
rating was prompted by our view on the rising public debt burden and our
perception of greater policymaking uncertainty, consistent with our criteria
(see "Sovereign Government Rating Methodology and
Assumptions ," June 30, 2011, especially Paragraphs 36-41).
Nevertheless, we view the U.S. federal government's other economic, external,
and monetary credit attributes, which form the basis for the sovereign rating,
as broadly unchanged.
We have taken the ratings
off CreditWatch because the Aug. 2 passage of the Budget Control Act Amendment
of 2011 has removed any perceived immediate threat of payment default posed by
delays to raising the government's debt ceiling. In addition, we believe that
the act provides sufficient clarity to allow us to evaluate the likely course
of U.S. fiscal policy for the next few years.
The political
brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see as America's governance
and policymaking becoming less stable, less effective, and less predictable
than what we previously believed. The statutory debt ceiling and the threat of
default have become political bargaining chips in the debate over fiscal
policy. Despite this year's wide-ranging debate, in our view, the differences
between political parties have proven to be extraordinarily difficult to
bridge, and, as we see it, the resulting agreement fell well short of the
comprehensive fiscal consolidation program that some proponents had envisaged
until quite recently. Republicans and Democrats have only been able to agree to
relatively modest savings on discretionary spending while delegating to the
Select Committee decisions on more comprehensive measures. It appears that for
now, new revenues have dropped down on the menu of policy options. In addition,
the plan envisions only minor policy changes on Medicare and little change in
other entitlements,
the containment of which
we and most other independent observers regard as key to long-term fiscal
sustainability.
Our opinion is that
elected officials remain wary of tackling the structural issues required to
effectively address the rising U.S. public debt burden in a manner consistent
with a 'AAA' rating and with 'AAA' rated sovereign peers (see Sovereign Government Rating Methodology and
Assumptions," June 30, 2011, especially Paragraphs 36-41). In
our view, the difficulty in framing a consensus on fiscal policy weakens the
government's ability to manage public finances and diverts attention from the
debate over how to achieve more balanced and dynamic economic growth in an era
of fiscal stringency and private-sector deleveraging (ibid). A new political
consensus might (or might not) emerge after the 2012 elections, but we believe
that by then, the government debt burden will likely be higher, the needed
medium-term fiscal adjustment potentially greater, and the inflection point on
the U.S. population's demographics and other age-related spending drivers
closer at hand (see "Global Aging 2011: In The U.S., Going Gray Will Likely
Cost Even More Green, Now," June 21, 2011).
Standard & Poor's
takes no position on the mix of spending and revenue measures that Congress and
the Administration might conclude is appropriate for putting the U.S.'s
finances on a sustainable footing.
The act calls for as much
as $2.4 trillion of reductions in expenditure growth over the 10 years through
2021. These cuts will be implemented in two steps: the $917 billion agreed to
initially, followed by an additional $1.5 trillion that the newly formed
Congressional Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction is supposed to
recommend by November 2011. The act contains no measures to raise taxes or otherwise
enhance revenues, though the committee could recommend them.
The act further provides
that if Congress does not enact the committee's recommendations, cuts of $1.2
trillion will be implemented over the same time period. The reductions would
mainly affect outlays for civilian discretionary spending, defense, and
Medicare. We understand that this fall-back mechanism is designed to encourage
Congress to embrace a more balanced mix of expenditure savings, as the
committee might recommend.
We note that in a letter
to Congress on Aug. 1, 2011, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated
total budgetary savings under the act to be at least $2.1 trillion over the
next 10 years relative to its baseline assumptions. In updating our own fiscal
projections, with certain modifications outlined below, we have relied on the
CBO's latest "Alternate Fiscal Scenario" of June 2011, updated to
include the CBO assumptions contained in its Aug. 1 letter to Congress. In
general, the CBO's "Alternate Fiscal Scenario" assumes a continuation
of recent Congressional action overriding existing law.
We view the act's
measures as a step toward fiscal consolidation. However, this is within the
framework of a legislative mechanism that leaves open the details of what is
finally agreed to until the end of 2011, and Congress and the Administration
could modify any agreement in the future. Even assuming that at least $2.1
trillion of the spending reductions the act envisages are implemented, we
maintain our view that the U.S. net general government debt burden (all levels
of government combined, excluding liquid financial assets) will likely continue
to grow. Under our revised base case fiscal scenario--which we consider to be
consistent with a 'AA+' long-term rating and a negative outlook--we now project
that net general government debt would rise from an estimated 74% of GDP by the
end of 2011 to 79% in 2015 and 85% by 2021. Even the projected 2015 ratio of
sovereign indebtedness is high in relation to those of peer credits and, as
noted, would continue to rise under the act's revised policy settings.
Compared with previous
projections, our revised base case scenario now assumes that the 2001 and 2003
tax cuts, due to expire by the end of 2012, remain in place. We have changed our
assumption on this because the majority of Republicans in Congress continue to
resist any measure that would raise revenues, a position we believe Congress
reinforced by passing the act. Key macroeconomic assumptions in the base case
scenario include trend real GDP growth of 3% and consumer price inflation near
2% annually over the decade.
Our revised upside
scenario--which, other things being equal, we view as consistent with the
outlook on the 'AA+' long-term rating being revised to stable--retains these
same macroeconomic assumptions. In addition, it incorporates $950 billion of
new revenues on the assumption that the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for high earners
lapse from 2013 onwards, as the Administration is advocating. In this scenario,
we project that the net general government debt would rise from an estimated
74% of GDP by the end of 2011 to 77% in 2015 and to 78% by 2021.
Our revised downside
scenario--which, other things being equal, we view as being consistent with a
possible further downgrade to a 'AA' long-term rating--features less-favorable
macroeconomic assumptions, as outlined below and also assumes that the second
round of spending cuts (at least $1.2 trillion) that the act calls for does not
occur. This scenario also assumes somewhat higher nominal interest rates for
U.S. Treasuries. We still believe that the role of the U.S. dollar as the key
reserve currency confers a government funding advantage, one that could change
only slowly over time, and that Fed policy might lean toward continued loose
monetary policy at a time of fiscal tightening. Nonetheless, it is possible
that interest rates could rise if investors re-price relative risks. As a
result, our alternate scenario factors in a 50 basis point (bp)-75 bp rise in
10-year bond yields relative to the base and upside cases from 2013 onwards. In
this scenario, we project the net public debt burden would rise from 74% of GDP
in 2011 to 90% in 2015 and to 101% by 2021.
Our revised scenarios
also take into account the significant negative revisions to historical GDP
data that the Bureau of Economic Analysis announced on July 29. From our
perspective, the effect of these revisions underscores two related points when
evaluating the likely debt trajectory of the U.S. government. First, the revisions
show that the recent recession was deeper than previously assumed, so the GDP
this year is lower than previously thought in both nominal and real terms.
Consequently, the debt burden is slightly higher. Second, the revised data
highlight the sub-par path of the current economic recovery when compared with
rebounds following previous post-war recessions. We believe the sluggish pace
of the current economic recovery could be consistent with the experiences of
countries that have had financial crises in which the slow process of debt
deleveraging in the private sector leads to a persistent drag on demand. As a
result, our downside case scenario assumes relatively modest real trend GDP
growth of 2.5% and inflation of near 1.5% annually going forward.
When comparing the U.S.
to sovereigns with 'AAA' long-term ratings that we view as relevant
peers--Canada, France, Germany, and the U.K.--we also observe, based on our
base case scenarios for each, that the trajectory of the U.S.'s net public debt
is diverging from the others. Including the U.S., we estimate that these five
sovereigns will have net general government debt to GDP ratios this year
ranging from 34% (Canada) to 80% (the U.K.), with the U.S. debt burden at 74%.
By 2015, we project that their net public debt to GDP ratios will range between
30% (lowest, Canada) and 83% (highest, France), with the U.S. debt burden at
79%. However, in contrast with the U.S., we project that the net public debt
burdens of these other sovereigns will begin to decline, either before or by
2015.
Standard & Poor's
transfer T&C assessment of the U.S. remains 'AAA'. Our T&C assessment
reflects our view of the likelihood of the sovereign restricting other public
and private issuers' access to foreign exchange needed to meet debt service.
Although in our view the credit standing of the U.S. government has
deteriorated modestly, we see little indication that official interference of
this kind is entering onto the policy agenda of either Congress or the
Administration. Consequently, we continue to view this risk as being highly
remote.
The outlook on the
long-term rating is negative. As our downside alternate fiscal scenario
illustrates, a higher public debt trajectory than we currently assume could
lead us to lower the long-term rating again. On the other hand, as our upside
scenario highlights, if the recommendations of the Congressional Joint Select
Committee on Deficit Reduction--independently or coupled with other
initiatives, such as the lapsing of the 2001 and 2003 tax cuts for high
earners--lead to fiscal consolidation measures beyond the minimum mandated, and
we believe they are likely to slow the deterioration of the government's debt
dynamics, the long-term rating could stabilize at 'AA+'.
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES
|
Currency |
Unit
|
Indian Rupees |
|
US Dollar |
1 |
Rs.62.58 |
|
UK Pound |
1 |
Rs.101.42 |
|
Euro |
1 |
Rs.84.70 |
INFORMATION DETAILS
|
Report
Prepared by : |
NIS |
RATING EXPLANATIONS
|
RATING |
STATUS |
PROPOSED CREDIT LINE |
|
|
>86 |
Aaa |
Possesses an extremely sound financial base with the strongest
capability for timely payment of interest and principal sums |
Unlimited |
|
71-85 |
Aa |
Possesses adequate working capital. No caution needed for credit
transaction. It has above average (strong) capability for payment of interest
and principal sums |
Large |
|
56-70 |
A |
Financial & operational base are regarded healthy. General
unfavourable factors will not cause fatal effect. Satisfactory capability for
payment of interest and principal sums |
Fairly Large |
|
41-55 |
Ba |
Overall
operation is considered normal. Capable to meet normal commitments. |
Satisfactory |
|
26-40 |
B |
Capability to overcome financial difficulties seems comparatively below
average. |
Small |
|
11-25 |
Ca |
Adverse factors are apparent. Repayment of interest and principal sums
in default or expected to be in default upon maturity |
Limited with
full security |
|
<10 |
C |
Absolute credit risk exists. Caution needed to be exercised |
Credit not
recommended |
|
-- |
NB |
New Business |
-- |
This score serves as a reference to assess SC’s credit risk and
to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is calculated from a composite
of weighted scores obtained from each of the major sections of this report. The
assessed factors and their relative weights (as indicated through %) are as
follows:
Financial
condition (40%) Ownership
background (20%) Payment
record (10%)
Credit history
(10%) Market trend
(10%) Operational
size (10%)
This report is issued at your request without any
risk and responsibility on the part of MIRA INFORM PRIVATE LIMITED (MIPL)
or its officials.