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MIRA INFORM REPORT
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Report No. : |
506803 |
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Report Date : |
03.05.2018 |
IDENTIFICATION DETAILS
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Name : |
ESSAM SAAD IBRAHIM ABDELAAL |
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Registered Office : |
Berket Al Saaba, Markaz El Bagour, Menoufeya |
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Country : |
Egypt |
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Date of Incorporation : |
14.01.2017 |
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Com. Reg. No.: |
19970 |
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Legal Form : |
Sole Proprietorship |
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Line of Business : |
Subject is engaged in the import and distribution of readymade
garments and furnishings. |
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No. of Employees : |
18 |
RATING & COMMENTS
(Mira Inform has adopted New Rating mechanism w.e.f. 23rd
January 2017)
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MIRA’s Rating : |
NB |
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Credit Rating |
Explanation |
Rating Comments |
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NB |
New Business |
No recommendation can be done due to
business in infancy stage |
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Status : |
New Business |
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Payment Behaviour : |
Unknown |
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Litigation : |
Clear |
NOTES :
Any query related to this report can be made
on e-mail : infodept@mirainform.com
while quoting report number, name and date.
ECGC Country Risk Classification List
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Country Name |
Previous Rating (30.09.2017) |
Current Rating (31.12.2017) |
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Egypt |
C1 |
C1 |
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Risk Category |
ECGC
Classification |
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Insignificant |
A1 |
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Low Risk |
A2 |
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Moderately Low Risk |
B1 |
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Moderate Risk |
B2 |
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Moderately High Risk |
C1 |
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High Risk |
C2 |
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Very High Risk |
D |
EGYPT - ECONOMIC OVERVIEW
Occupying the northeast corner of the African continent, Egypt is bisected by the highly fertile Nile valley where most economic activity takes place. Egypt's economy was highly centralized during the rule of former President Gamal Abdel NASSER but opened up considerably under former Presidents Anwar EL-SADAT and Mohamed Hosni MUBARAK. Agriculture, hydrocarbons, manufacturing, tourism, and other service sectors drove the country’s relatively diverse economic activity.
Despite Egypt’s mixed record for attracting foreign investment over the past two decades, poor living conditions and limited job opportunities have contributed to public discontent. These socioeconomic pressures were a major factor leading to the January 2011 revolution that ousted MUBARAK. The uncertain political, security, and policy environment since 2011 has restricted economic growth and failed to alleviate persistent unemployment, especially among the young.
In late 2016, persistent dollar shortages and waning aid
from its Gulf allies led Cairo to turn to the IMF for a 3-year, $12 billion
loan program. To secure the deal, Cairo floated its currency, introduced new
taxes, and cut energy subsidies - all of which pushed inflation above 30% for
most of 2017, a high that had not been seen in a generation. Since the currency
float, foreign investment in Egypt’s high interest treasury bills has risen
exponentially, boosting both dollar availability and central bank reserves.
Cairo will need to make a sustained effort to implement a range of business reforms, however, to induce foreign and local
investment in manufacturing and other labor-intensive sectors.
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Source
: CIA |
SUMMARY
Company Name : ESSAM SAAD IBRAHIM ABDELAAL
Trade Name : GOLD CLOTHES READYMADE GARMENTS AND FURNISHINGS
Country of Origin : Egypt
Legal Form : Sole Proprietorship
Registration Date : 14th January 2017
Commercial Registration Number : 19970
Industrial Licence No. : 43985/2017
Invested Capital : EGP 50,000
Total Workforce : 18
Activities : Distributors of readymade garments and furnishings
Financial Condition : Undetermined
Payments : Unknown
Person Interviewed : Peter Mounir, Accounts Manager
COMPANY
NAME
ESSAM SAAD IBRAHIM ABDELAAL
TRADE NAME: GOLD CLOTHES
READYMADE GARMENTS AND FURNISHINGS
ADDRESS
Registered & Physical
Address
Location : Berket Al
Saaba, Markaz El Bagour
Town : Menoufeya
Country : Egypt
Mobile : (20-127)
5063666
Premises
Subject operates from a small suite of offices and a warehouse that are
rented and located in the Suburban Business Area of Menoufeya.
KEY
PRINCIPALS
Name Nationality Position
·
Essam Saad Ibrahim Abdelaal Egyptian Proprietor
·
Mohamed Anwar - Sales
Manager
·
Peter Mounir - Accounts
Manager
LEGAL
FORM & OWNERS
Date of
Establishment : 14th
January 2017
Legal Form : Sole
Proprietorship
Commercial Reg.
No. : 19970
Industrial Licence No. : 43985/2017
Invested Capital : EGP 50,000
Mr Essam Saad Ibrahim Abdelaal is the sole proprietor of the business.
Note to the Legal Form
An Sole Proprietorship is a non-incorporated entity and is owned by one
individual only. The owner is liable
for all debts and liabilities of the business to the extent of his/her personal
assets. There are no legal requirements concerning the amount of capital of a
sole proprietor.
OPERATIONS
Activities: Engaged in the import and distribution of readymade garments and
furnishings.
Import Countries: India
Subject has a workforce of 18 employees.
FINANCIAL
DATA
Subject is a newly formed business and as a result financial information
is not currently available.
BANKERS
Unknown
SANCTION
LIST CHECKS
The subject and its shareholders have been checked in the following
sanctions list databases:
Sanctions list Results
United Nations Sanctions No
matches
Australian Sanctions No
matches
Bureau of Industry and Security (US) No
matches
EU Financial Sanctions No
matches
Office of the Superintendent of Financial
Institutions (Canada) No
matches
OFAC - Specially Designated Nationals (SDN) No
matches
UK Financial Sanctions (HMT) No
matches
US Consolidated Sanctions No matches
GENERAL
COMMENTS
During the course of this investigation the following sources were
consulted:
- Internal database
- Journals, directories, media
& web searches
- Local Registry office
- Interview with Peter Mounir,
Accounts Manager
In view of subject’s infancy, extensive payment and financial are not
available, therefore dealings are recommended to be on secured terms, and a
close monitoring of subject’s business development is advisable.
COUNTRY
OUTLOOK
Recent
Developments
The first quarter of FY17 (July to June)
marked a slowdown in growth recording 3.4 percent compared to 5.1 percent in
the same quarter last year, with annual growth in FY16 registering 4.3 percent.
Growth was constrained by severe shortages in hard currency, an overvalued
exchange rate and sluggish growth in Europe, Egypt’s main trading partner. Key
sectors continue to experience negative growth, particularly tourism and the
oil and gas extractives sector that has been suffering from underinvestment and
arrears.
The annual fiscal deficit in FY16 increased
to 12.1 percent of GDP, up from 11 percent the year before. However, in the
first half of FY17 the deficit declined to 5.4 percent of GDP, down from 6.4
percent in the same period last year. The improvement in the first half is
solely driven by a decline in total expenditures, which compensates for a drop
in total revenues. Lower expenditures were driven by a decrease in subsidies
and public wages as a percentage of GDP.
The most recent data for the first quarter of
FY17 show an overall surplus in the balance of payments of 0.5 percent of
projected GDP, compared to a deficit of 1 percent during the same period of the
previous year. The improvement in external accounts was mainly due to the
narrowing trade deficit induced by an increase in merchandise exports (by 11.2
percent) and a decline in merchandise imports (by 4.8 percent). Meanwhile, Suez
Canal receipts further deteriorated by 4.8 percent and net private transfers
also declined by 21.8 percent. As a result, the current account deficit widened
to 1.4 percent of GDP compared to 1.1 percent in the same quarter of the
previous year. More positively, FDI inflows increased to US$1.9 billion over
the same period, up from US$1.4 billion the previous year.
To stimulate growth and address major
macroeconomic imbalances, the government embarked on a major economic reform program.
The key features include (i) the liberalization of the exchange rate regime;
(ii) fiscal consolidation through a combination of expenditure and revenue
measures, notably cuts in fuel subsidies, containment of the wage bill and
introduction of VAT; and (iii) reforms to the business environment and
addressing impediments to industrial activity.
The reform program was supported by an IMF
Extended Fund Facility of US$12 billion which contributes to cover Egypt’s
financing needs, the rest of which has been covered through disbursements under
the World Bank, the African Development Bank and a number of bilateral loans,
in addition to a recent issuance of Eurobonds in the amount of US$4 billion.
Following the floatation, the exchange rate displayed strong overshooting
(hitting its
lowest rate of 19.5 in December compared to a
pre-float fixed rate of 8.8), but has subsequently strengthened as foreign
investor confidence picked up and backlogs of USD orders to finance imports
eased. Net international reserves reached US$26.4 billion at-end January (6
months’ imports), up from a pre-floatation level of US$19 billion.
Currency weakening has led to a sharp rise in
inflation, which reached its highest recorded level of 30.2 percent in February
2017. Following the currency floatation, the CBE increased interest rates by
300 basis points (bringing the cumulative increase to 550 basis points since
March 2016) to absorb excess liquidity and curb inflation. High inflation has
contributed to the aggravation of social conditions, given the persistently
high unemployment (12.6 percent in 2016). The recently adopted reform program
involves efforts to improve social safety nets, notably through the partial
reallocation of freed up resources from reduced energy and food subsidies; the
expansion of cash transfer programs; and an increase in the general pension
budget by 15 percent. Nonetheless, the mitigation of recent adverse
shocks will continue to depend on an
effective targeting mechanism.
Outlook
GDP is expected to grow by 3.9 percent in
FY17, and will be largely driven by public investment and to some extent net
exports. Private investment is expected to pick up only in the second half of
FY17, supported by enhanced competitiveness following the depreciation of the currency
and the gradual implementation of business climate reforms. Tourism is also
expected to steadily recover on the back of a weaker currency. Yet, growth will
likely be undermined by slower growth of private consumption, which is expected
to be negatively affected by record high inflation rates. Prudent monetary
policy is projected to bring inflation down over the forecast horizon after the
one off effects of depreciation, subsidy reforms, and the introduction of VAT
dissipate.
The fiscal deficit is projected to narrow to
10.5 percent in FY17, contingent on the government’s commitment and ability to
sustain its fiscal consolidation plan. With the implementation of the VAT, the
expected increase in the VAT rate to 14 percent from the current 13 percent,
and efforts to improve tax collection, revenues are expected to improve, while
expenditures will continue to be contained.
The current account deficit is expected to
start improving in FY17, supported by a positive exchange rate effect and an
increase in remittances transferred through formal channels.
In the near term high inflation is likely to
have negative short-term effects on households. Current efforts to improve
targeting in the food smart-card program,
currently used to protect the vulnerable population from food price shocks and
ensure a minimum level of food security, could provide additional resources for
an improved safety net.
Risks and challenges
Policy slippage and absence of real-sector
reforms may negatively impact the anticipated economic recovery. Deteriorating
security risks can adversely affect the recovery of the tourism sector,
traditionally a main source of revenue and foreign currency.
On the social front, resources from fuel
subsidy reform to be allocated to social programs may be lower than expected
due to currency depreciation, but efforts
should continue to improve the efficiency of the safety net system. Sustained
high unemployment may lower households’ ability to improve their living
conditions.
Key Economic Indicators 2014 2015 2016* 2017* 2018 2019
Real GDP Growth (%) 2.9 4.4 4.3 3.9 4.6 5.3
Inflation Rate (%)
10.1 10.4 10.2 20.1 14.2 11.3
Current Account Balance (% of GDP) -0.9 -3.8 -6.1 -5.5
-4.4 -3.8
Fiscal Balance (% of GDP) -11.5 -11.0 -12.1 -10.5
-9.2 -7.3
* forecast
FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATES
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Currency |
Unit
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Indian Rupees |
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US Dollar |
1 |
INR 66.66 |
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1 |
INR 90.66 |
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Euro |
1 |
INR 80.01 |
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EGP |
1 |
INR 3.78 |
Note :
Above are approximate rates obtained from sources believed to be correct
INFORMATION DETAILS
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Analysis Done by
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NIS |
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Report Prepared
by : |
SYL |
RATING EXPLANATIONS
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Credit Rating |
Explanation |
Rating Comments |
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A++ |
Minimum Risk |
Business dealings permissible with minimum
risk of default |
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A+ |
Low Risk |
Business dealings permissible with low
risk of default |
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A |
Acceptable Risk |
Business dealings permissible with
moderate risk of default |
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B |
Medium Risk |
Business dealings permissible on a regular
monitoring basis |
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C |
Medium High Risk |
Business dealings permissible preferably
on secured basis |
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D |
High Risk |
Business dealing not recommended or on
secured terms only |
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NB |
New Business |
No recommendation can be done due to
business in infancy stage |
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NT |
No Trace |
No recommendation can be done as the
business is not traceable |
NB is stated where there is insufficient information to facilitate rating. However, it is not to be considered as unfavourable.
This score serves as a reference to assess
SC’s credit risk and to set the amount of credit to be extended. It is
calculated from a composite of weighted scores obtained from each of the major
sections of this report. The assessed factors are as follows:
·
Financial
condition covering various ratios
·
Company
background and operations size
·
Promoters
/ Management background
·
Payment
record
·
Litigation
against the subject
·
Industry
scenario / competitor analysis
·
Supplier
/ Customer / Banker review (wherever available)
This report is issued at
your request without any risk and responsibility on the part of MIRA INFORM
PRIVATE LIMITED (MIPL) or its officials.